No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 84.5%
- Current value
- $3.69K
- Potential payout
- $4.36K
- Potential profit
- $676.11
- Multiplier
- 1.18x
- User PnL
- $404.35
Polymarket Trader
mdbm
0xd8f37f07ebfeafbe550ea204994de1e0a80704de
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $4.13K
- Realized PnL
- $1.33K
- Win rate
- 71.4%
- Open positions
- 4
- Closed positions
- 7
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
N
No position
Will 60 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 66%
- Current value
- $264
- Potential payout
- $400
- Potential profit
- $136
- Multiplier
- 1.52x
- User PnL
- -$24
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by June 15?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.8%
- Current value
- $149.63
- Potential payout
- $150
- Potential profit
- $0.38
- User PnL
- $17.63
No position
GTA 6 launch postponed again?
Ends Nov 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 86%
- Current value
- $25.8
- Potential payout
- $30
- Potential profit
- $4.2
- Multiplier
- 1.16x
- User PnL
- $4.2
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $863.05
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $526.15
No position
Will Apple release a new product line before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 53%
- Multiplier
- 1.89x
- User PnL
- $20.18
No position
Another GTA VI trailer released by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $15.6
No position
U.S. anti-cartel ground operation in Mexico by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $9
No position
Will bitcoin hit $1m before GTA VI?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 50.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.98x
- User PnL
- -$0.39
No position
Will Axiom be accused of insider trading?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$107.32
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?No 79% 2,600 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?No 62% 200 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?No 91.2% 12.62 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?No 89.4% 9.69 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?No 93.6% 200 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?No 61% 200 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?No 64% 550 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?No 66% 8 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?No 71% 820 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?No 54% 500 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?No 85% 576.57 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?No 64% 247.5 shares