No position
Will Zelenskyy talk to Putin by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 77.5%
- Current value
- $149.2
- Potential payout
- $192.51
- Potential profit
- $43.31
- Multiplier
- 1.29x
- User PnL
- $5.2
Polymarket Trader
slapikayte
0xd95eadf7c74a63a578ccf2dae103e9118904ffa8
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $894.77
- Realized PnL
- $357.92
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 19
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026?
Ends Oct 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 75.5%
- Current value
- $113.92
- Potential payout
- $150.89
- Potential profit
- $36.97
- Multiplier
- 1.32x
- User PnL
- $8.92
Yes position
Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?
Ends Sep 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 56.5%
- Current value
- $81.71
- Potential payout
- $144.65
- Potential profit
- $62.94
- Multiplier
- 1.77x
- User PnL
- -$13.29
No position
Ukraine agrees not to join NATO before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 87%
- Current value
- $108.39
- Potential payout
- $124.59
- Potential profit
- $16.2
- Multiplier
- 1.15x
- User PnL
- $8.39
No position
Ukraine peace referendum passed before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 88.5%
- Current value
- $92.02
- Potential payout
- $103.97
- Potential profit
- $11.96
- Multiplier
- 1.13x
- User PnL
- $1.02
No position
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 57.5%
- Current value
- $34.76
- Potential payout
- $60.45
- Potential profit
- $25.69
- Multiplier
- 1.74x
- User PnL
- $2.76
No position
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 75.5%
- Current value
- $41.81
- Potential payout
- $55.38
- Potential profit
- $13.57
- Multiplier
- 1.32x
- User PnL
- $1.81
No position
Ukraine peace referendum scheduled by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 90%
- Current value
- $45.38
- Potential payout
- $50.42
- Potential profit
- $5.04
- Multiplier
- 1.11x
- User PnL
- $3.38
Yes position
Will Zelenskyy and Putin not meet before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 84%
- Current value
- $42
- Potential payout
- $50
- Potential profit
- $8
- Multiplier
- 1.19x
- User PnL
- $2
No position
Will Russia enter Sloviansk by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 76%
- Current value
- $29.45
- Potential payout
- $38.75
- Potential profit
- $9.3
- Multiplier
- 1.32x
- User PnL
- -$1.55
No position
Will Russia enter Kramatorsk by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 83%
- Current value
- $31.77
- Potential payout
- $38.27
- Potential profit
- $6.51
- Multiplier
- 1.20x
- User PnL
- $0.77
No position
Ukraine election called by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 80.5%
- Current value
- $28.75
- Potential payout
- $35.71
- Potential profit
- $6.96
- Multiplier
- 1.24x
- User PnL
- -$1.25
No position
EU/NATO country announces peacekeeping force in Ukraine by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 84%
- Current value
- $26.8
- Potential payout
- $31.91
- Potential profit
- $5.11
- Multiplier
- 1.19x
- User PnL
- -$0.2
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 70.5%
- Current value
- $20.14
- Potential payout
- $28.57
- Potential profit
- $8.43
- Multiplier
- 1.42x
- User PnL
- $0.14
No position
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by October 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 87.5%
- Current value
- $21.6
- Potential payout
- $24.69
- Potential profit
- $3.09
- Multiplier
- 1.14x
- User PnL
- $1.6
No position
Russia x Ukraine diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $24.69
- Potential profit
- $24.69
- User PnL
- -$20
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.8%
- Current value
- $13.85
- Potential payout
- $13.89
- Potential profit
- $0.03
- User PnL
- $3.85
No position
Trump, Putin, and Zelensky meet together before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 89.5%
- Current value
- $12.21
- Potential payout
- $13.64
- Potential profit
- $1.43
- Multiplier
- 1.12x
- User PnL
- $0.21
No position
Will Russia enter Kherson by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 90.5%
- Current value
- $1.01
- Potential payout
- $1.11
- Potential profit
- $0.11
- Multiplier
- 1.10x
- User PnL
- $0.01
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Will Russia capture Yunakivka before August?
Ends Aug 1, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $113.03
No position
Will Russia capture Myrnohrad by September 30?
Ends Sep 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $56.39
No position
Will Russia capture Sloviansk by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $18.99
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $18.13
No position
Will Putin meet with Zelenskyy by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $17.26
Yes position
Will Trump increase sanctions on Russia by August 15?
Ends Aug 15, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $14.26
No position
Will Putin meet with Zelenskyy in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $13.21
No position
Will Russia capture Dorozhnje by August 31?
Ends Aug 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $9.94
No position
Ukraine peace referendum scheduled by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $9.77
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8.14
No position
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.9
No position
US-Iran nuclear deal by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.45
No position
Ukraine agrees not to join NATO by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.32
No position
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by April 23, 2026?
Ends Apr 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.39
No position
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by September 30?
Ends Aug 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.01
No position
Will Russia capture all of Pokrovsk by December 31?
Ends Sep 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.83
No position
Will Russia capture Slovainsk in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.7
No position
Will Putin meet with Zelenskyy by September 30?
Ends Sep 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.15
No position
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire before October?
Ends Sep 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.03
No position
Will Russia capture Dovha Balka by October 31?
Ends Oct 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.71
No position
U.S. x Russia Nuclear deal by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.5
No position
North Korea missile test/launch by April 30, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.44
No position
Ukraine election held by June 30, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.25
No position
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by October 31?
Ends Oct 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.1
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Ukraine peace referendum passed before 2027?No 88.1% 34.03 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?No 70% 28.57 shares
- Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026?No 61% 16.39 shares
- Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?No 60% 13.69 shares
- Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?No 73% 13.7 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?No 72% 13.89 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?No 78% 26.58 shares
- Ukraine peace referendum passed before 2027?No 86% 34.9 shares
- Will Russia enter Sloviansk by December 31, 2026?No 80% 12.5 shares
- Will Russia enter Kramatorsk by December 31, 2026?No 81% 12.35 shares
- Will Russia enter Sloviansk by December 31, 2026?No 80% 25 shares
- Will Russia enter Kramatorsk by December 31, 2026?No 81% 24.69 shares