Yes position
Will Jorge Nieto finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
Ends Apr 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $6.6
- Potential profit
- $6.6
- User PnL
- -$6
Polymarket Trader
berchavez
0xd937b17445167578f5e4eaedfa122276fbdb5453
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $0.98
- Realized PnL
- $5.82
- Win rate
- 95.5%
- Open positions
- 2
- Closed positions
- 22
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will SpaceX have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 85.5%
- Current value
- $0.98
- Potential payout
- $1.15
- Potential profit
- $0.17
- Multiplier
- 1.17x
- User PnL
- -$0.02
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will José Antonio Kast win the Chilean presidential election?
Ends Nov 16, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.94
Yes position
Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 English Premier League?
Ends May 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.22
Yes position
Will Mette Frederiksen be the next prime minister of Denmark after the 2026 parliamentary elections?
Ends Mar 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.88
Yes position
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $68,000 and $70,000 on March 20?
Ends Mar 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.66
Yes position
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2025 meeting?
Ends Dec 10, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.47
Warriors position
Warriors vs. Pelicans
Ends Nov 17, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.47
Yes position
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1T?
Ends Dec 31, 2027- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.38
Yes position
Will Gemini 3.0 be released on November 18 2025?
Ends Nov 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.37
Yes position
Will the Government shutdown end November 12-15?
Ends Nov 15, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.23
Yes position
Will Trump meet with Xi Jinping by October 31?
Ends Oct 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.22
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from March 13 to March 20, 2026?
Ends Mar 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.22
Yes position
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of March 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.2
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 13, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET
Ends Apr 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.19
No position
Nuclear weapon detonation in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.13
Yes position
House passes Epstein disclosure bill/resolution in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.06
Yes position
Epstein disclosure bill/resolution enacted in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.06
Yes position
Will Google (GOOGL) close above $310 on April 13?
Ends Apr 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.05
No position
Xi Jinping out in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.04
No position
Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.02
Up position
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on April 13?
Ends Apr 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.01
Yes position
Will MrBeast hit 115 billion views by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
Will the Government shutdown end November 4-7?
Ends Nov 15, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$2
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Google (GOOGL) close above $310 on April 13?Yes 99% 5.05 shares
- WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on April 13?Up 99% 1.01 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - April 13, 10:15AM-10:20AM ETDown 99.9% 1.17 shares
- Will Jorge Nieto finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?Yes 90.9% 6.6 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - April 13, 10:15AM-10:20AM ETDown 84% 1.18 shares
- Will Mette Frederiksen be the next prime minister of Denmark after the 2026 parliamentary elections?Yes 85% 5.88 shares
- SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1T?Yes 93% 5.38 shares
- Will MrBeast hit 115 billion views by March 31?Yes 99.8% 1 shares
- Will SpaceX have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?Yes 87% 1.15 shares
- Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of March 2026?Yes 96.8% 6.2 shares
- Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?No 97.9% 1.02 shares
- Will the price of Bitcoin be between $68,000 and $70,000 on March 20?Yes 60% 1.64 shares