No position
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $5.0T by December 31?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 94.5%
- Current value
- $3.98
- Potential payout
- $4.21
- Potential profit
- $0.23
- Multiplier
- 1.06x
- User PnL
- -$0.02
Polymarket Trader
93821
0xd8faf34ca1fb4fc4f913552d2926924de43eebfa
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $9.84
- Realized PnL
- $6.12
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 8
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Discord IPO before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 49.1%
- Current value
- $1.55
- Potential payout
- $3.15
- Potential profit
- $1.6
- Multiplier
- 2.04x
- User PnL
- -$1.45
No position
US strike on Syria by December 19?
Ends Dec 14, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $3.09
- Potential profit
- $3.09
- User PnL
- -$3
Yes position
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 83.5%
- Current value
- $1.86
- Potential payout
- $2.22
- Potential profit
- $0.37
- Multiplier
- 1.20x
- User PnL
- -$0.14
No position
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 22.5%
- Current value
- $0.46
- Potential payout
- $2.04
- Potential profit
- $1.58
- Multiplier
- 4.45x
- User PnL
- -$1.54
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 19, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET
Ends Nov 19, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $2.04
- Potential profit
- $2.04
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
Will Victor Marx win the 2026 Colorado Governor Republican primary election?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 98.5%
- Current value
- $2.01
- Potential payout
- $2.04
- Potential profit
- $0.03
- Multiplier
- 1.02x
- User PnL
- $0.01
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 20, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET
Ends Nov 20, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $2
- Potential profit
- $2
- User PnL
- -$1
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 1, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET
Ends Dec 1, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.08
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 15, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET
Ends Nov 15, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.38
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 1:00AM-1:15AM ET
Ends Nov 14, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.36
Yes position
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of January 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.29
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 15, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET
Ends Nov 15, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.27
Yes position
Will José Antonio Kast win the Chilean presidential election?
Ends Nov 16, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.26
No position
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 26?
Ends Jun 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.21
Yes position
Will Logan Paul’s PSA 10 Pokémon Illustrator Sale Price be over $4 million?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.21
Yes position
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on November 30?
Ends Nov 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.18
No position
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.17
Yes position
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on January 31?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.17
Yes position
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.16
Yes position
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.15
Yes position
Will Bitcoin outperform Gold in March 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.13
Yes position
Will Clair Obscur: Expedition 33 win Game of the Year at the 2025 Game Awards?
Ends Dec 11, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.13
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 23, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET
Ends Dec 24, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.12
Yes position
Will Jensen Huang say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" 10+ times at the NVIDIA GTC keynote?
Ends Mar 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.12
Yes position
Will the Government shutdown end by November 15?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.11
Yes position
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of February 2026?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.11
Yes position
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.11
No position
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?
Ends Apr 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.1
Yes position
Will Gemini 3.0 be released on November 18 2025?
Ends Nov 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.1
No position
Xi Jinping out in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.09
No position
Will the Government shutdown end November 8-11?
Ends Nov 15, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.09
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Victor Marx win the 2026 Colorado Governor Republican primary election?Yes 98.2% 2.04 shares
- Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?Yes 90% 2.22 shares
- Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 26?No 95% 2.11 shares
- Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 26?No 95% 2.11 shares
- Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?Yes 98.6% 2.03 shares
- Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $5.0T by December 31?No 95% 2.11 shares
- Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on June 16, 2026?Yes 96.9% 2.06 shares
- Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $5.0T by December 31?No 95% 2.11 shares
- GPT-5.6 released by June 8, 2026?No 99.8% 2 shares
- SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $4T?No 98.6% 2.03 shares
- Will Anthropic’s market cap be less than $100B at market close on IPO day?No 99.9% 2 shares
- Will SpaceX's public ticker be another ticker?Yes 97.2% 2.06 shares