Polymarket Trader

sahlen

0xd9aa8efcb2b24cd44dd21b855a453c429a7fb8b3

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $128.43
Realized PnL: $61.89
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 9
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?

Ends Jun 26, 2026

Implied probability: 21.5%
Current value: $49.03
Potential payout: $228.04
Potential profit: $179.01
Multiplier: 4.65x
User PnL: $3.03

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?

Ends Jun 26, 2026

Implied probability: 9.5%
Current value: $14.76
Potential payout: $155.34
Potential profit: $140.58
Multiplier: 10.53x
User PnL: -$13.01

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?

Ends Jun 26, 2026

Implied probability: 23.5%
Current value: $30.55
Potential payout: $130
Potential profit: $99.45
Multiplier: 4.26x
User PnL: $4.55

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 23 to June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 19%
Current value: $14.25
Potential payout: $75
Potential profit: $60.75
Multiplier: 5.26x
User PnL: -$0.75

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from June 23 to June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 17.5%
Current value: $10.09
Potential payout: $57.67
Potential profit: $47.58
Multiplier: 5.71x
User PnL: $0.09

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from June 23 to June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 19.5%
Current value: $9.75
Potential payout: $50
Potential profit: $40.25
Multiplier: 5.13x
User PnL: -$0.25

No position

Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 30, 2026?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $14.08
Potential profit: $14.08
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from May 26 to June 2, 2026?

Ends Jun 2, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $11.27
Potential profit: $11.27
User PnL: -$10

No position

Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 9, 2026?

Ends Jun 10, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $3.57
Potential profit: $3.57
User PnL: -$1

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 16 to June 23, 2026?

Ends Jun 23, 2026

Implied probability: 25.5%
Multiplier: 3.92x
User PnL: $13.72

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from June 16 to June 23, 2026?

Ends Jun 23, 2026

Implied probability: 9.5%
Multiplier: 10.53x
User PnL: $10.33

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 12 to June 19, 2026?

Ends Jun 19, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $8.84

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from June 12 to June 19, 2026?

Ends Jun 19, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $6.8

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from June 9 to June 16, 2026?

Ends Jun 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $4.07

Yes position

Will SpaceX have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 86.5%
Multiplier: 1.16x
User PnL: $3.24

Anthropic position

Will Anthropic or OpenAI IPO first?

Ends Dec 31, 2027

Implied probability: 75.5%
Multiplier: 1.32x
User PnL: $2.6

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 9 to June 16, 2026?

Ends Jun 16, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.55

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026?

Ends Jun 12, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $1.7

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 2 to June 9, 2026?

Ends Jun 9, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $1.2

Yes position

Will claude-opus-4-6-thinking have the best AI model on June 6, 2026?

Ends Jun 6, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.16

Yes position

Will United States win on 2026-06-19?

Ends Jun 19, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.09

No position

Will Google have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 96.3%
Multiplier: 1.04x
User PnL: $0.81

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026?

Ends Jun 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.66

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from June 2 to June 9, 2026?

Ends Jun 9, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $0.65

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from June 16 to June 23, 2026?

Ends Jun 23, 2026

Implied probability: 36.5%
Multiplier: 2.74x
User PnL: $0.56

No position

Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from June 2 to June 9, 2026?

Ends Jun 9, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.42

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from May 29 to June 5, 2026?

Ends Jun 5, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $0.37

Yes position

Will the Swedish Social Democratic Party (S) win the most seats in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary election?

Ends Sep 13, 2026

Implied probability: 94%
Multiplier: 1.06x
User PnL: $0.33

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from May 29 to June 5, 2026?

Ends Jun 5, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.26

Yes position

Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 95.1%
Multiplier: 1.05x
User PnL: $0.25

No position

Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from June 1 to June 3, 2026?

Ends Jun 3, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.12

No position

Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from May 29 to June 5, 2026?

Ends Jun 5, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.09

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from May 26 to June 2, 2026?

Ends Jun 2, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.08

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from June 23 to June 30, 2026?

Yes 20% 50 shares
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from June 23 to June 30, 2026?

Yes 17.3% 57.67 shares
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 23 to June 30, 2026?

Yes 20% 75 shares
Will United States win on 2026-06-19?

Yes 96% 3.22 shares
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from June 16 to June 23, 2026?

Yes 25% 121.32 shares
Will United States win on 2026-06-19?

Yes 62% 3.23 shares
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?

Yes 20% 50 shares
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?

Yes 18.2% 54.89 shares
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?

Yes 22% 45.45 shares
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?

Yes 18.3% 54.74 shares
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?

Yes 22% 45.45 shares
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from June 16 to June 23, 2026?

Yes 19% 55.55 shares