Polymarket Trader

DonDonsn

0xd920b783b00bcd15812493ca06e0e2bee69461a9

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $2.64K
Realized PnL: $163.68
Win rate: 77.8%
Open positions: 17
Closed positions: 9
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

No position

Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 96.8%
Current value: $1K
Potential payout: $1.04K
Potential profit: $33.68
Multiplier: 1.03x
User PnL: $2.59

Yes position

Will Flavio Cobolli win the 2026 Men's French Open?

Ends Jun 7, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.03K
Potential profit: $1.03K
User PnL: -$210

Up position

SpaceX IPO: Closing Price Up/Down End of First Month?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 76.5%
Current value: $432.84
Potential payout: $565.8
Potential profit: $132.96
Multiplier: 1.31x
User PnL: -$67.16

SpaceX position

SpaceX vs Tesla - higher valuation on June 30?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 97%
Current value: $495.37
Potential payout: $510.96
Potential profit: $15.58
Multiplier: 1.03x
User PnL: -$4.63

No position

SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.8T?

Ends Dec 31, 2027

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $434.78
Potential profit: $434.78
User PnL: -$100

Yes position

Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $900B by June 30?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 11%
Current value: $27.84
Potential payout: $253.08
Potential profit: $225.24
Multiplier: 9.09x
User PnL: -$72.16

Yes position

SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.4T?

Ends Dec 31, 2027

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $226.42
Potential profit: $226.42
User PnL: -$120

Yes position

Will Austria win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0.5%
Current value: $0.75
Potential payout: $166.67
Potential profit: $165.92
Multiplier: 222.22x
User PnL: -$0.25

No position

Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 64%
Current value: $95.15
Potential payout: $148.68
Potential profit: $53.52
Multiplier: 1.56x
User PnL: -$4.85

No position

Will Anthropic’s valuation hit (HIGH) $1.25T by June 30?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 92%
Current value: $123.22
Potential payout: $133.93
Potential profit: $10.71
Multiplier: 1.09x
User PnL: $23.22

No position

McDonald's CEO out by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 98.4%
Current value: $108.22
Potential payout: $109.98
Potential profit: $1.76
Multiplier: 1.02x
User PnL: $3.22

No position

Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 95.3%
Current value: $103.75
Potential payout: $108.93
Potential profit: $5.17
Multiplier: 1.05x
User PnL: $1.75

No position

Will Donald Trump publicly insult Elon Musk by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 96.6%
Current value: $103.59
Potential payout: $107.23
Potential profit: $3.65
Multiplier: 1.04x
User PnL: $3.59

No position

Human moon landing in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 97%
Current value: $102.94
Potential payout: $106.12
Potential profit: $3.18
Multiplier: 1.03x
User PnL: $2.94

Yes position

Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 13.7%
Current value: $8.58
Potential payout: $62.89
Potential profit: $54.31
Multiplier: 7.33x
User PnL: -$1.42

Yes position

Will Trump and Putin not meet?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 98.8%
Current value: $27.65
Potential payout: $28
Potential profit: $0.35
Multiplier: 1.01x
User PnL: $2.65

No position

Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 87.5%
Current value: $10.07
Potential payout: $11.52
Potential profit: $1.45
Multiplier: 1.14x
User PnL: $0.07

Resolved Context

Closed positions

No position

US forces enter Iran by March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $72.41

No position

US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $59.07

No position

Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by April 30, 2026?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $38.53

No position

Will another country conduct military action against Iran by April 30, 2026?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $36.99

No position

Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?

Ends Apr 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $24.1

No position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 22, 2026?

Ends Apr 22, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $8.17

No position

US forces enter Iran by April 30?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $1

Yes position

SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2T?

Ends Dec 31, 2027

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

Yes position

Will Morgan Stanley or any of its underwriting affiliates serve as the lead underwriter in SpaceX’s initial public offering?

Ends Dec 31, 2027

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$76.59

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

No 96.5% 1,036.27 shares
SpaceX vs Tesla - higher valuation on June 30?

SpaceX 97.9% 510.96 shares
SpaceX IPO: Closing Price Up/Down End of First Month?

Up 88.4% 565.8 shares
Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by December 31?

No 67.3% 148.68 shares
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.4T?

Yes 53% 226.42 shares
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2T?

Yes 79.5% 6,285.63 shares
Will Flavio Cobolli win the 2026 Men's French Open?

Yes 17% 588.24 shares
Will Flavio Cobolli win the 2026 Men's French Open?

Yes 26% 384.03 shares
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.8T?

No 23% 434.78 shares
Will Flavio Cobolli win the 2026 Men's French Open?

Yes 18.2% 54.95 shares
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2T?

Yes 63% 317.46 shares
Will Donald Trump publicly insult Elon Musk by June 30, 2026?

No 93.3% 107.23 shares