Polymarket Trader

ThePeregrineFalcon

0xd90fb10c43670a30d485ca615fe46a2f7379b6da

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $141.23
Realized PnL: $4.15K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 24
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will the Denver Nuggets win the 2026 NBA Finals?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $4.28K
Potential profit: $4.28K
User PnL: -$385

Yes position

Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.94K
Potential profit: $2.94K
User PnL: -$100

Yes position

Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 4%
Current value: $58.09
Potential payout: $1.47K
Potential profit: $1.41K
Multiplier: 25.32x
User PnL: $8.09

Wolves position

NBA Playoffs: Who Will Win Series? - Spurs vs. Timberwolves

Ends May 23, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $454.34
Potential profit: $454.34
User PnL: -$117.62

Yes position

US x Iran peace deal before Trump visits China?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $406.35
Potential profit: $406.35
User PnL: -$87.12

Yes position

Will 80 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by May 31?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $324.45
Potential profit: $324.45
User PnL: -$82.57

Yes position

GTA 6 launch postponed again?

Ends Nov 19, 2026

Implied probability: 12.5%
Current value: $40.1
Potential payout: $320.76
Potential profit: $280.67
Multiplier: 8.00x
User PnL: -$59.9

Yes position

Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 4.5%
Current value: $13.41
Potential payout: $301.3
Potential profit: $287.89
Multiplier: 22.47x
User PnL: -$57.18

Over position

Timberwolves vs. Spurs: O/U 217.5

Ends May 5, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $275.66
Potential profit: $275.66
User PnL: -$154.37

No position

Will Donald Trump visit China on May 13, 2026?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $270.86
Potential profit: $270.86
User PnL: -$119.18

No position

Will Putin visit China by May 31?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $249.03
Potential profit: $249.03
User PnL: -$94.58

Pistons position

Pistons vs. Cavaliers

Ends May 9, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $209.49
Potential profit: $209.49
User PnL: -$81.7

No position

Will Dan Cox win the 2026 Maryland Governor Republican primary election?

Ends Jun 23, 2026

Implied probability: 15.5%
Current value: $29.64
Potential payout: $191.22
Potential profit: $161.58
Multiplier: 6.45x
User PnL: -$51.88

Yes position

Will the All India Trinamool Congress (AITC) win the most seats in the 2026 West Bengal Legislative Assembly election?

Ends Apr 29, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $167.43
Potential profit: $167.43
User PnL: -$96.46

No position

Will Gemini 3.2 be released on May 19?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $153.96
Potential profit: $153.96
User PnL: -$38.63

Seattle Mariners position

Seattle Mariners vs. Chicago White Sox

Ends May 17, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $142.75
Potential profit: $142.75
User PnL: -$102.28

Yes position

Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2026 NBA Finals?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $142.05
Potential profit: $142.05
User PnL: -$79.55

Los Angeles Angels position

Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Los Angeles Angels

Ends May 24, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $140.04
Potential profit: $140.04
User PnL: -$64.42

Yes position

Will Arsenal finish in 2nd place in the 2025-26 English Premier League?

Ends May 27, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $102.96
Potential profit: $102.96
User PnL: -$28.83

Yes position

Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in May?

Ends Jun 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $85.87
Potential profit: $85.87
User PnL: -$51.52

No position

Iran closes its airspace by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $81.89
Potential profit: $81.89
User PnL: -$36.03

FURIA position

Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Spirit (BO3) - PGL Astana Group Stage

Ends May 11, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $79.92
Potential profit: $79.92
User PnL: -$59.14

No position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $66.38
Potential profit: $66.38
User PnL: -$47.13

REKONIX position

Dota 2: PlayTime vs REKONIX - Game 1 Winner

Ends May 14, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $64.78
Potential profit: $64.78
User PnL: -$33.04

Resolved Context

Closed positions

No position

Will Bitcoin reach $70,000 March 30-April 5?

Ends Apr 6, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $308.01

No position

Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $255.18

Yes position

Will "The Super Mario Galaxy Movie" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 190m and 200m?

Ends Apr 6, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $255.1

Canucks position

Canucks vs. Avalanche

Ends Apr 2, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $243.13

No position

Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in April?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $241.68

Lakers position

Lakers vs. Warriors

Ends Apr 10, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $217.07

BNK FEARX position

LoL: KT Rolster vs BNK FEARX (BO3) - Esports World Cup Korea Qualifier Playoffs

Ends May 4, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $211.01

Trail Blazers position

Trail Blazers vs. Suns

Ends Apr 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $209.61

No position

US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 20, 2026?

Ends Apr 20, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $197.17

Under position

Trail Blazers vs. Spurs: O/U 221.5

Ends Apr 20, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $192.2

Yes position

Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-05-03?

Ends May 3, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $159.74

No position

Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $150.84

Yes position

Will Kimi Antonelli win the 2026 F1 Miami Grand Prix?

Ends May 10, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $145.02

Yes position

Will Elon Musk’s net worth be between $640b and $650b on March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $142.82

Over position

Wizards vs. Warriors: O/U 232.5

Ends Mar 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $140.27

Svyatoslav Gulin position

Shymkent: Svyatoslav Gulin vs Max Hans Rehberg

Ends Apr 27, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $133.67

Daria Snigur position

Madrid Open: Daria Snigur vs Daria Kasatkina

Ends Apr 29, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $132.49

Colorado Rockies position

Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Colorado Rockies

Ends Apr 26, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $130.8

Spurs position

Spurs vs. Thunder

Ends May 19, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $129.01

Yes position

Will Tisza win at least 130 seats?

Ends Apr 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $124.62

No position

Will BV Borussia 09 Dortmund win on 2026-05-03?

Ends May 3, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $114.5

Milwaukee Brewers position

Tampa Bay Rays vs. Milwaukee Brewers

Ends Apr 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $112.79

No position

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on April 7?

Ends Apr 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $105.3

No position

Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from April 3 to April 10, 2026?

Ends Apr 10, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $100.23

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Steve Witkoff attend the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting?

Yes 57.1% 76.12 shares
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 30, 2026?

No 72.1% 320.59 shares
Fed rate cut by December 2026 meeting?

No 71.1% 286.52 shares
Will Chong Won-oh win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election

Yes 87% 41.59 shares
Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in May?

No 88% 299.99 shares
Iran closes its airspace by June 30?

No 44% 81.89 shares
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs magic - Map 2 Winner

MOUZ 89% 59.87 shares
Spurs vs. Thunder

Spurs 32% 189.72 shares
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Los Angeles Angels

Los Angeles Angels 46% 140.04 shares
Boston Red Sox vs. Atlanta Braves

Boston Red Sox 47% 34.53 shares
Dota 2: Aurora vs Vici Gaming (BO3) - DreamLeague Group A

Aurora 84% 72.6 shares
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?

No 71% 66.38 shares