No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 53.5%
- Current value
- $910.93
- Potential payout
- $1.7K
- Potential profit
- $791.75
- Multiplier
- 1.87x
- User PnL
- $332.02
Polymarket Trader
JustHereWaiting
0xd923b58e7874de549b0b9bd07db49eeb2878f400
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $1.51K
- Realized PnL
- $50.57K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 6
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 15, 2026?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.58K
- Potential profit
- $1.58K
- User PnL
- -$1.12K
Yes position
Will "Running Point: Season 2" be the top US Netflix show this week?
Ends Apr 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.11K
- Potential profit
- $1.11K
- User PnL
- -$504.21
Yes position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?
Ends Jul 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 27.5%
- Current value
- $275
- Potential payout
- $1K
- Potential profit
- $725
- Multiplier
- 3.64x
- User PnL
- -$225
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 91.5%
- Current value
- $320.25
- Potential payout
- $350
- Potential profit
- $29.75
- Multiplier
- 1.09x
- User PnL
- $40.25
Yes position
Starmer out by May 19, 2026?
Ends May 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $20.64
- Potential profit
- $20.64
- User PnL
- -$2.68
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
US forces enter Iran by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $12.22K
No position
US strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8.83K
No position
Epstein client list released in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.82K
No position
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 87.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.14x
- User PnL
- $2.7K
No position
Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?
Ends Sep 30, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.06K
No position
Will André Ventura win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?
Ends Jan 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.88K
No position
Enhanced ACA premium tax credits extended in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.66K
No position
US strikes Iran by February 13, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.51K
Yes position
Will Karen Bass & Nithya Raman advance to the second round of the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?
Ends Jun 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.42K
Yes position
Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.38K
No position
Will the U.S. invade Venezuela by January 31, 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.32K
No position
US strikes Iran by February 6, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.27K
No position
US strikes Iran by February 19, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.14K
Yes position
Will "Avatar: Fire and Ash" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 90m?
Ends Dec 22, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.11K
No position
Will Spencer Pratt finish first in the first round of the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?
Ends Jun 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.06K
No position
US strikes Iran by January 14, 2026?
Ends Jan 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.02K
No position
Kamala Harris wins a solid red state?
Ends Nov 5, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $966.37
No position
US strikes Iran by February 26, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $954.81
No position
US strikes Iran by February 7, 2026?
Ends Feb 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $928.5
No position
US strikes Iran by January 16, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $882.68
No position
Will Karen Bass & Spencer Pratt advance to the second round of the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?
Ends Jun 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $882
No position
Will Pope Leo XIV be TIME's Person of the Year for 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $873.2
No position
US strikes Iran by January 23, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $851.31
No position
Kamala Harris 538 odds >55% on Friday?
Ends Oct 18, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $822.99
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Robert Kenyon win the 2026 Makerfield by-election?No 95% 20 shares
- Will Andy Burnham win the 2026 Makerfield by-election?Yes 95% 6,483.27 shares
- Will Andy Burnham win the 2026 Makerfield by-election?Yes 93% 577.71 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?Yes 99.9% 4,000 shares
- Will Steve Hilton finish first in the 2026 California Governor primary election?No 99.6% 2,167.27 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?Yes 89.4% 6.88 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?Yes 93% 5,000 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?Yes 14.9% 1,934.35 shares
- Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-12?No 80% 1,007 shares
- Will Karen Bass & Spencer Pratt advance to the second round of the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?No 99.4% 3,000 shares
- Will Karen Bass & Nithya Raman advance to the second round of the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?Yes 99.3% 2,499.97 shares
- Will Karen Bass & Nithya Raman advance to the second round of the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?Yes 99.4% 19.99 shares