Yes position
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 19.7%
- Current value
- $98.25
- Potential payout
- $500
- Potential profit
- $401.75
- Multiplier
- 5.09x
- User PnL
- -$151.75
Polymarket Trader
hailimian
0xd9876261483fb7d8ac008ab0ff1f6763f68a9381
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $1.56K
- Realized PnL
- $1.82K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 7
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 80.4%
- Current value
- $401.75
- Potential payout
- $500
- Potential profit
- $98.25
- Multiplier
- 1.24x
- User PnL
- $151.75
No position
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 94.6%
- Current value
- $283.65
- Potential payout
- $300
- Potential profit
- $16.35
- Multiplier
- 1.06x
- User PnL
- $3.75
No position
Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2027- Implied probability
- 85%
- Current value
- $229.5
- Potential payout
- $270
- Potential profit
- $40.5
- Multiplier
- 1.18x
- User PnL
- -$2.7
No position
Xi Jinping out by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.9%
- Current value
- $249.63
- Potential payout
- $250
- Potential profit
- $0.38
- User PnL
- $0.13
No position
Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.9%
- Current value
- $199.7
- Potential payout
- $200
- Potential profit
- $0.3
- User PnL
- $3.1
No position
Will China invade Taiwan by September 30, 2026?
Ends Sep 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 97.4%
- Current value
- $97.35
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $2.65
- Multiplier
- 1.03x
- User PnL
- $1.35
Resolved Context
Closed positions
G2 Esports position
LoL: G2 Esports vs BNK FEARX (BO5) - First Stand Group A
Ends Mar 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $385
Grizzlies position
Nuggets vs. Grizzlies
Ends Mar 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $335
Yes position
Will Elon tweet 750-799 times Feb 21-28?
Ends Feb 28, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $205.29
Bucks position
Mavericks vs. Bucks
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $195
Panthers position
Panthers vs. Falcons
Ends Jan 12, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $155.99
T1 position
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs T1 (BO5)
Ends Oct 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $150
No position
Will Trump say "Japan" or "Korea" during events with Xi Jinping?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $130
Movistar KOI position
LoL: Movistar KOI vs Team Secret Whales (BO3)
Ends Oct 23, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $125
Yes position
No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?
Ends Jan 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $100.4
No position
Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from November 18 to November 25, 2025?
Ends Nov 25, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $22.24
Anyones Legend position
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs T1 (BO5)
Ends Oct 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $9
Yes position
Will the Government shutdown end November 12-15?
Ends Nov 15, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.1
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Yes position
No Ethereum all time high in 2024?
Ends Dec 31, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.93
No position
Will Ethereum reach $3,400 in March?
Ends Apr 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.77
No position
Will Ethereum reach $3,600 in March?
Ends Apr 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.55
No position
Will Ethereum hit $4,000 by January 31, 2025?
Ends Jan 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.4
No position
Will Bitcoin dip to $100K in September?
Ends Oct 1, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.4
No position
Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 in April?
Ends May 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.4
Yes position
Will Mark Carney be the next Canadian Prime Minister?
Ends Apr 28, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.35
No position
Will Ethereum reach $3,800 in March?
Ends Apr 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.33
No position
Will Ethereum reach $3,200 in April?
Ends May 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.3
No position
Will Ethereum dip to $1,400 in April?
Ends May 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.3
No position
Will Elon tweet 100–124 times April 25–May 2?
Ends May 2, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.3
No position
Will Ethereum hit $7,000 by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.29
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027?No 86% 70 shares
- Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027?No 86% 200 shares
- Xi Jinping out by June 30?No 99.8% 250 shares
- Will China invade Taiwan by September 30, 2026?No 96% 100 shares
- Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?No 98.3% 200 shares
- Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?No 93.3% 300 shares
- Will Trump say "Japan" or "Korea" during events with Xi Jinping?No 74% 500 shares
- Will Ethereum dip to $1,400 in April?No 99.7% 99.98 shares
- Will Ethereum reach $3,200 in April?No 99.7% 99.98 shares
- Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 in April?No 99.6% 99.97 shares
- Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in April?No 99.9% 99.99 shares
- Will Ethereum reach $3,400 in March?No 99.3% 110 shares