Yes position
GPT-5.6 released by July 10, 2026?
Ends Jul 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.2%
- Current value
- $100.2
- Potential payout
- $101.01
- Potential profit
- $0.81
- User PnL
- $0.2
Polymarket Trader
GammaHedging
0xd9edaeb68f1ab1bb0defca1ae887481e114de0a1
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $150.86
- Realized PnL
- $132.45
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 6
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Y
Yes position
Will GPT-5.6 be released on July 9, 2026?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 97%
- Current value
- $50.65
- Potential payout
- $52.25
- Potential profit
- $1.59
- Multiplier
- 1.03x
- User PnL
- $0.65
Yes position
Will Donald Trump visit China on May 12, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $12.27
- Potential profit
- $12.27
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
Will Trump say "Strait" or "Hormuz" during events with Xi Jinping?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $11.59
- Potential profit
- $11.59
- User PnL
- -$10
Yes position
Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $10.64
- Potential profit
- $10.64
- User PnL
- -$10
Yes position
Will Trump say "Nuclear" during events with Xi Jinping?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $6.34
- Potential profit
- $6.34
- User PnL
- -$5
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will Trump meet with Vladimir Putin in August?
Ends Aug 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $26.64
Yes position
Will Trump meet with Xi Jinping by October 31?
Ends Oct 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $18.96
Yes position
Will Donald Trump visit China on May 13, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $13.61
Yes position
Will Trump meet with Putin by August 15?
Ends Aug 15, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $12.97
No position
US strikes Iran by January 14, 2026?
Ends Jan 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $9.12
No position
Will Trump visit China by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8.45
No position
Will Trump nominate Rick Rieder as the next Fed chair?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8.09
Yes position
Will Trump talk to Xi Jinping in September?
Ends Sep 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.28
Yes position
Will OpenAI release a new frontier model by December 13?
Ends Dec 13, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.44
No position
Will Trump visit China by March 31?
Ends Oct 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.36
Yes position
Will Trump nominate Rick Rieder as the next Fed chair?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $2.41
Yes position
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.22
Yes position
Will the Government shutdown end November 12-15?
Ends Nov 15, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.05
No position
Xi Jinping out in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.94
Yes position
Will OpenAI release a new frontier model by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.6
No position
Will NVIDIA be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.48
No position
Will Trump say "Tanker" during events with Xi Jinping?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.33
Yes position
Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.15
Yes position
Will Trump say "Taiwan" or "Tibet" during events with Xi Jinping?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $1.01
Yes position
Will Trump and Xi handshake last 10–15 seconds during the day of their next meeting in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.99
No position
Will Trump visit China before September?
Ends Aug 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.98
Yes position
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of November 2025?
Ends Nov 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.82
Yes position
Will Trump visit China by May 15?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.8
No position
Will Trump say "IQ" during events with Xi Jinping?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.76
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- GPT-5.6 released by July 10, 2026?Yes 99% 101.01 shares
- Will GPT-5.6 be released on July 9, 2026?Yes 95.7% 52.25 shares
- Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?Yes 94% 10.64 shares
- Will Trump say "Nuclear" during events with Xi Jinping?Yes 78.9% 6.34 shares
- Will Trump say "Strait" or "Hormuz" during events with Xi Jinping?Yes 76.3% 6.55 shares
- Will Trump say "Strait" or "Hormuz" during events with Xi Jinping?Yes 99.2% 5.04 shares
- Will Trump say "Shanghai" during events with Xi Jinping?No 97.3% 5.14 shares
- Will Trump say "IQ" during events with Xi Jinping?No 96% 5.21 shares
- Will Trump say "Autopen" or "Auto Pen" during events with Xi Jinping?No 98.7% 5.07 shares
- Will Trump say "Cookie" during events with Xi Jinping?No 97.4% 5.13 shares
- Will Trump say "Hong Kong" during events with Xi Jinping?No 96% 5.21 shares
- Will Trump say "Six Seven" during events with Xi Jinping?No 97.2% 5.14 shares