Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 40-59 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026?
Ends May 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $28.47K
- Potential profit
- $28.47K
- User PnL
- -$28.47
Polymarket Trader
Nightshadea
0xd993a7d7b6548da036eb37780dd1fb4bcaf6d6a4
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $23.26
- Realized PnL
- $12.72
- Win rate
- 72.7%
- Open positions
- 2
- Closed positions
- 11
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 97.2%
- Current value
- $23.26
- Potential payout
- $23.94
- Potential profit
- $0.68
- Multiplier
- 1.03x
- User PnL
- $1.26
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on April 18?
Ends Apr 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $9.76
Celtics position
Bucks vs. Celtics
Ends Feb 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.64
Pistons position
Nets vs. Pistons
Ends Feb 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.57
Suns position
Suns vs. Grizzlies
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.05
No position
Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026?
Ends May 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.15
Yes position
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on February 8?
Ends Feb 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.06
No position
Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.01
Yes position
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of March 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.01
Yes position
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$0.11
No position
Stripe IPO before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 95.4%
- Multiplier
- 1.05x
- User PnL
- -$0.53
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$0.88
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Google have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?No 91.9% 23.94 shares
- Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?Yes 92% 25 shares
- Stripe IPO before 2027?No 89% 26.37 shares
- Stripe IPO before 2027?No 91% 26.37 shares
- Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026?No 99.6% 24.24 shares
- Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026?No 99% 24.24 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?No 92.8% 25.98 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?No 96.2% 25.99 shares
- Will Elon Musk post 40-59 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026?Yes 0.1% 28,470 shares
- Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?Yes 85% 35.16 shares
- Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?Yes 91% 35.16 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on April 18?No 68% 30.01 shares