No position
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 79.5%
- Current value
- $34.55
- Potential payout
- $43.46
- Potential profit
- $8.91
- Multiplier
- 1.26x
- User PnL
- $8.55
Polymarket Trader
cjv09
0xd932c17d7c80186881405009f1404b76e09fdad3
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $62.69
- Realized PnL
- $6.49
- Win rate
- 43.8%
- Open positions
- 10
- Closed positions
- 16
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will New Zealand win on 2026-06-21?
Ends Jun 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $17.75
- Potential profit
- $17.75
- User PnL
- -$8
No position
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 91.5%
- Current value
- $11.98
- Potential payout
- $13.1
- Potential profit
- $1.11
- Multiplier
- 1.09x
- User PnL
- $0.98
No position
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 88.3%
- Current value
- $9.37
- Potential payout
- $10.61
- Potential profit
- $1.25
- Multiplier
- 1.13x
- User PnL
- -$0.13
Y
Yes position
Will anyone say "Loyal" or "Loyalty" during Love Island E20?
Ends Jun 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $9.7
- Potential profit
- $9.7
- User PnL
- -$8
Yes position
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 83.5%
- Current value
- $6.8
- Potential payout
- $8.14
- Potential profit
- $1.34
- Multiplier
- 1.20x
- User PnL
- -$0.2
Yes position
Will Argentina vs. Algeria end in a draw?
Ends Jun 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $5
- Potential profit
- $5
- User PnL
- -$1.2
Yes position
Will Ghana vs. Panama end in a draw?
Ends Jun 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $3.34
- Potential profit
- $3.34
- User PnL
- -$2
No position
Will Egypt win on 2026-06-21?
Ends Jun 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $3.17
- Potential profit
- $3.17
- User PnL
- -$2
No position
Will Ghana win on 2026-06-17?
Ends Jun 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $2.29
- Potential profit
- $2.29
- User PnL
- -$2
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 26?
Ends Jun 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.09
Philadelphia Phillies position
New York Mets vs. Philadelphia Phillies
Ends Jun 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.61
Yes position
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.3%
- Multiplier
- 400.00x
- User PnL
- $1.6
No position
Will OpenAI release a new frontier model on or before June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 96.7%
- Multiplier
- 1.03x
- User PnL
- $1.33
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.5%
- User PnL
- $1.15
Yes position
Will Argentina win on 2026-06-16?
Ends Jun 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.34
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 62.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.60x
- User PnL
- $0.3
No position
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 19?
Ends Jun 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
No position
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 22?
Ends Jun 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
Y
Yes position
Will anyone say "Genuine" during Love Island E20?
Ends Jun 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $70 by end of June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$0.02
Yes position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 37.5%
- Multiplier
- 2.67x
- User PnL
- -$0.02
Yes position
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 20.5%
- Multiplier
- 4.88x
- User PnL
- -$0.2
Yes position
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 26?
Ends Jun 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$0.72
Yes position
Will Panama win on 2026-06-17?
Ends Jun 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$2
Yes position
Will New Zealand vs. Egypt end in a draw?
Ends Jun 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$3.95
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 30?No 84% 13.1 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?No 61% 18.51 shares
- Will Google have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?No 89.5% 10.61 shares
- Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?Yes 86% 8.14 shares
- Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?No 74% 6.76 shares
- Will anyone say "Genuine" during Love Island E20?Yes 82.5% 9.7 shares
- Will anyone say "Loyal" or "Loyalty" during Love Island E20?Yes 82.5% 9.7 shares
- Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 26?No 91% 30.86 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?No 54% 1.85 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?Yes 46% 2.12 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?Yes 47% 2.13 shares
- Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?No 66% 9.09 shares