Polymarket Trader

JoshuaMejia3715

0xd9b2f19dff977451dc696424739a7659fa3d9ae2

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $240.17
Realized PnL: $3.25K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 24
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Under position

Dundee FC vs. Motherwell FC: O/U 2.5

Ends Feb 4, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $633
Potential profit: $633
User PnL: -$303.84

Ipswich Town FC position

Spread: Ipswich Town FC (-1.5)

Ends Jan 4, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $467
Potential profit: $467
User PnL: -$79.39

No position

Will "Stranger Things: Season 5" be the top US Netflix show this week? (January 6, 2026)

Ends Jan 6, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $374
Potential profit: $374
User PnL: -$37.4

Anthropic position

Will Anthropic or OpenAI IPO first?

Ends Dec 31, 2027

Implied probability: 77%
Current value: $237.93
Potential payout: $309
Potential profit: $71.07
Multiplier: 1.30x
User PnL: $52.53

No position

Will the total number of TSA passengers for February 4 be between 1,700,000 and 1,900,000?

Ends Feb 4, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $202
Potential profit: $202
User PnL: -$18.18

No position

Will Trump say "Job" 5+ times during Medal of Honor ceremony on March 2?

Ends Mar 2, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $188
Potential profit: $188
User PnL: -$116.75

No position

Will Trump say "Two weeks" this week? (February 22)

Ends Feb 22, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $127
Potential profit: $127
User PnL: -$62.23

Yes position

Israel x Syria security agreement by June 30?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 1.9%
Current value: $2.24
Potential payout: $118
Potential profit: $115.76
Multiplier: 52.63x
User PnL: -$19

Yes position

Will global temperature increase by between 1.00ºC and 1.04ºC in January 2026?

Ends Feb 10, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $111
Potential profit: $111
User PnL: -$12.21

Yes position

Will Endless Cookie be nominated for Best Documentary Feature at the 98th Academy Awards?

Ends Jan 22, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $61
Potential profit: $61
User PnL: -$3.05

Yes position

Will the Detroit Pistons win the NBA Cup?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $57
Potential profit: $57
User PnL: -$2.96

Yes position

Over 25,000 ETH committed to the Aztec public sale?

Ends Jan 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $46
Potential profit: $46
User PnL: -$1.43

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - November 19, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET

Ends Nov 19, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $37
Potential profit: $37
User PnL: -$8.88

Up position

Ethereum Up or Down - November 12, 4:00PM-8:00PM ET

Ends Nov 13, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $31
Potential profit: $31
User PnL: -$13.02

Up position

XRP Up or Down - November 19, 12:00AM-4:00AM ET

Ends Nov 19, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $26
Potential profit: $26
User PnL: -$1.04

Up position

XRP Up or Down - November 20, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET

Ends Nov 20, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $26
Potential profit: $26
User PnL: -$1.56

Up position

Ethereum Up or Down - November 13, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET

Ends Nov 13, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $25
Potential profit: $25
User PnL: -$10.75

Down position

XRP Up or Down - November 20, 4:00PM-8:00PM ET

Ends Nov 21, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $25
Potential profit: $25
User PnL: -$8.33

Down position

Ethereum Up or Down - November 13, 4:00PM-8:00PM ET

Ends Nov 14, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $24
Potential profit: $24
User PnL: -$12.72

Up position

Ethereum Up or Down - November 20, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET

Ends Nov 20, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $23
Potential profit: $23
User PnL: -$9.43

Yes position

Will Trump say "Portland" during the State of the Union address?

Ends Feb 24, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $20
Potential profit: $20
User PnL: -$3.8

Down position

XRP Up or Down - November 16, 12:00AM-4:00AM ET

Ends Nov 16, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $18
Potential profit: $18
User PnL: -$3.78

Up position

Solana Up or Down - November 15, 4:00PM-8:00PM ET

Ends Nov 16, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $17
Potential profit: $17
User PnL: -$1.87

Up position

Ethereum Up or Down - November 15, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET

Ends Nov 15, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $17
Potential profit: $17
User PnL: -$13.94

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Down position

Trump approval Up or Down this week?

Ends Apr 4, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $547.2

San Diego Toreros position

San Diego Toreros vs. Pepperdine Waves

Ends Jan 27, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $371.13

Yes position

Will Trump say "NATO" during Board of Peace events on February 19?

Ends Feb 19, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $336.14

Yes position

Will Ethena dip to $0.04 by December 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 35%
Multiplier: 2.86x
User PnL: $272

Yes position

Will ChatGPT be out as the #1 Free App in the US Apple Store by February 8?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $239.63

No position

Will any country join the Board of Peace by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 96.7%
Multiplier: 1.03x
User PnL: $207.08

Yes position

Will the total number of TSA passengers for February 24 be less than 2,100,000?

Ends Feb 24, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $171.87

Yes position

Will the total number of TSA passengers for February 4 be between 1,700,000 and 1,900,000?

Ends Feb 4, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $168.99

Down position

XRP Up or Down - February 26, 11PM ET

Ends Feb 27, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $129.06

Yes position

Will the total number of TSA passengers for February 7 be between 1,700,000 and 1,900,000?

Ends Feb 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $127.92

Over position

Southern Illinois Salukis vs. Evansville Aces: O/U 142.5

Ends Jan 25, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $108.15

Yes position

Will USD.AI launch a token by March 31?

Ends Apr 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $106.64

No position

Will Jesse Plemons be nominated for Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?

Ends Jan 22, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $76.5

No position

Will global temperature increase by more than 1.19ºC in January 2026?

Ends Feb 10, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $56.54

No position

Will Valve add Cache to the Map Pool by end of January?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $51.79

No position

Freddie Mac IPO before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 90%
Multiplier: 1.11x
User PnL: $50.38

Yes position

Will the DHS shutdown last 90 days or more?

Ends Mar 14, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $36.43

Yes position

Will fewer than 30 tornadoes occur in the United States in January 2026?

Ends Feb 10, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $34.21

No position

Will 'The Romantic' debut week album sales be between 200k and 250k?

Ends Mar 9, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $32.82

Yes position

Will there be five or six announced new U.S. armed forces strikes against drug boats by January 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $30.45

No position

Will Mitch McConnell step down from the Senate before his term ends?

Ends Jan 3, 2027

Implied probability: 57.5%
Multiplier: 1.74x
User PnL: $26.64

Yes position

Will Little Amélie or the Character of Rain be nominated for Best Animated Feature at the 98th Academy Awards?

Ends Jan 22, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $25.56

No position

Over $22M committed to the Space public sale?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $24.44

Yes position

Will Deni Avdija win the 2025–2026 NBA Most Improved Player?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $22.46

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will any country join the Board of Peace by June 30?

No 93.1% 498 shares
Will any country join the Board of Peace by June 30?

No 94% 1,265 shares
Will any country join the Board of Peace by June 30?

No 82% 1,763 shares
Will Avaí FC win on 2026-04-18?

No 7% 444 shares
Will Avaí FC win on 2026-04-18?

No 8% 597 shares
Trump approval Up or Down this week?

Down 55% 1,216 shares
Will Avaí FC win on 2026-04-18?

No 53% 1,041 shares
Will there be exactly 0 confirmed VEI 4 or higher volcanic eruptions worldwide in 2026?

No 63% 785 shares
Will there be exactly 0 confirmed VEI 4 or higher volcanic eruptions worldwide in 2026?

No 63% 785 shares
Will Iran strike Ruwais Refinery by April 30?

No 58% 405 shares
Will Iran strike Ruwais Refinery by April 30?

No 59% 405 shares
Will JAY-Z release a new song in 2026?

No 4% 211 shares