Yes position
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 34.5%
- Current value
- $544.94
- Potential payout
- $1.58K
- Potential profit
- $1.04K
- Multiplier
- 2.90x
- User PnL
- $4.07
Polymarket Trader
Te0n2
@SellerTe0n
0xd950ef37b32702061d63e44a8475c360193cad1b
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $4.96K
- Realized PnL
- $41.22K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 72%
- Current value
- $1.01K
- Potential payout
- $1.4K
- Potential profit
- $392
- Multiplier
- 1.39x
- User PnL
- $65.11
No position
Will Anthropic flip BTC by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 33%
- Current value
- $313.5
- Potential payout
- $949.99
- Potential profit
- $636.49
- Multiplier
- 3.03x
- User PnL
- -$93.49
No position
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 69.5%
- Current value
- $625.41
- Potential payout
- $900
- Potential profit
- $274.59
- Multiplier
- 1.44x
- User PnL
- $38.91
No position
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 97.8%
- Current value
- $782.01
- Potential payout
- $800.01
- Potential profit
- $18
- Multiplier
- 1.02x
- User PnL
- $10.3
Yes position
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.7%
- Current value
- $5.2
- Potential payout
- $799.99
- Potential profit
- $794.79
- Multiplier
- 153.85x
- User PnL
- -$90.13
Yes position
Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $748.75
- Potential profit
- $748.75
- User PnL
- -$11.23
No position
Will Iran Play in the World Cup?
Ends Aug 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $730.75
- Potential profit
- $730.75
- User PnL
- -$14.6
Yes position
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 7.4%
- Current value
- $51.45
- Potential payout
- $700
- Potential profit
- $648.55
- Multiplier
- 13.61x
- User PnL
- -$5.05
Yes position
Will Mikel Oyarzabal be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 1.4%
- Current value
- $9.45
- Potential payout
- $700
- Potential profit
- $690.55
- Multiplier
- 74.07x
- User PnL
- -$39.55
No position
Will Zelenskyy talk to Putin by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 69.5%
- Current value
- $478.97
- Potential payout
- $689.27
- Potential profit
- $210.3
- Multiplier
- 1.44x
- User PnL
- $32.46
Yes position
Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 by December 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 23.5%
- Current value
- $150.39
- Potential payout
- $639.97
- Potential profit
- $489.58
- Multiplier
- 4.26x
- User PnL
- -$119.19
Yes position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 46.5%
- Current value
- $278.96
- Potential payout
- $599.91
- Potential profit
- $320.95
- Multiplier
- 2.15x
- User PnL
- $3.01
Yes position
Will Bitcoin hit $150k by December 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 4.5%
- Current value
- $25.61
- Potential payout
- $569.19
- Potential profit
- $543.58
- Multiplier
- 22.22x
- User PnL
- -$100.84
Yes position
Will Daniil Medvedev be the 2026 Men’s Wimbledon winner?
Ends Jul 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 2.1%
- Current value
- $11.32
- Potential payout
- $538.89
- Potential profit
- $527.58
- Multiplier
- 47.62x
- User PnL
- -$0
Yes position
Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 25.7%
- Current value
- $120.79
- Potential payout
- $470.01
- Potential profit
- $349.22
- Multiplier
- 3.89x
- User PnL
- -$68.35
Yes position
Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?
Ends Oct 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 7.5%
- Current value
- $33.15
- Potential payout
- $441.94
- Potential profit
- $408.79
- Multiplier
- 13.33x
- User PnL
- -$48.61
Yes position
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 83.3%
- Current value
- $333
- Potential payout
- $400
- Potential profit
- $67
- Multiplier
- 1.20x
- User PnL
- -$1.4
Yes position
Will Jakub Menšík be the 2026 Men’s Wimbledon winner?
Ends Jul 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 2.4%
- Current value
- $9.4
- Potential payout
- $400
- Potential profit
- $390.6
- Multiplier
- 42.55x
- User PnL
- $0.2
Yes position
Will Jack Draper be the 2026 Men’s Wimbledon winner?
Ends Jul 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 1.2%
- Current value
- $4.8
- Potential payout
- $400
- Potential profit
- $395.2
- Multiplier
- 83.33x
- User PnL
- -$2.8
Yes position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?
Ends Jul 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 25.5%
- Current value
- $102
- Potential payout
- $400
- Potential profit
- $298
- Multiplier
- 3.92x
- User PnL
- -$66
Yes position
Will Taylor Fritz be the 2026 Men’s Wimbledon winner?
Ends Jul 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 3.4%
- Current value
- $13.4
- Potential payout
- $399.99
- Potential profit
- $386.59
- Multiplier
- 29.85x
- User PnL
- $3
Yes position
Will Félix Auger-Aliassime be the 2026 Men’s Wimbledon winner?
Ends Jul 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.9%
- Current value
- $3.4
- Potential payout
- $399.99
- Potential profit
- $396.59
- Multiplier
- 117.65x
- User PnL
- -$0.6
Y
Yes position
Will Neymar Jr.'s national team advance the furthest at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 12.5%
- Current value
- $50
- Potential payout
- $399.97
- Potential profit
- $349.98
- Multiplier
- 8.00x
- User PnL
- -$26
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
US strikes Iran by February 22, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $3.6K
Yes position
US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.46K
Yes position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $3.05K
Yes position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.81K
Yes position
US strikes Iran by February 21, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $2.26K
Yes position
Iran strike on US military by February 28?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.04K
Yes position
France, UK, or Germany military action against Iran by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $1.9K
Yes position
Will US or Israel strike Iran by February 15, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $1.7K
Yes position
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $1.63K
Yes position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $1.47K
Yes position
US strikes Iran by February 27, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $1.42K
No position
Iran strike on Qatar by February 28, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $1.41K
Yes position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $1.39K
Yes position
US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $1.37K
Yes position
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 13.5%
- Multiplier
- 7.41x
- User PnL
- $1.36K
Yes position
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $1.22K
Yes position
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 31?
Ends May 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $1.21K
Yes position
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.2K
Yes position
US strikes Iran by February 20, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $1.16K
Yes position
Will Inter Milan advance to the round of 16?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $1.14K
Yes position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 22, 2026?
Ends May 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $1.13K
No position
US government shutdown Saturday?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $1.09K
Yes position
Israel closes its airspace by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 5.8%
- Multiplier
- 17.24x
- User PnL
- $1.08K
Yes position
Will US or Israel strike Iran by February 28, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.08K
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland?Yes 68% 125 shares
- Israel withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 2026?No 95.7% 200 shares
- Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?No 88% 200 shares
- Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz by June 30?Yes 6.4% 200 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?Yes 73.1% 1,300.15 shares
- Will Iran close its airspace by June 14?No 68% 139 shares
- Spread: Brazil (-1.5)Morocco 70% 100 shares
- Will 60 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?No 65.5% 247.99 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?Yes 21.1% 900 shares
- US-Iran nuclear deal by July 31?Yes 53.8% 324.97 shares
- Will Trump agree to Iranian oil sanction relief by June 30?Yes 46% 10 shares
- Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?Yes 96.1% 99.99 shares