Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from June 23 to June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 18.5%
- Current value
- $5.31
- Potential payout
- $28.7
- Potential profit
- $23.39
- Multiplier
- 5.41x
- User PnL
- -$2.69
Polymarket Trader
Ardalof
@Ardalof
0xd926d72c32ed8224b6749d3c134a3e1ae9b46edb
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $37.07
- Realized PnL
- $239.05
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 10
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from June 26 to July 3, 2026?
Ends Jul 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 14.5%
- Current value
- $4.03
- Potential payout
- $27.78
- Potential profit
- $23.75
- Multiplier
- 6.90x
- User PnL
- -$0.97
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from June 27 to June 29, 2026?
Ends Jun 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $0.01
- Potential payout
- $27.37
- Potential profit
- $27.36
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- -$0.04
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from June 27 to June 29, 2026?
Ends Jun 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.8%
- Current value
- $0.2
- Potential payout
- $27.3
- Potential profit
- $27.1
- Multiplier
- 133.33x
- User PnL
- -$1.43
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 26 to July 3, 2026?
Ends Jul 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 25.5%
- Current value
- $5.1
- Potential payout
- $20
- Potential profit
- $14.9
- Multiplier
- 3.92x
- User PnL
- $0.1
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from June 27 to June 29, 2026?
Ends Jun 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 33.5%
- Current value
- $6.21
- Potential payout
- $18.54
- Potential profit
- $12.33
- Multiplier
- 2.99x
- User PnL
- -$2.87
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from June 23 to June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 46.5%
- Current value
- $6.75
- Potential payout
- $14.52
- Potential profit
- $7.77
- Multiplier
- 2.15x
- User PnL
- $0.85
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 23 to June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 28.4%
- Current value
- $2.84
- Potential payout
- $10
- Potential profit
- $7.16
- Multiplier
- 3.52x
- User PnL
- -$1.15
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from June 27 to June 29, 2026?
Ends Jun 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 66%
- Current value
- $5.28
- Potential payout
- $8
- Potential profit
- $2.72
- Multiplier
- 1.52x
- User PnL
- $0.28
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from June 26 to July 3, 2026?
Ends Jul 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 26.5%
- Current value
- $1.33
- Potential payout
- $5
- Potential profit
- $3.68
- Multiplier
- 3.77x
- User PnL
- $0.07
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 520-539 tweets from January 9 to January 16, 2026?
Ends Jan 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $48.98
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET
Ends May 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $22.71
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 54-55°F on January 11?
Ends Jan 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $17.43
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in London be 11°C on January 12?
Ends Jan 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $17.32
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from January 27 to February 3, 2026?
Ends Feb 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $15
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in London be 10°C on January 21?
Ends Jan 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $12.05
Yes position
Internet Access restored in Iran by May 31, 2026?
Ends Mar 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $11.56
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $10
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 22-23°F on January 27?
Ends Jan 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8.54
BetBoom Team position
Dota 2: Power Rangers vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - FISSURE Universe Episode 8 Playoffs
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.73
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 13, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET
Ends Feb 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.71
Yes position
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $7.08
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from January 23 to January 30, 2026?
Ends Jan 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.45
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 46-47°F on January 11?
Ends Jan 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.2
Up position
Ethereum Up or Down - May 31, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.93
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from February 6 to February 13, 2026?
Ends Feb 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.73
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 52-53°F on January 12?
Ends Jan 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.65
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 32-33°F on January 24?
Ends Jan 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.03
Up position
Ethereum Up or Down - May 30, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET
Ends May 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.02
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 13, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET
Ends Feb 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.95
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 15, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET
Ends Feb 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.85
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.76
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.71
Yes position
Will Ali Khamenei be the next leader out before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $3.66
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from June 23 to June 30, 2026?Yes 28.4% 17.59 shares
- Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from June 27 to June 29, 2026?Yes 66% 7.58 shares
- Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 26 to July 3, 2026?Yes 25% 20 shares
- Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from June 27 to June 29, 2026?Yes 65% 23.2 shares
- Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from June 27 to June 29, 2026?Yes 48% 10.42 shares
- Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from June 27 to June 29, 2026?Yes 33% 15.15 shares
- Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from June 26 to July 3, 2026?Yes 18% 27.78 shares
- Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from June 27 to June 29, 2026?Yes 70% 5 shares
- Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 23 to June 30, 2026?Yes 45.5% 5 shares
- Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from June 27 to June 29, 2026?Yes 24% 5 shares
- Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 23 to June 30, 2026?Yes 34.4% 5 shares
- Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from June 23 to June 30, 2026?Yes 38% 5 shares