No position
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $854.74
- Potential payout
- $855.16
- Potential profit
- $0.43
- User PnL
- $92.58
Polymarket Trader
Ocrimocrim
@cyborg43536
0xd995edb8f2a16feb1f982be65426baab69a624db
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $2.18K
- Realized PnL
- $2.16K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 10
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $419.79
- Potential payout
- $420
- Potential profit
- $0.21
- User PnL
- $14.56
No position
Iran leadership change by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.9%
- Current value
- $319.52
- Potential payout
- $320
- Potential profit
- $0.48
- User PnL
- $15.52
No position
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 85.5%
- Current value
- $217.18
- Potential payout
- $254.01
- Potential profit
- $36.83
- Multiplier
- 1.17x
- User PnL
- $16.63
Yes position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.5%
- Current value
- $0.99
- Potential payout
- $219.99
- Potential profit
- $219
- Multiplier
- 222.22x
- User PnL
- -$73.61
No position
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 74.5%
- Current value
- $111.75
- Potential payout
- $150
- Potential profit
- $38.25
- Multiplier
- 1.34x
- User PnL
- $8.25
No position
Will Ronaldo Cry at the World Cup?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 31.5%
- Current value
- $44.09
- Potential payout
- $139.98
- Potential profit
- $95.88
- Multiplier
- 3.17x
- User PnL
- -$4.9
No position
Will Donald Trump publicly insult Benjamin Netanyahu by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 59.5%
- Current value
- $80.33
- Potential payout
- $135
- Potential profit
- $54.68
- Multiplier
- 1.68x
- User PnL
- -$19.58
No position
Tamas Sulyok out as President of Hungary by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $69.96
- Potential payout
- $69.99
- Potential profit
- $0.03
- User PnL
- $18.16
No position
Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.8%
- Current value
- $57.88
- Potential payout
- $57.99
- Potential profit
- $0.12
- User PnL
- $6.96
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $399.5
No position
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 80.4%
- Multiplier
- 1.24x
- User PnL
- $279.4
No position
France, UK, or Germany military action against Iran by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $190.65
No position
US strikes Iran by February 20, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $141.7
No position
US x Iran ceasefire by April 15?
Ends Apr 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $111.91
US position
Will US or Israel strike Iran first?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 50%
- Multiplier
- 2.00x
- User PnL
- $90.71
No position
US forces enter Iran by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $87.44
No position
US forces enter Iran by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $86.25
No position
Will France strike Iran by March 31?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $77.61
Yes position
Will the U.S. collect less than $100b in revenue in 2025?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $65.6
No position
US forces enter Iran by March 14?
Ends Mar 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $63.66
No position
US strikes Iran by February 21, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $57.84
Yes position
US x Iran nuclear talks resume by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $56
No position
Will Spencer Pratt win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?
Ends Jun 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.4%
- User PnL
- $55.64
No position
US forces enter Iran by March 7?
Ends Mar 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $52.5
No position
Netanyahu out by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $51.5
No position
US strikes Iran by February 26, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $48.34
No position
Will Khamenei leave Iran by February 28, 2026?
Ends Jan 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $47.23
No position
Over $5M committed to the Hurupay public sale?
Ends May 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $43.97
No position
Will Germany strike Iran by March 31?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $35.18
No position
Puffpaw FDV above $200M one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 73.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.36x
- User PnL
- $33.79
Yes position
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on January 31?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $30.42
No position
Will Bitcoin reach $75,000 in February?
Ends Mar 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $28.71
No position
Zama FDV above $800M one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $25.98
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Trump restart Project Freedom by June 30?Yes 99.9% 278 shares
- Will Spencer Pratt win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?No 99.4% 260 shares
- Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on May 31?Yes 99.9% 103 shares
- Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?No 97.8% 205 shares
- Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?No 99% 110 shares
- Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?No 78% 1,658.52 shares
- US x Iran ceasefire by March 31?No 96.1% 1,200 shares
- US forces enter Iran by March 31?No 79% 2,162.89 shares
- US forces enter Iran by March 31?No 81% 572.35 shares
- Iran leadership change by March 13?No 99.8% 120 shares
- US x Iran ceasefire by March 6?No 99.9% 210 shares
- Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?Yes 99.8% 3,367.49 shares