Polymarket Trader

Tictactoc

0xd8f04060ac8c854375bc8efbbc759f0ee38a114f

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $22.96
Realized PnL: $6.35
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 12
Closed positions: 9
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Jerome Powell out from Fed Board by December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 46%
Current value: $8.52
Potential payout: $18.52
Potential profit: $10
Multiplier: 2.17x
User PnL: -$1.48

Yes position

Trump sues Jimmy Kimmel by May 31?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $18.18
Potential profit: $18.18
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

Will Elon Musk and Sam Altman settle?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $16.67
Potential profit: $16.67
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-05-30?

Ends May 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $16.67
Potential profit: $16.67
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 14%
Current value: $2.26
Potential payout: $16.13
Potential profit: $13.87
Multiplier: 7.14x
User PnL: -$2.74

Yes position

Iran closes its airspace by May 31?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $11.9
Potential profit: $11.9
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-30?

Ends May 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $7.14
Potential profit: $7.14
User PnL: -$3

No position

Will Trump say "Golf" or "Golfer" this week? (April 27 - May 3)

Ends May 3, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $6.85
Potential profit: $6.85
User PnL: -$5

No position

Will any country expel a U.S. ambassador by December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 84.5%
Current value: $5.71
Potential payout: $6.76
Potential profit: $1.05
Multiplier: 1.18x
User PnL: $0.71

No position

Will the U.S. invade a Latin American country in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 80.5%
Current value: $5.16
Potential payout: $6.41
Potential profit: $1.25
Multiplier: 1.24x
User PnL: $0.16

Yes position

Will GameStop acquire eBay?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 13.5%
Current value: $0.84
Potential payout: $6.25
Potential profit: $5.41
Multiplier: 7.41x
User PnL: -$0.16

Yes position

Iran leadership change by December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 16.5%
Current value: $0.47
Potential payout: $2.86
Potential profit: $2.39
Multiplier: 6.06x
User PnL: -$0.53

Resolved Context

Closed positions

No position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.34

Yes position

Will the ECB announce no change at the June 2026 meeting?

Ends Jun 11, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $1.3

No position

Will any country join the Board of Peace by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.95

No position

Will Trump say "Peace in the Middle East" this week? (April 27 - May 3)

Ends May 3, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.68

No position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?

Ends May 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.62

No position

Gaza flotilla enters Israeli waters by May 31?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.58

No position

Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 81.5%
Multiplier: 1.23x
User PnL: $0.49

No position

Israel strike on Yemen by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 99.5%
User PnL: $0.29

No position

Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 22%
Multiplier: 4.56x
User PnL: $0.09

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-30?

Yes 42% 7.14 shares
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-05-30?

Yes 30% 16.67 shares
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?

No 90% 7.04 shares
Will GameStop acquire eBay?

Yes 16% 6.25 shares
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?

No 71% 7.04 shares
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?

No 43.2% 11.79 shares
Iran leadership change by December 31?

Yes 35% 2.86 shares
Iran closes its airspace by May 31?

Yes 42% 11.9 shares
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?

Yes 31% 16.13 shares
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026?

No 67% 8.19 shares
Will Trump say "Peace in the Middle East" this week? (April 27 - May 3)

No 83% 6.84 shares
Will Elon Musk and Sam Altman settle?

Yes 30% 16.67 shares