Yes position
Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day be the top grossing movie of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 59.5%
- Current value
- $3.75K
- Potential payout
- $6.31K
- Potential profit
- $2.55K
- Multiplier
- 1.68x
- User PnL
- $1.16K
Polymarket Trader
mitsosn
0xd9813dd48cbda560fe9e3c37de6e764a6f4d2da8
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $3.98K
- Realized PnL
- $923.33
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 10
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will Belgium win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 1.7%
- Current value
- $4.55
- Potential payout
- $275.54
- Potential profit
- $271
- Multiplier
- 60.61x
- User PnL
- -$0.45
Yes position
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 31.5%
- Current value
- $78.16
- Potential payout
- $248.53
- Potential profit
- $170.36
- Multiplier
- 3.18x
- User PnL
- -$42.55
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $0.09
- Potential payout
- $178.53
- Potential profit
- $178.44
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- -$163.51
Yes position
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 8.8%
- Current value
- $12.29
- Potential payout
- $140.49
- Potential profit
- $128.2
- Multiplier
- 11.43x
- User PnL
- $2.29
Yes position
Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 6.7%
- Current value
- $9.06
- Potential payout
- $136.28
- Potential profit
- $127.22
- Multiplier
- 15.04x
- User PnL
- -$2.94
Yes position
Starmer out by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 84.5%
- Current value
- $84.5
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $15.5
- Multiplier
- 1.18x
- User PnL
- $1.7
Yes position
Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 5.7%
- Current value
- $4.21
- Potential payout
- $74.48
- Potential profit
- $70.27
- Multiplier
- 17.70x
- User PnL
- $0.09
Yes position
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 91.5%
- Current value
- $36.6
- Potential payout
- $40
- Potential profit
- $3.4
- Multiplier
- 1.09x
- User PnL
- $3
Yes position
Will "The Devil Wears Prada 2" be the May film with the highest domestic gross on June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 4.1%
- Current value
- $0.21
- Potential payout
- $5.15
- Potential profit
- $4.95
- Multiplier
- 24.69x
- User PnL
- -$4.79
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of March 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $158.14
Yes position
Will Norway win the most gold medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics?
Ends Feb 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $106.89
Yes position
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of February 2026?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $104.62
No position
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on March 3?
Ends Mar 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $72.42
No position
Will US or Israel strike Iran by February 15, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $69.37
No position
US x Iran ceasefire by March 15?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $65.26
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 22, 2026?
Ends Apr 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $36.72
Yes position
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 94.9%
- Multiplier
- 1.05x
- User PnL
- $31.59
No position
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on March 1?
Ends Mar 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $28.5
Yes position
Will Logan Paul’s PSA 10 Pokémon Illustrator Sale Price be over $6 million?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $27.91
No position
US x Iran ceasefire by March 31?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $22.22
No position
US strikes Iran by February 13, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $20.44
No position
US-Iran nuclear deal by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $19.89
No position
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on February 4?
Ends Feb 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $17.06
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $15.26
No position
Will the government shutdown last 10 days or more?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $15.09
Yes position
Will the next Dutch government be VVD + CDA + D66?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $15.04
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $15.02
No position
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $90,000 on January 22?
Ends Jan 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $14.78
Yes position
Will Superman be the third highest grossing movie of 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $14.6
Yes position
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?
Ends Apr 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $13.85
No position
Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by March 31?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $13.51
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 13, 2026?
Ends May 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $12.64
No position
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on February 6?
Ends Feb 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $12.52
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?Yes 92.8% 157.64 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?No 84.6% 27 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?No 83.5% 40 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?No 96.3% 100 shares
- Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?Yes 84% 40 shares
- Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day be the top grossing movie of 2026?Yes 56% 50 shares
- Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 5.3% 40 shares
- Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?Yes 91.7% 50 shares
- Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?Yes 91.7% 50 shares
- Will "The Devil Wears Prada 2" be the May film with the highest domestic gross on June 30?Yes 97% 5.15 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?No 92% 89.1 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?No 76% 11.84 shares