No position
Will DeepSeek have the best Coding AI model at the end of June 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.9%
- Current value
- $90.86
- Potential payout
- $91
- Potential profit
- $0.14
- User PnL
- -$0.05
Polymarket Trader
8market
0xd95629a8a6d4f408e959bcecac1f68d706f2434c
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $219.2
- Realized PnL
- $40.36
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 4
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Anthropic CEO arrested?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.8%
- Current value
- $86.83
- Potential payout
- $87
- Potential profit
- $0.17
- User PnL
- -$0.09
No position
Will Netflix, Inc. (NFLX) hit (HIGH) $120 in June?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $35.98
- Potential payout
- $36
- Potential profit
- $0.02
- User PnL
- $0.02
No position
Sam Altman in jail by June 30?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 99.9%
- Current value
- $5.52
- Potential payout
- $5.53
- Potential profit
- $0.01
- User PnL
- $0.01
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Over $100M committed to the Avici Raise on MetaDAO?
Ends Jan 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $11.47
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from October 14 to October 21, 2025?
Ends Oct 21, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.68
Yes position
Will there be at least 2000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.34
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down on May 22?
Ends May 22, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.3
Yes position
Will Iran strike UAE in March?
Ends Mar 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.18
No position
Will the Government shutdown end November 4-7?
Ends Nov 15, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.04
No position
Will Gemini 3.0 be released by November 15?
Ends Oct 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.04
Yes position
Will Trump visit China by June 30?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.83
No position
US strikes Iran by January 14, 2026?
Ends Jan 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.41
No position
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by August 31?
Ends Aug 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.39
Down position
Ethereum Up or Down on April 9?
Ends Apr 9, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.07
No position
Will Elon tweet less than 100 times April 11–18?
Ends Apr 18, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.07
Down position
Ethereum Up or Down on April 6?
Ends Apr 6, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.7
No position
Israel x Hamas ceasefire by October 3?
Ends Oct 3, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.66
No position
Will the Government shutdown end November 8-11?
Ends Nov 15, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.61
Yes position
Will Lê Minh Hưng be the next Prime Minister of Vietnam?
Ends Jan 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.6
No position
Israel strikes Syria by Friday?
Ends Jul 25, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.56
No position
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $200 in May?
Ends Jun 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.56
No position
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.54
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down on May 10?
Ends May 10, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.52
No position
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by Friday?
Ends Jun 20, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.51
No position
Will the chopsticks catch SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 Superheavy booster?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.46
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down on May 15?
Ends May 15, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.41
No position
Will Israel strike Lebanon on December 9?
Ends Nov 21, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.4
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will DeepSeek have the best Coding AI model at the end of June 2026?No 99.9% 91 shares
- Anthropic CEO arrested?No 99.9% 87 shares
- Sam Altman in jail by June 30?No 99.8% 5.53 shares
- Will Netflix, Inc. (NFLX) hit (HIGH) $120 in June?No 99.9% 36 shares
- S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $725 on June 5?Yes 99.9% 43 shares
- Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24?Yes 99.9% 65 shares
- Will the chopsticks catch SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 Superheavy booster?No 99.3% 65.4 shares
- Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026?No 99.9% 65 shares
- Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026?No 99.9% 58 shares
- Will Trump visit China by June 30?Yes 97.1% 63 shares
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $200 in May?No 98.5% 37 shares
- DeepSeek V4 released by April 15?No 99.7% 99.45 shares