Yes position
Will xAI have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.2%
- Current value
- $2.28
- Potential payout
- $1.52K
- Potential profit
- $1.52K
- Multiplier
- 666.67x
- User PnL
- -$5.36
Polymarket Trader
Axl11
0xd94a608e15cd9db360537f20137598411293173f
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $112.18
- Realized PnL
- $136.53
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 14
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 2.2%
- Current value
- $6.6
- Potential payout
- $299.99
- Potential profit
- $293.39
- Multiplier
- 45.45x
- User PnL
- $0.23
Yes position
Will Elon Musk win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 0.8%
- Current value
- $1.88
- Potential payout
- $250
- Potential profit
- $248.13
- Multiplier
- 133.33x
- User PnL
- -$0.38
Yes position
Will Ronaldo Caiado win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
Ends Oct 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 1.7%
- Current value
- $3.3
- Potential payout
- $199.97
- Potential profit
- $196.67
- Multiplier
- 60.61x
- User PnL
- $0.3
Yes position
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 13.5%
- Current value
- $6.75
- Potential payout
- $50
- Potential profit
- $43.25
- Multiplier
- 7.41x
- User PnL
- -$2.25
Yes position
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 9.5%
- Current value
- $3.71
- Potential payout
- $39.05
- Potential profit
- $35.34
- Multiplier
- 10.53x
- User PnL
- -$4.49
Yes position
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 92%
- Current value
- $18.4
- Potential payout
- $20
- Potential profit
- $1.6
- Multiplier
- 1.09x
- User PnL
- $0.4
Yes position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 4.5%
- Current value
- $0.9
- Potential payout
- $20
- Potential profit
- $19.1
- Multiplier
- 22.22x
- User PnL
- -$0.7
Yes position
Will the Republicans win the Texas governor race in 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 82.5%
- Current value
- $16.5
- Potential payout
- $20
- Potential profit
- $3.5
- Multiplier
- 1.21x
- User PnL
- $0.1
No position
Discord IPO before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 37.7%
- Current value
- $7.15
- Potential payout
- $19
- Potential profit
- $11.85
- Multiplier
- 2.66x
- User PnL
- -$1.78
Yes position
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 92.6%
- Current value
- $13.88
- Potential payout
- $15
- Potential profit
- $1.12
- Multiplier
- 1.08x
- User PnL
- $2.63
No position
Nasdaq round-the-clock trading by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.4%
- Current value
- $14.9
- Potential payout
- $15
- Potential profit
- $0.1
- User PnL
- $2.9
No position
US strike on Cuba by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 52.5%
- Current value
- $7.88
- Potential payout
- $15
- Potential profit
- $7.13
- Multiplier
- 1.90x
- User PnL
- $0.07
Yes position
Will the Republicans win the Kansas Senate race in 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 80.5%
- Current value
- $8.05
- Potential payout
- $10
- Potential profit
- $1.95
- Multiplier
- 1.24x
- User PnL
- -$0.05
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.8%
- Multiplier
- 133.33x
- User PnL
- $29.3
Yes position
Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $11.9
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 22, 2026?
Ends Apr 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $10.98
Yes position
Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 launch by May 22?
Ends May 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $9.9
Yes position
Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 15, 2026?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8.4
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by June 15?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.72
Yes position
Starmer out by July 31, 2026?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 96.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.04x
- User PnL
- $6.6
No position
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by April 23, 2026?
Ends Apr 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.58
Yes position
Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. Arsenal FC: Both Teams to Score
Ends May 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.21
Yes position
Will Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.04
Yes position
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.9
No position
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by April 30, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.6
Yes position
Starmer out by May 15, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $3.2
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.8
Yes position
Confirmed case of Hantavirus in US by May 15?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.5
Yes position
Starmer out by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.3%
- User PnL
- $2.18
Yes position
Will Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.1
Yes position
Will Morgan Stanley or any of its underwriting affiliates serve as the lead underwriter in OpenAI's initial public offering?Will Morgan Stanley or any of its underwriting affiliates serve as the lead underwriter in OpenAI's initial public offering?
Ends Dec 31, 2027- Implied probability
- 16%
- Multiplier
- 6.25x
- User PnL
- $1.95
Yes position
Will France win on 2026-06-16?
Ends Jun 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.9
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.66
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.5
Yes position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $1.4
Yes position
No-Confidence Vote against Starmer by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 3.1%
- Multiplier
- 32.26x
- User PnL
- $1.2
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?Yes 8% 20 shares
- Will Spain win on 2026-06-15?Yes 10% 8 shares
- Will Cabo Verde win on 2026-06-15?Yes 4.5% 50 shares
- SpaceX IPO: Will Elon Musk Ring the Bell?Yes 0.3% 7.14 shares
- SpaceX IPO: Will Elon Musk Ring the Bell?Yes 14% 7.14 shares
- Will xAI have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?Yes 0.2% 500 shares
- Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 9, 2026?No 30% 15 shares
- Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 15, 2026?Yes 30.6% 6 shares
- Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 30, 2026?No 29% 30 shares
- US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31?Yes 18% 50 shares
- Will xAI have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?Yes 0.3% 340 shares
- Will xAI have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?Yes 0.3% 400 shares