Yes position
Will any Category 5 hurricane make landfall in the US in before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 16%
- Current value
- $66.67
- Potential payout
- $416.67
- Potential profit
- $350
- Multiplier
- 6.25x
- User PnL
- $16.67
Polymarket Trader
arsarmandi
0xd94971d8736fc5ad50a49c281f181e35b2067eaf
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $208.32
- Realized PnL
- $0
- Win rate
- Unavailable
- Open positions
- 7
- Closed positions
- 0
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 1.9%
- Current value
- $6.85
- Potential payout
- $370.37
- Potential profit
- $363.52
- Multiplier
- 54.05x
- User PnL
- -$3.15
Yes position
Trump x Greenland deal signed by January 31?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $241.76
- Potential profit
- $241.76
- User PnL
- -$10
Yes position
Will Google say "Regulator" or "Regulation" or "Regulatory" during earnings call?
Ends Feb 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $137.64
- Potential profit
- $137.64
- User PnL
- -$50
Yes position
Will Kylian Mbappe be the 2025/2026 top UCL goal scorer?
Ends May 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $134.8
- Potential payout
- $134.8
- Potential profit
- $0
- User PnL
- $34.8
Yes position
Will there be exactly 5 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $103.87
- Potential profit
- $103.87
- User PnL
- -$11
No position
Will the government shutdown last 3 days or more?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $51.85
- Potential profit
- $51.85
- User PnL
- -$20
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No closed positions returned for this trader.
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will the government shutdown last 3 days or more?No 38.6% 51.85 shares
- Will Google say "Regulator" or "Regulation" or "Regulatory" during earnings call?Yes 36.3% 137.64 shares
- Will any Category 5 hurricane make landfall in the US in before 2027?Yes 12% 416.67 shares
- Will there be exactly 5 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide by June 30?Yes 10.6% 103.87 shares
- Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?Yes 2.7% 370.37 shares
- Will Kylian Mbappe be the 2025/2026 top UCL goal scorer?Yes 74.2% 134.8 shares
- Trump x Greenland deal signed by January 31?Yes 4.1% 241.76 shares