Polymarket Trader

0xD94D74F0cf610e2191cf3324bffEb31F8D2fe6CF-1761084790185

0xd94d74f0cf610e2191cf3324bffeb31f8d2fe6cf

Public profile Partial data Delayed sectionDelayed section

Open value: $441.36
Realized PnL: $0
Win rate: Unavailable
Open positions: 24
Closed positions: 0
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

No position

US x Iran ceasefire by April 15?

Ends Apr 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $566.34
Potential profit: $566.34
User PnL: -$497

No position

US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?

Ends Apr 7, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $306.12
Potential profit: $306.12
User PnL: -$300

No position

Will Benjamin Netanyahu sign a U.S. x Iran deal by July 31?

Ends Aug 1, 2026

Implied probability: 97.7%
Current value: $189.46
Potential payout: $194.01
Potential profit: $4.56
Multiplier: 1.02x
User PnL: $1.46

No position

Will Russia capture all of Pokrovsk by February 28?

Ends Sep 30, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $147.76
Potential profit: $147.76
User PnL: -$99

No position

Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in April?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $116.94
Potential profit: $116.94
User PnL: -$99.4

Yes position

Will Curaçao concede the most goals in the 2026 FIFA World Cup Group Stage?

Ends Jun 29, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $114.94
Potential profit: $114.94
User PnL: -$100

No position

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 56%
Current value: $60.83
Potential payout: $108.62
Potential profit: $47.79
Multiplier: 1.79x
User PnL: -$2.17

Odd position

Map 3: Odd/Even Total Kills?

Ends Apr 6, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $101.03
Potential profit: $101.03
User PnL: -$99.97

Yes position

Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 20.5%
Current value: $19.52
Potential payout: $95.24
Potential profit: $75.71
Multiplier: 4.88x
User PnL: -$0.48

No position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 95.6%
Current value: $90.05
Potential payout: $94.24
Potential profit: $4.19
Multiplier: 1.05x
User PnL: $0.05

No position

Labour leadership election scheduled by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 1.1%
Current value: $0.95
Potential payout: $90.35
Potential profit: $89.4
Multiplier: 95.24x
User PnL: -$7.05

Yes position

Will Russia capture Pokrovka by February 28?

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $80.01
Potential profit: $80.01
User PnL: -$43

Yes position

Will France win Group I in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jun 27, 2026

Implied probability: 80.5%
Current value: $52.27
Potential payout: $64.94
Potential profit: $12.66
Multiplier: 1.24x
User PnL: $2.27

Yes position

Will Timothée Chalamet win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?

Ends Mar 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $61.66
Potential profit: $61.66
User PnL: -$25

Yes position

Will JD Vance attend the US-Iran Signing Ceremony?

Ends Jul 7, 2026

Implied probability: 2.6%
Current value: $1.58
Potential payout: $60.81
Potential profit: $59.23
Multiplier: 38.46x
User PnL: -$23.42

Yes position

Will Coca Cola run an Ad during Super Bowl LX?

Ends Feb 8, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $60.4
Potential profit: $60.4
User PnL: -$9

Yes position

Will Shehbaz Sharif attend the US-Iran Signing Ceremony?

Ends Jul 7, 2026

Implied probability: 6.3%
Current value: $3.69
Potential payout: $58.61
Potential profit: $54.91
Multiplier: 15.87x
User PnL: -$21.31

No position

Will Putin visit China by May 31?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $55.08
Potential profit: $55.08
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will Germany win on 2026-06-25?

Ends Jun 25, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $54.55
Potential profit: $54.55
User PnL: -$30

Yes position

Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 8.3%
Current value: $3.98
Potential payout: $48.19
Potential profit: $44.22
Multiplier: 12.12x
User PnL: -$0.02

Yes position

Will the Bank of Russia make no change to the key rate after the February Meeting?

Ends Feb 13, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $39.39
Potential profit: $39.39
User PnL: -$13

NIP position

Counter-Strike: NIP vs 3DMAX (BO3)

Ends Dec 3, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $37.04
Potential profit: $37.04
User PnL: -$20

Yes position

Will Portugal win Group K in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jun 27, 2026

Implied probability: 51.5%
Current value: $19.03
Potential payout: $36.96
Potential profit: $17.92
Multiplier: 1.94x
User PnL: $2.03

Astralis position

Counter-Strike: Liquid vs Astralis (BO3)

Ends Dec 2, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $36.36
Potential profit: $36.36
User PnL: -$20

Resolved Context

Closed positions

No closed positions returned for this trader.

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Côte d'Ivoire win on 2026-06-25?

Yes 99.1% 856.71 shares
Will Germany win on 2026-06-25?

Yes 55% 54.55 shares
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026?

Yes 21% 95.24 shares
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?

No 95.5% 94.24 shares
Another GTA VI trailer released by June 26?

No 60.5% 33.08 shares
Labour leadership election scheduled by June 30?

No 8.9% 90.35 shares
Will Argentina win Group J in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 99.7% 58.82 shares
Will Portugal win Group K in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 46% 36.96 shares
Spread: Tunisia (-1.5)

Japan 99.5% 178.46 shares
Spread: Tunisia (-1.5)

Japan 97.5% 178.46 shares
Will Germany win Group E in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 99.9% 690.41 shares
Will Argentina win Group J in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 85% 58.82 shares