Yes position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.77
Polymarket Trader
Tadhg518
0xd9d42ad9335af98d38653575167fb7f4f226e0ee
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $0
- Realized PnL
- $2.99
- Win rate
- 58.3%
- Open positions
- 1
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Latest Resolved Positions
No open position details returned
This trader has an open-position count, but open position cards are not available yet. Showing their latest closed positions instead.
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0.67
No position
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $78000 and $80000 on Apr 18?
Ends Apr 18, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.55
Yes position
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 26.5%
- Multiplier
- 3.77x
- User PnL
- $0.43
No position
Will Ethereum dip to $1,500.00 by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.38
No position
Will Meta have the top AI model on June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.29
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.77
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0.67
No position
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $78000 and $80000 on Apr 18?
Ends Apr 18, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.55
Yes position
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 26.5%
- Multiplier
- 3.77x
- User PnL
- $0.43
No position
Will Ethereum dip to $1,500.00 by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.38
No position
Will Meta have the top AI model on June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.29
No position
Will Bitcoin reach $110,000 by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.25
No position
Will Bitcoin reach $105,000 again by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.24
No position
Will the Los Angeles Lakers win the 2025 NBA Finals?
Ends Jun 23, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.17
No position
Will Israel win Eurovision 2025?
Ends May 17, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.08
No position
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after May 2025 meeting?
Ends May 7, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.02
No position
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after June 2025 meeting?
Ends Jun 18, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.02
No position
Will Belgium win Eurovision 2025?
Ends May 17, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.01
No position
Iran leadership change by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.5%
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 40.5%
- Multiplier
- 2.47x
- User PnL
- $0
No position
Will Raymond Burke be the next pope?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
Iran leadership change by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.5%
- Multiplier
- 200.00x
- User PnL
- $0
No position
Will Alireza Arafi be head of state in Iran end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.2%
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?
Ends Sep 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 58.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.71x
- User PnL
- $0
No position
Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 83.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.20x
- User PnL
- -$0.08
No position
Israel retaliates against Houthis by Friday?
Ends Mar 21, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$0.08
No position
Iran closes its airspace by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$0.51
Yes position
US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$0.59
No position
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 73.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.36x
- User PnL
- -$0.63
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Iran leadership change by June 30?No 94.5% 44 shares
- Will Alireza Arafi be head of state in Iran end of 2026?No 98.8% 39 shares
- Iran leadership change by June 30?No 96.4% 40 shares
- Iran closes its airspace by June 30?No 81.4% 44 shares
- Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?Yes 50% 8 shares
- Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?No 79% 8 shares
- Iran closes its airspace by June 30?No 81.1% 52 shares
- Iran closes its airspace by June 30?No 80.7% 52 shares
- Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?No 68% 63 shares
- Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?Yes 30% 35 shares
- Iran leadership change by June 30?Yes 7% 39 shares
- Iran closes its airspace by June 30?No 77.6% 24 shares