No position
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 94.6%
- Current value
- $13.91K
- Potential payout
- $14.71K
- Potential profit
- $801.58
- Multiplier
- 1.06x
- User PnL
- $38.4
Polymarket Trader
0xD8E024F24d0b375E96cEE50E11D6D6D85328C1a7-1766811713744
0xd8e024f24d0b375e96cee50e11d6d6d85328c1a7
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $16.46K
- Realized PnL
- $578.78
- Win rate
- 68.8%
- Open positions
- 14
- Closed positions
- 16
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $900B by December 31?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 10.5%
- Current value
- $358.02
- Potential payout
- $3.41K
- Potential profit
- $3.05K
- Multiplier
- 9.52x
- User PnL
- -$19.02
No position
Will OpenAI's valuation hit (LOW) $700B by December 31?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 78.5%
- Current value
- $1.1K
- Potential payout
- $1.4K
- Potential profit
- $300.65
- Multiplier
- 1.27x
- User PnL
- $99.14
No position
Will OpenAI's valuation hit (LOW) $600B by December 31?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 86.5%
- Current value
- $1.01K
- Potential payout
- $1.17K
- Potential profit
- $157.7
- Multiplier
- 1.16x
- User PnL
- $67.51
Yes position
Will Qingdao Hainiu FC win on 2026-05-15?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $269.23
- Potential profit
- $269.23
- User PnL
- -$35
Yes position
Will Japan win on 2026-06-25?
Ends Jun 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $138
- Potential profit
- $138
- User PnL
- -$70.1
Lakers position
Lakers vs. Thunder
Ends May 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $120
- Potential profit
- $120
- User PnL
- -$16.8
76ers position
76ers vs. Knicks
Ends May 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $107.41
- Potential profit
- $107.41
- User PnL
- -$29
No position
China x India military clash by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 91%
- Current value
- $91
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $9
- Multiplier
- 1.10x
- User PnL
- $11
Magic position
Magic vs. Pistons
Ends May 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $100
- User PnL
- -$26
Lakers position
Lakers vs. Thunder
Ends May 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $100
- User PnL
- -$13
Raptors position
Raptors vs. Cavaliers
Ends May 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $100
- User PnL
- -$29
76ers position
76ers vs. Knicks
Ends May 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $100
- User PnL
- -$30
Lakers position
Thunder vs. Lakers
Ends May 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $99.82
- Potential profit
- $99.82
- User PnL
- -$23.96
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
US strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $227.36
No position
Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $118.8
Yes position
Will Dalian Yingbo FC win on 2026-04-18?
Ends Apr 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $108.59
76ers position
76ers vs. Celtics
Ends May 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $84.7
Yes position
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-05-16?
Ends May 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $56.02
No position
Xi Jinping out before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 93.7%
- Multiplier
- 1.07x
- User PnL
- $51.37
Yes position
US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $47.08
No position
US strikes Iran by January 23, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $42.01
No position
US strikes Iran by January 18, 2026?
Ends Jan 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $40.49
Bilibili Gaming position
LoL: G2 Esports vs Bilibili Gaming (BO5) - First Stand Playoffs
Ends Mar 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $34.8
Yes position
US strikes Iran by March 1, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $27.48
Lakers position
Rockets vs. Lakers
Ends May 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 50%
- Multiplier
- 2.00x
- User PnL
- -$0.31
Yes position
Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$17.4
G2 Esports position
LoL: G2 Esports vs Bilibili Gaming (BO5) - First Stand Playoffs
Ends Mar 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$40
Lakers position
Rockets vs. Lakers
Ends Apr 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$80.6
No position
Will Xi Jinping meet with Cheng Li-wun by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$121.6
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $900B by December 31?No 12.3% 732.67 shares
- Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $900B by December 31?No 13% 1,603.19 shares
- Will OpenAI's valuation hit (LOW) $600B by December 31?No 83.8% 544.84 shares
- Will OpenAI's valuation hit (LOW) $600B by December 31?No 78% 623.34 shares
- Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $900B by December 31?No 12% 1,006.12 shares
- Will OpenAI's valuation hit (LOW) $700B by December 31?No 71.4% 1,445.98 shares
- Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $900B by December 31?No 8.4% 1,533.11 shares
- Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?No 93.4% 10,000 shares
- Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?No 93.4% 10 shares
- Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-05-16?Yes 54% 55.78 shares
- Will Qingdao Hainiu FC win on 2026-05-15?Yes 13% 269.23 shares
- Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?No 93.8% 5,500 shares