Yes position
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.6%
- Current value
- $986.99
- Potential payout
- $179.45K
- Potential profit
- $178.47K
- Multiplier
- 181.82x
- User PnL
- -$5.12K
Polymarket Trader
ScaryDream
0xd8e5d96b54394c545d930fc31646e9eaf847b808
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $4.21K
- Realized PnL
- $11.53K
- Win rate
- 83.3%
- Open positions
- 6
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Israel withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 3.2%
- Current value
- $577.06
- Potential payout
- $18.32K
- Potential profit
- $17.74K
- Multiplier
- 31.75x
- User PnL
- -$1.19K
Yes position
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in another European country?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 2%
- Current value
- $90.32
- Potential payout
- $4.52K
- Potential profit
- $4.43K
- Multiplier
- 50.00x
- User PnL
- $45.51
No position
Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 92.7%
- Current value
- $1.9K
- Potential payout
- $2.05K
- Potential profit
- $149.43
- Multiplier
- 1.08x
- User PnL
- $45.65
Yes position
Will Donald Trump attend NATO Summit?
Ends Jul 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 91.6%
- Current value
- $584.68
- Potential payout
- $638.64
- Potential profit
- $53.97
- Multiplier
- 1.09x
- User PnL
- $47.72
Yes position
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 30.9%
- Current value
- $76.2
- Potential payout
- $247
- Potential profit
- $170.8
- Multiplier
- 3.24x
- User PnL
- -$107.83
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $5.96K
Y
Yes position
Will Iran close its airspace by June 14?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $1.17K
Yes position
Will Trump agree to withdraw troops from the Iranian region by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $981.83
Yes position
Iran closes its airspace by June 8?
Ends Jun 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $712.94
Y
Yes position
Will any flight depart from Imam Khomeini International Airport by June 8?
Ends Jun 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $597.41
Yes position
Will Israel announce the ceasefire has been extended by May 15?
Ends May 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $560.18
Yes position
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $407.46
No position
Will Elon Musk win his case against Sam Altman?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $316.22
Yes position
Will Trump and Xi handshake last 10–15 seconds during the day of their next meeting in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $226.11
N
No position
Will Iran close its airspace by June 14?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $136.31
Yes position
Kevin Warsh confirmed as Fed Chair by May 15?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $123.78
Yes position
Will Trump praise Allah again by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $101.43
Yes position
GTA VI released before November 2026?
Ends Oct 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 4.5%
- Multiplier
- 22.22x
- User PnL
- $87.67
No position
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 14
Ends Jun 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $60.44
No position
Epstein client list released by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99%
- Multiplier
- 1.01x
- User PnL
- $52.5
MOUZ position
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs Aurora Gaming (BO3) - PGL Astana Playoffs
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $16.79
Y
Yes position
Will the text of the US-Iran agreement be released by June 17?
Ends Jun 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.45
Yes position
Will Tim Cook say "Siri" during the Apple WWDC 2026 event on June 8th?
Ends Jun 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.26
Yes position
Gemini 3.5 released by May 31?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.19
Yes position
Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 44.5%
- Multiplier
- 2.25x
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?
Ends Jun 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$0
No position
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 96%
- Multiplier
- 1.04x
- User PnL
- -$0.01
No position
Starmer out by May 15, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$0.01
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in another European country?Yes 1% 115 shares
- Will Trump agree to withdraw troops from the Iranian region by June 30?Yes 99% 4,597.35 shares
- Will Trump agree to withdraw troops from the Iranian region by June 30?Yes 68% 999.99 shares
- Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by June 30?No 90.6% 500 shares
- Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by June 30?No 90.4% 1,547.01 shares
- Will Trump agree to withdraw troops from the Iranian region by June 30?Yes 81% 3,999.99 shares
- GTA VI released before November 2026?Yes 7.9% 66.87 shares
- GTA VI released before November 2026?Yes 6.7% 1,426.46 shares
- Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by June 30, 2026?Yes 14.2% 65.92 shares
- Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by June 30, 2026?Yes 14.5% 89.1 shares
- Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland?Yes 74.6% 242 shares
- Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland?Yes 71.4% 5 shares