Yes position
Will there be 8 or fewer earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 52%
- Current value
- $43.16
- Potential payout
- $83
- Potential profit
- $39.84
- Multiplier
- 1.92x
- User PnL
- -$11
Polymarket Trader
0xd98816610f42aBEa11a18Be3B5DF50a907086Ce5-1779174292344
0xd98816610f42abea11a18be3b5df50a907086ce5
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $86.37
- Realized PnL
- $40.75
- Win rate
- 52.4%
- Open positions
- 8
- Closed positions
- 21
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 16°C on June 21?
Ends Jun 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 66.5%
- Current value
- $36.58
- Potential payout
- $55
- Potential profit
- $18.42
- Multiplier
- 1.50x
- User PnL
- -$0.07
Ilia Topuria position
UFC Freedom 250: Justin Gaethje vs. Ilia Topuria (Lightweight, Main Card)
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $41
- Potential profit
- $41
- User PnL
- -$33.21
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 16°C on June 20?
Ends Jun 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $0.02
- Potential payout
- $37.64
- Potential profit
- $37.62
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- -$11.58
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 17°C on June 21?
Ends Jun 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 22.5%
- Current value
- $5.94
- Potential payout
- $26.38
- Potential profit
- $20.45
- Multiplier
- 4.44x
- User PnL
- -$1.07
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 15°C on June 17?
Ends Jun 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $19
- Potential profit
- $19
- User PnL
- -$9.88
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 14°C on June 17?
Ends Jun 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $18
- Potential profit
- $18
- User PnL
- -$4.38
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 15°C on June 21?
Ends Jun 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 8.5%
- Current value
- $0.68
- Potential payout
- $8
- Potential profit
- $7.32
- Multiplier
- 11.83x
- User PnL
- -$0.24
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 17°C on June 20?
Ends Jun 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.8%
- User PnL
- $15.83
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 14°C on June 19?
Ends Jun 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $11.81
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 11°C on June 16?
Ends Jun 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $9.94
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 14°C on June 18?
Ends Jun 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $9.68
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 17°C on June 15?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.35
Yes position
Will England win?
Ends Jun 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.34
No position
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 14°C on June 19?
Ends Jun 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $1.84
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 15°C on June 18?
Ends Jun 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $1.54
No position
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 17°C on June 21?
Ends Jun 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 77.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.29x
- User PnL
- $1.23
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0.82
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.78
Mauricio Ruffy position
UFC Freedom 250: Michael Chandler vs. Mauricio Ruffy (Lightweight, Main Card)
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 16°C on June 18?
Ends Jun 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$0.1
Yes position
Will there be exactly 9 earthquake of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 35.5%
- Multiplier
- 2.82x
- User PnL
- -$0.18
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 12°C on June 16?
Ends Jun 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$0.35
Max Holloway position
UFC 329: Max Holloway vs. Conor McGregor (Welterweight, Main Card)
Ends Jul 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 67.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.48x
- User PnL
- -$0.45
No position
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 18°C on June 20?
Ends Jun 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.4%
- User PnL
- -$0.53
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 18°C on June 15?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$1.2
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 16°C on June 19?
Ends Jun 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$1.35
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 15°C on June 19?
Ends Jun 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$7.46
No position
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 16°C on June 17?
Ends Jun 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$8.78
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 15°C on June 21?Yes 10.9% 8 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 17°C on June 21?Yes 25% 9 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 16°C on June 21?Yes 67% 10 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 16°C on June 21?Yes 67% 25 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 17°C on June 21?Yes 26% 15.38 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 16°C on June 21?Yes 69% 50 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 17°C on June 21?Yes 27% 8 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 17°C on June 21?No 72% 24.63 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 17°C on June 21?No 67% 24.63 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 16°C on June 21?Yes 45% 15 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 16°C on June 21?Yes 45% 5 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 15°C on June 21?Yes 13% 10 shares