No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 26.5%
- Current value
- $10.82
- Potential payout
- $40.83
- Potential profit
- $30.01
- Multiplier
- 3.77x
- User PnL
- $3.82
Polymarket Trader
0xd93d3936f68365E65dc9a08734d3462211D3cef0-1778641529191
0xd93d3936f68365e65dc9a08734d3462211d3cef0
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $18.58
- Realized PnL
- $10.53
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 4
- Closed positions
- 3
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will ByteDance have the best Chinese AI model at the end of July 2026?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.2%
- Current value
- $0.06
- Potential payout
- $40.5
- Potential profit
- $40.44
- Multiplier
- 666.67x
- User PnL
- -$4.55
No position
Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2027- Implied probability
- 87.5%
- Current value
- $5.27
- Potential payout
- $6.02
- Potential profit
- $0.75
- Multiplier
- 1.14x
- User PnL
- $0.27
No position
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 87.5%
- Current value
- $2.43
- Potential payout
- $2.78
- Potential profit
- $0.35
- Multiplier
- 1.14x
- User PnL
- $0.43
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 84.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.18x
- User PnL
- $4.6
No position
Will SpaceX's valuation hit (HIGH) $3.0T by June 30?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.28
Yes position
Will SpaceX's public ticker be another ticker?
Ends Dec 31, 2027- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.65
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will SpaceX's valuation hit (HIGH) $3.0T by June 30?No 86.5% 17.28 shares
- Will SpaceX's valuation hit (HIGH) $3.0T by June 30?No 61.7% 17.28 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?No 10% 20 shares
- Will ByteDance have the best Chinese AI model at the end of July 2026?Yes 12.6% 13.88 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?No 66% 19.09 shares
- Will SpaceX's public ticker be another ticker?Yes 97% 3.76 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?No 30% 10 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?No 24% 20.83 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?No 55% 9.09 shares
- Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?No 72% 2.78 shares
- Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027?No 83% 6.02 shares
- Will SpaceX's public ticker be another ticker?Yes 53.1% 3.77 shares