Polymarket Trader

Ldvdolan

0xd8dd5c5574145f9779e6b71d898651a994379b5a

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $29.5
Realized PnL: $1.3K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 12
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Greece be in the top 5 at Eurovision 2026?

Ends May 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $299.96
Potential profit: $299.96
User PnL: -$195.78

Yes position

Will Toy Story 5 be the top grossing movie of 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 7.3%
Current value: $18.25
Potential payout: $250
Potential profit: $231.75
Multiplier: 13.70x
User PnL: -$31.49

Yes position

Will "MINOTAUR by Andrey ZVYAGINTSEV" win Palme d'Or at the 2026 Cannes Film Festival?

Ends May 23, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $175.67
Potential profit: $175.67
User PnL: -$50

Yes position

Will "ALL OF A SUDDEN by HAMAGUCHI Ryusuke" win Palme d'Or at the 2026 Cannes Film Festival?

Ends May 23, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $172.35
Potential profit: $172.35
User PnL: -$57.87

No position

Will Cyprus advance through the second Eurovision Semi-Final?

Ends May 14, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $120.39
Potential profit: $120.39
User PnL: -$40.06

No position

Will Belgium advance through the first Eurovision Semi-Final?

Ends May 12, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $100
User PnL: -$70.68

Yes position

Will Israel win the televote for Eurovision 2026?

Ends May 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $93.02
Potential profit: $93.02
User PnL: -$52.72

Yes position

Will "PAPER TIGER by James GRAY" win Palme d'Or at the 2026 Cannes Film Festival?

Ends May 23, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $60.15
Potential profit: $60.15
User PnL: -$8

Yes position

Will "I Knew It, I Knew You - Taylor Swift" be the #1 song on US Spotify this week?

Ends Jun 13, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $50
Potential profit: $50
User PnL: -$18.5

Yes position

Will Austria come in last place at Eurovision 2026?

Ends May 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $49.96
Potential profit: $49.96
User PnL: -$14.78

No position

Will Avengers: Doomsday have the best domestic opening weekend in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 31.5%
Current value: $11.25
Potential payout: $35.71
Potential profit: $24.46
Multiplier: 3.17x
User PnL: $1.25

Yes position

Will Luxembourg advance through the second Eurovision Semi-Final?

Ends May 14, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $33.33
Potential profit: $33.33
User PnL: -$10

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will Bulgaria win Eurovision 2026?

Ends May 16, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $306.11

Yes position

Will Australia win Eurovision 2026?

Ends May 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $116.9

Yes position

Will "FJORD by Cristian MUNGIU" win Palme d'Or at the 2026 Cannes Film Festival?

Ends May 23, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $98.53

Yes position

Will One Battle After Another win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?

Ends Mar 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $86.47

No position

Will Sweden be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?

Ends May 16, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $84.92

Yes position

Will Australia be in the top 5 at Eurovision 2026?

Ends May 16, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $76.38

Yes position

Will Israel be in the top 5 at Eurovision 2026?

Ends May 16, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $74.97

Yes position

Will Moldova be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?

Ends May 16, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $68.29

No position

Will Cyprus be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?

Ends May 16, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $63.84

No position

Will Croatia be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?

Ends May 16, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $57.58

Yes position

Will Bulgaria be in the top 5 at Eurovision 2026?

Ends May 16, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $51.03

Yes position

Will Australia be the Jury Winner in the Eurovision 2026 Grand Final?

Ends May 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $34.53

No position

Will Moldova be in the top 5 at Eurovision 2026?

Ends May 16, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $28.27

Yes position

Will United Kingdom come in last place at Eurovision 2026?

Ends May 16, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $28.11

Yes position

Will Norway advance through the second Eurovision Semi-Final?

Ends May 14, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $27.2

Yes position

Will "Ragtime" win Best Revival of a Musical at the 2026 Tony Awards?

Ends Jun 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $18.28

Yes position

Will "Lesley Manville" win Best Leading Actress in a Play at the 2026 Tony Awards?

Ends Jun 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $16.25

Yes position

Will Michael B. Jordan win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?

Ends Mar 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $14.73

Yes position

Will Australia win the second Eurovision Semi-Final?

Ends May 12, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $13.92

Yes position

Will "Arthur Miller's beath of a Salesman" win Best Revival of a Play at the 2026 Tony Awards?

Ends Jun 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $9.7

Yes position

Will "Liberation" win Best Play at the 2026 Tony Awards?

Ends Jun 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $8.56

No position

Will "One Battle After Another" win exactly 6 awards at the Oscars?

Ends Mar 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $6.82

No position

Will Armenia advance through the second Eurovision Semi-Final?

Ends May 14, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.02

No position

Will France be in the top 5 at Eurovision 2026?

Ends May 16, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.05

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will "Disclosure Day" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 47m?

No 63% 100 shares
Will "Disclosure Day" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 47m?

No 73% 100 shares
Will "hate that i made you love me - Ariana Grande" be the #1 song on Spotify this week?

Yes 98.8% 51.86 shares
Will "Disclosure Day" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 39m and 43m?

No 72.7% 107.52 shares
Will Toy Story 5 have the best domestic opening weekend in 2026?

Yes 4.7% 499.93 shares
Will Toy Story 5 be the top grossing movie of 2026?

Yes 19.4% 50 shares
Will "Obsession" be the May film with the highest domestic gross on June 30?

No 28.2% 50 shares
Will "Disclosure Day" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 39m and 43m?

No 93% 107.53 shares
Will Avengers: Doomsday have the best domestic opening weekend in 2026?

No 28% 35.71 shares
Will Toy Story 5 be the top grossing movie of 2026?

Yes 20% 100 shares
Will Toy Story 5 have the best domestic opening weekend in 2026?

Yes 5.2% 79 shares
Will Toy Story 5 have the best domestic opening weekend in 2026?

Yes 5.1% 45 shares