Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 29°C or higher on July 18?
Ends Jul 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 2.7%
- Current value
- $1.57
- Potential payout
- $59.21
- Potential profit
- $57.64
- Multiplier
- 37.74x
- User PnL
- $1.33
Polymarket Trader
0xd9f3...f816
0xd9f31f0af9e55b35c007ccb1422e4c747d5df816
Public profile Partial data Delayed sectionDelayed section
- Open value
- $193.68
- Realized PnL
- $0.19
- Win rate
- 50%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 2
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 78-79°F on July 19?
Ends Jul 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 22.5%
- Current value
- $8.03
- Potential payout
- $35.68
- Potential profit
- $27.65
- Multiplier
- 4.44x
- User PnL
- $0.48
No position
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 36°C on July 19?
Ends Jul 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 47.5%
- Current value
- $15.99
- Potential payout
- $33.66
- Potential profit
- $17.67
- Multiplier
- 2.11x
- User PnL
- $0.86
No position
Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 96-97°F on July 19?
Ends Jul 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 58%
- Current value
- $18.53
- Potential payout
- $31.94
- Potential profit
- $13.41
- Multiplier
- 1.72x
- User PnL
- -$0.15
No position
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 37°C on July 19?
Ends Jul 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 74.5%
- Current value
- $17.74
- Potential payout
- $23.82
- Potential profit
- $6.07
- Multiplier
- 1.34x
- User PnL
- $2.67
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 32°C on July 19?
Ends Jul 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 25.5%
- Current value
- $5.87
- Potential payout
- $23
- Potential profit
- $17.13
- Multiplier
- 3.92x
- User PnL
- $0.12
No position
Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 29°C on July 19?
Ends Jul 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 73.5%
- Current value
- $16.18
- Potential payout
- $22.02
- Potential profit
- $5.84
- Multiplier
- 1.36x
- User PnL
- $0.24
No position
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 23°C on July 20?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 60.5%
- Current value
- $12.86
- Potential payout
- $21.25
- Potential profit
- $8.39
- Multiplier
- 1.65x
- User PnL
- $0.38
No position
Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 66-67°F on July 19?
Ends Jul 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 70%
- Current value
- $14.29
- Potential payout
- $20.41
- Potential profit
- $6.12
- Multiplier
- 1.43x
- User PnL
- -$0.2
No position
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 80-81°F on July 19?
Ends Jul 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 49%
- Current value
- $9.8
- Potential payout
- $20
- Potential profit
- $10.2
- Multiplier
- 2.04x
- User PnL
- -$0.15
No position
Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 40°C or higher on July 20?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 39.5%
- Current value
- $6.73
- Potential payout
- $17.03
- Potential profit
- $10.3
- Multiplier
- 2.53x
- User PnL
- $1.36
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 30°C on July 18?
Ends Jul 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 20%
- Current value
- $3.02
- Potential payout
- $15.11
- Potential profit
- $12.08
- Multiplier
- 5.00x
- User PnL
- $0.15
No position
Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 16°C on July 19?
Ends Jul 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 55%
- Current value
- $8.25
- Potential payout
- $15
- Potential profit
- $6.75
- Multiplier
- 1.82x
- User PnL
- -$0.25
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 29°C on July 20?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 13.5%
- Current value
- $2.02
- Potential payout
- $14.99
- Potential profit
- $12.97
- Multiplier
- 7.41x
- User PnL
- -$0.72
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 78-79°F on July 18?
Ends Jul 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 32%
- Current value
- $4.33
- Potential payout
- $13.52
- Potential profit
- $9.2
- Multiplier
- 3.13x
- User PnL
- -$0.97
No position
Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 26°C on July 19?
Ends Jul 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 82%
- Current value
- $10.19
- Potential payout
- $12.43
- Potential profit
- $2.24
- Multiplier
- 1.22x
- User PnL
- $0.5
No position
Will the highest temperature in Busan be 32°C on July 19?
Ends Jul 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 75.5%
- Current value
- $9.24
- Potential payout
- $12.24
- Potential profit
- $3
- Multiplier
- 1.32x
- User PnL
- $0.92
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 29°C on July 18?
Ends Jul 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 50.5%
- Current value
- $5.23
- Potential payout
- $10.36
- Potential profit
- $5.13
- Multiplier
- 1.98x
- User PnL
- $0.88
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 37°C on July 19?
Ends Jul 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 26%
- Current value
- $2.6
- Potential payout
- $10
- Potential profit
- $7.4
- Multiplier
- 3.85x
- User PnL
- -$0.1
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 80-81°F on July 19?
Ends Jul 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 19.5%
- Current value
- $1.95
- Potential payout
- $10
- Potential profit
- $8.05
- Multiplier
- 5.13x
- User PnL
- -$0.25
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 31°C on July 19?
Ends Jul 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 25.5%
- Current value
- $2.45
- Potential payout
- $9.6
- Potential profit
- $7.15
- Multiplier
- 3.92x
- User PnL
- -$0.43
No position
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 82-83°F on July 18?
Ends Jul 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 83.5%
- Current value
- $7.43
- Potential payout
- $8.9
- Potential profit
- $1.47
- Multiplier
- 1.20x
- User PnL
- $0.32
No position
Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 40°C on July 19?
Ends Jul 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 79.5%
- Current value
- $6.61
- Potential payout
- $8.32
- Potential profit
- $1.71
- Multiplier
- 1.26x
- User PnL
- $0.12
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 19°C on July 18?
Ends Jul 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 38.5%
- Current value
- $2.78
- Potential payout
- $7.23
- Potential profit
- $4.44
- Multiplier
- 2.60x
- User PnL
- -$0.11
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 28°C on July 18?
Ends Jul 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 71.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.40x
- User PnL
- $1.18
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 37°C on July 19?
Ends Jul 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 25.5%
- Multiplier
- 3.92x
- User PnL
- -$0.99
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 66-67°F on July 19?No 71% 6.56 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 37°C on July 19?Yes 27% 5 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Munich be 23°C on July 20?No 58% 11.25 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 37°C on July 19?Yes 27% 5 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 35°C on July 19?No 77% 5 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 96-97°F on July 19?No 59% 5 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 78-79°F on July 19?No 63% 5 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 96-97°F on July 19?No 59% 10.03 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 29°C on July 19?No 72.6% 13.62 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 96-97°F on July 19?No 58% 16.91 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 80-81°F on July 19?No 50% 5 shares
- Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 66-67°F on July 19?No 71% 13.85 shares