No position
Will Alibaba have the best Coding AI model at the end of June 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $64
- Potential payout
- $64
- Potential profit
- $0
- User PnL
- $0.19
Polymarket Trader
Surreal.
0xd9f031b85e6b2449631155440ec8ff9b466b351e
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $64
- Realized PnL
- $4.57
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 1
- Closed positions
- 18
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Xi Jinping out in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.1
Yes position
Will Polymarket US go live in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.53
No position
Trump out as President by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.46
No position
Will there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide by April 5?
Ends Apr 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.42
No position
Will Trump and Xi kiss at their summit?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.37
No position
Will Nicolás Maduro be the first leader out in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.3
No position
Will Elon Musk's net worth be less than $440b on December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.2
No position
Will Israel strike Lebanon on January 17, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.19
No position
Will Alibaba have the best AI model on October 31?
Ends Oct 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.18
No position
Will the US next strike Iran on February 7, 2026 (ET)?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.15
No position
Will SpaceX raise at least $120B in its IPO?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.14
Yes position
Will Monad perform an airdrop by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.13
No position
Will Artemis II launch by February 28?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.12
No position
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $30 in May?
Ends Jun 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.11
No position
Will Amazon be the largest company in the world by market cap on March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.06
No position
Will Israel strike Gaza on December 17?
Ends Nov 21, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.06
No position
Will Z.ai have the best AI model on October 31?
Ends Oct 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.05
No position
Will Tencent have the best AI model on October 31?
Ends Oct 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.02
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Alibaba have the best Coding AI model at the end of June 2026?No 99.7% 64 shares
- Will SpaceX raise at least $120B in its IPO?No 99.6% 34 shares
- Trump out as President by May 31?No 99.5% 91 shares
- Will Trump and Xi kiss at their summit?No 99.4% 61 shares
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $30 in May?No 99.8% 55 shares
- Will there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide by April 5?No 99.8% 200 shares
- Will Amazon be the largest company in the world by market cap on March 31?No 99.9% 59.39 shares
- Will Artemis II launch by February 28?No 99.8% 6.1 shares
- Will the US next strike Iran on February 7, 2026 (ET)?No 99.9% 150 shares
- Will Israel strike Lebanon on January 17, 2026?No 99.3% 27.57 shares
- Will Elon Musk's net worth be less than $440b on December 31?No 99.5% 40.2 shares
- Will Israel strike Gaza on December 17?No 99.9% 55.27 shares