Yes position
Will elections be called before a new Prime Minister is appointed?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $240.16
- Potential profit
- $240.16
- User PnL
- -$15.17
Polymarket Trader
Dave97 - 39585
0xd907795ee76e6c4fceab28258f2ffdb03244e2fe
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $223.65
- Realized PnL
- $800.16
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 7
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 15.7%
- Current value
- $34.43
- Potential payout
- $220
- Potential profit
- $185.57
- Multiplier
- 6.39x
- User PnL
- $26.33
No position
Will Italy recognize Palestine in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $75
- Potential payout
- $75
- Potential profit
- $0
- User PnL
- $13.31
No position
Israel withdraws from Gaza in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $50.01
- Potential payout
- $50.01
- Potential profit
- $0
- User PnL
- $29
No position
Xi Jinping out in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $25
- Potential payout
- $25
- Potential profit
- $0
- User PnL
- $1.75
No position
Zohran Mamdani citizenship revoked before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 96.1%
- Current value
- $19.22
- Potential payout
- $20
- Potential profit
- $0.78
- Multiplier
- 1.04x
- User PnL
- $1.02
No position
Will Germany recognize Palestine in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $19.99
- Potential payout
- $19.99
- Potential profit
- $0
- User PnL
- $3.1
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Will Joe Biden win the 2024 Democratic Presidential Nomination?
Ends Aug 18, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $210.5
No position
Will more than 2.10 million people travel through a TSA checkpoint on any day between Jan. 1 and Jan. 11?
Ends Jan 12, 2022- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $45.2
N
No position
Will more than 2.5 million people travel through a TSA checkpoint on any day on or before December 31?
Ends Jan 1, 2022- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $43.06
Yes position
Will a single person become Time's 2021 Person of the Year?
Ends Dec 13, 2021- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $38.35
Yes position
Will Boris Johnson be the Prime Minister of the United Kingdom on May 20, 2022?
Ends May 20, 2022- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $31.53
No position
Will the 7-day COVID-19 case average in the USA be above 800,000 on February 1, 2022?
Ends Feb 8, 2022- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $31.43
Yes position
Will it snow in New Yorks' Central Park on Christmas Eve (Dec 24)?
Ends Dec 24, 2021- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $31.17
Yes position
Will Kevin McCarthy be elected Speaker of the House in the 118th Congress?
Ends Jan 4, 2023- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $29.61
Republican position
Which party wins 2024 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 8, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $28.27
No position
Will more than 2.4 million people travel through a TSA checkpoint on any day on or before May 31, 2022?
Ends May 31, 2022- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $28.23
Y
Yes position
Will the price of wheat close above $1050 on April 29, 2022?
Ends Apr 29, 2022- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $24.96
Yes position
Will at least 50% of U.S. COVID-19 cases be from the Omicron variant on January 1, 2022?
Ends Jan 4, 2022- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $24.34
N
No position
Will more than 2.5 million people travel through a TSA checkpoint on any day on or before May 1, 2022?
Ends May 1, 2022- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $24.29
No position
Will Hezbollah officially join the war by Nov 30?
Ends Nov 30, 2023- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $23.35
Yes position
Will at least 80% of U.S. COVID-19 cases be from the Omicron variant on January 1, 2022?
Ends Jan 4, 2022- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $21.62
No position
Fed rate cut by June 12?
Ends Jun 12, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $20.71
No position
Will more than 2.25 million people travel through a TSA checkpoint on any day between Dec. 23 and Dec. 31?
Ends Jan 1, 2022- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $20.33
Yes position
Will the price of wheat close above $1070 on May 20, 2022?
Ends May 20, 2022- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $20
Yes position
Will the price of a barrel of crude oil be $120 or more on June 9, 2022?
Ends Jun 9, 2022- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $19.98
Yes position
Will there be widespread flooding in LA?
Ends Aug 23, 2023- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $18.71
Yes position
Will Lisa Cook vote at the next FOMC meeting?
Ends Sep 17, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $16.5
Yes position
Will Manchester United F.C. announce their new manager by December 2?
Ends Dec 2, 2021- Implied probability
- 0%
- Multiplier
- 782793.46x
- User PnL
- $16.27
No position
Will more than 2.5 million people travel through a TSA checkpoint on any day before August?
Ends Aug 1, 2022- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $16.15
No position
Fed rate cut by July 31?
Ends Jul 31, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $15.58
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Netanyahu say "Iran" 25+ times during address to UN General Assembly on Sept 26?No 67% 20 shares
- ECB rate cut in 2025?Yes 15% 140 shares
- Will the ECB announce a 25 bps decrease at the September meeting?Yes 1.9% 90 shares
- ECB rate cut in 2025?Yes 26% 40 shares
- Ukraine recognizes Russian sovereignty over its territory by December 31, 2025?Yes 6% 37.5 shares
- Ukraine recognizes Russian sovereignty over its territory by December 31, 2025?Yes 8% 37.5 shares
- Ukraine recognizes Russian sovereignty over its territory by December 31, 2025?Yes 8% 75 shares
- Ukraine recognizes Russian sovereignty over its territory by December 31, 2025?Yes 10% 75 shares
- Ukraine recognizes Russian sovereignty over its territory by December 31, 2025?Yes 10% 75 shares
- Will the ECB announce a 50+ bps decrease at the September meeting?Yes 0.3% 142.99 shares
- Will Donald Trump win Nobel Peace Prize in 2025?No 91.4% 30 shares
- Will the ECB announce a 50+ bps decrease at the September meeting?Yes 0.4% 213 shares