Polymarket Trader

LuigiDd

0xd8feab2a56f694b6255349953e30d1c3e1981975

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $115.78
Realized PnL: $121.19
Win rate: 72.2%
Open positions: 24
Closed positions: 18
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will SpaceX's market cap be less than $1.0T at market close on IPO day?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $216.22
Potential profit: $216.22
User PnL: -$8

Yes position

Israel strike on Damascus by March 31, 2026?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $121.13
Potential profit: $121.13
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from March 12 to March 14, 2026?

Ends Mar 14, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $100.46
Potential profit: $100.46
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

Will Tesla (TSLA) close at $395-$400 on the final day of trading of the week of Mar 9 – Mar 13?

Ends Mar 13, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $100
User PnL: -$25

Yes position

Houthi military action against Saudi Arabia by March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $80
Potential profit: $80
User PnL: -$11.2

Yes position

Extended FDV above $500M one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 30.5%
Current value: $17.94
Potential payout: $58.82
Potential profit: $40.88
Multiplier: 3.28x
User PnL: $7.94

No position

Aziz Akhannouch out as Morocco Prime Minister by December 31, 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 15.7%
Current value: $8.37
Potential payout: $53.46
Potential profit: $45.09
Multiplier: 6.39x
User PnL: -$1.63

Yes position

Will SpaceX's market cap be between $1.0T and $1.5T at market close on IPO day?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $45.45
Potential profit: $45.45
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

Will President Trump sign 0 pieces of legislation into law in March?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $43.4
Potential profit: $43.4
User PnL: -$3.64

Yes position

Will Starmer say "Mr. Speaker" 30+ times during the next Prime Minister's Questions event?

Ends Mar 11, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $38.4
Potential profit: $38.4
User PnL: -$8

Yes position

Masoud Pezeshkian out by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $34.72
Potential profit: $34.72
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

Will Trump cut long term capital gains tax before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 15.5%
Current value: $5.07
Potential payout: $32.72
Potential profit: $27.64
Multiplier: 6.45x
User PnL: $1.07

Yes position

Will the Republican Party win the VA-05 House seat?

Ends Nov 3, 2026

Implied probability: 74.5%
Current value: $22.35
Potential payout: $30
Potential profit: $7.65
Multiplier: 1.34x
User PnL: $13.95

Yes position

Extended FDV above $300M one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 49%
Current value: $14.41
Potential payout: $29.41
Potential profit: $15
Multiplier: 2.04x
User PnL: $4.41

Yes position

Will no next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom be appointed in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0.2%
Current value: $0.04
Potential payout: $27.03
Potential profit: $26.99
Multiplier: 666.67x
User PnL: -$9.96

No position

SpaceX Starship fully reusable before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 55.5%
Current value: $11.1
Potential payout: $20
Potential profit: $8.9
Multiplier: 1.80x
User PnL: $0.1

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from March 12 to March 14, 2026?

Ends Mar 14, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $20
Potential profit: $20
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

Houthis successfully target shipping by April 15?

Ends Apr 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $19.99
Potential profit: $19.99
User PnL: -$8

Yes position

Will CZ post 20-39 posts from March 24 to March 31, 2026?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $16.13
Potential profit: $16.13
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

Will NVIDIA (NVDA) close at $170-$175 on the final day of trading of the week of Mar 23 – Mar 27?

Ends Mar 27, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $15
Potential profit: $15
User PnL: -$7.8

No position

US federally charges Cuba leader Miguel Diaz-Canel by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $14.49
Potential payout: $14.49
Potential profit: $0
User PnL: $4.49

No position

Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $13.7
Potential payout: $13.7
Potential profit: $0
User PnL: $3.7

Yes position

Will the Republican Party win the FL-07 House seat?

Ends Nov 3, 2026

Implied probability: 64%
Current value: $8.31
Potential payout: $12.99
Potential profit: $4.68
Multiplier: 1.56x
User PnL: -$1.69

No position

Will President Trump sign 4 pieces of legislation into law in March?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $11.78
Potential profit: $11.78
User PnL: -$10

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Ukraine strikes another tanker in Black Sea by March 31, 2026?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $50.95

Yes position

Russia strike impacts Kyiv municipality during week of March 2, 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $26.01

Yes position

Will NVIDIA (NVDA) close at $165-$170 on the final day of trading of the week of Mar 23 – Mar 27?

Ends Mar 27, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $14.86

Yes position

Gensyn FDV above $400M one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $11.67

No position

Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 15th?

Ends Apr 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $8.8

Yes position

Will Opendoor (OPEN) close at $4.00-$5.00 on the final day of trading of the week of Mar 9 – Mar 13?

Ends Mar 13, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.32

Yes position

Will Eric Ciotti win the 2026 Nice mayoral election?

Ends May 22, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.25

No position

Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 7th?

Ends Apr 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.65

No position

Will Trump sell 0 Gold Cards in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.49

No position

Will Russia capture Pokrovka by March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.99

Yes position

Will Edouard Philippe be the next mayor of Le Havre?

Ends Mar 22, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.99

No position

Will NVIDIA dip to $160 in April?

Ends May 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.46

No position

Will NVIDIA dip to $148 in April?

Ends May 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.9

Yes position

Will the Republican Party win the WA-04 House seat?

Ends Nov 3, 2026

Implied probability: 86.5%
Multiplier: 1.16x
User PnL: $0

Yes position

Will Tesla (TSLA) close at $390-$395 on the final day of trading of the week of Mar 9 – Mar 13?

Ends Mar 13, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: -$2.8

Yes position

Will Tesla (TSLA) close at <$385 on the final day of trading of the week of Mar 9 – Mar 13?

Ends Mar 13, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$4.5

Yes position

Will the DHS shutdown last 48 days or more?

Ends Mar 14, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: -$6.88

Yes position

Will the DHS shutdown last 52 days or more?

Ends Mar 14, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: -$8.97

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?

No 73% 13.7 shares
Will Trump sell 0 Gold Cards in 2026?

No 69% 14.49 shares
US federally charges Cuba leader Miguel Diaz-Canel by June 30?

No 69% 14.49 shares
Will the Republican Party win the VA-05 House seat?

Yes 28% 10 shares
Will the Republican Party win the VA-05 House seat?

Yes 28% 20 shares
ChatGPT Outage by April 3?

No 76% 10 shares
Will SpaceX's market cap be less than $1.0T at market close on IPO day?

Yes 3.7% 81.08 shares
Will SpaceX's market cap be less than $1.0T at market close on IPO day?

Yes 3.7% 135.14 shares
Will SpaceX's market cap be between $1.0T and $1.5T at market close on IPO day?

Yes 11% 45.45 shares
Extended FDV above $300M one day after launch?

Yes 34% 29.41 shares
Extended FDV above $500M one day after launch?

Yes 17% 58.82 shares
Will CZ post 20-39 posts from March 24 to March 31, 2026?

Yes 62% 16.13 shares