Yes position
Aaron Taylor-Johnson announced as next James Bond?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 1.2%
- Current value
- $3.75
- Potential payout
- $312.5
- Potential profit
- $308.75
- Multiplier
- 83.33x
- User PnL
- -$6.25
Polymarket Trader
archihiro
0xd9965fd64fb34353b529910f82b68388418abc36
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $34.95
- Realized PnL
- $151.39
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 8
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will 'Kingdom Come: Deliverance II' win Game of the Year in the 2025 Steam Awards?
Ends Jan 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $144.29
- Potential profit
- $144.29
- User PnL
- -$3
Yes position
Will 'Clair Obscur: Expedition 33' win Game of the Year in the 2025 Steam Awards?
Ends Jan 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $133.86
- Potential profit
- $133.86
- User PnL
- -$80
Yes position
Will Max Verstappen be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?
Ends Dec 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 3%
- Current value
- $3.14
- Potential payout
- $106.38
- Potential profit
- $103.24
- Multiplier
- 33.90x
- User PnL
- -$1.86
Yes position
Will Trump say "April Fool" or "April Fool's" during Address to the Nation?
Ends Apr 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $100
- User PnL
- -$10
Yes position
Will Leonardo DiCaprio win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?
Ends Mar 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $97.3
- Potential profit
- $97.3
- User PnL
- -$4
Yes position
Will Ethan Hawke win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?
Ends Mar 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $83.08
- Potential profit
- $83.08
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $105 by end of March?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $64.06
- Potential profit
- $64.06
- User PnL
- -$30
Yes position
Will Trump say "Vance" or "Rubio" during Address to the Nation?
Ends Apr 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $57.14
- Potential profit
- $57.14
- User PnL
- -$20
Yes position
Will 'Arc Raiders' win Game of the Year in the 2025 Steam Awards?
Ends Jan 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $55.56
- Potential profit
- $55.56
- User PnL
- -$10
No position
Will Artemis II launch by April 30?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $54.55
- Potential profit
- $54.55
- User PnL
- -$3
Yes position
Will Galatasaray SK win on 2026-03-18?
Ends Mar 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $50
- Potential profit
- $50
- User PnL
- -$5
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 11, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET
Ends Mar 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $49.96
- Potential profit
- $49.96
- User PnL
- -$3
Yes position
Will Kimi Antonelli be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?
Ends Dec 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 57.2%
- Current value
- $28.06
- Potential payout
- $49.1
- Potential profit
- $21.04
- Multiplier
- 1.75x
- User PnL
- -$1.94
Yes position
Will the first eaglet hatch on April 8, 2026?
Ends Apr 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $36.88
- Potential profit
- $36.88
- User PnL
- -$2.86
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 10, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET
Ends Mar 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $35.57
- Potential profit
- $35.57
- User PnL
- -$4.98
Yes position
Will Mother's Milk die in "The Boys: Season 5"?
Ends May 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $35.13
- Potential profit
- $35.13
- User PnL
- -$10
Yes position
Will Trump say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" during events with Japanese PM?
Ends Mar 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $31.34
- Potential profit
- $31.34
- User PnL
- -$5
Yes position
Iran leadership change by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $30.3
- Potential profit
- $30.3
- User PnL
- -$10
Yes position
US forces enter Iran by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $29.41
- Potential profit
- $29.41
- User PnL
- -$5
Yes position
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $28.57
- Potential profit
- $28.57
- User PnL
- -$2
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 11, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET
Ends Mar 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $26.79
- Potential profit
- $26.79
- User PnL
- -$9.88
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 16, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET
Ends Mar 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $26.53
- Potential profit
- $26.53
- User PnL
- -$9.87
Yes position
Will "The Super Mario Galaxy Movie" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 180m and 190m?
Ends Apr 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $25.77
- Potential profit
- $25.77
- User PnL
- -$5
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will Michael B. Jordan win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?
Ends Mar 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $67.33
Yes position
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-03-17?
Ends Mar 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $24.41
Yes position
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-04-14?
Ends Apr 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $19.89
Caty McNally position
Miami Open: Caty McNally vs Rebeka Masarova
Ends Mar 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $13.9
Yes position
Will fewer than 30 tornadoes occur in the United States in January 2026?
Ends Feb 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $12.64
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 10, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET
Ends Mar 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $9.75
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 10, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET
Ends Mar 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.2
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 11, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET
Ends Mar 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.26
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Kimi Antonelli be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?Yes 61.1% 49.1 shares
- Will Max Verstappen be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?Yes 4.7% 106.38 shares
- Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-04-14?Yes 33% 29.69 shares
- Will the first eaglet hatch on April 8, 2026?Yes 7.8% 36.88 shares
- Will the first eaglet hatch on April 10, 2026?Yes 32% 15.09 shares
- Will Trump say "Kharg" or "Island" during Address to the Nation?Yes 30% 16.67 shares
- Will Artemis II launch by April 30?No 5.5% 54.55 shares
- Will Trump say "Mission Accomplished" during Address to the Nation?Yes 20% 25 shares
- Will Trump say "Bibi" or "Netanyahu" during Address to the Nation?Yes 25% 12 shares
- Will Trump say "Fake News" during Address to the Nation?Yes 25% 20 shares
- Will Trump say "April Fool" or "April Fool's" during Address to the Nation?Yes 10% 100 shares
- Will Trump say "Vance" or "Rubio" during Address to the Nation?Yes 35% 57.14 shares