Yes position
Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $184.55
- Potential profit
- $184.55
- User PnL
- -$51.09
Polymarket Trader
YEHORR
0xda2dbd010eb28844de9e84c4652f3cab46b956e2
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $18.33
- Realized PnL
- -$123.34
- Win rate
- 44.4%
- Open positions
- 3
- Closed positions
- 18
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Will Iran strike Israel on March 4?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $41.41
- Potential profit
- $41.41
- User PnL
- -$15.32
Yes position
Will Stripe acquire any part of Paypal in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 77%
- Current value
- $18.33
- Potential payout
- $23.8
- Potential profit
- $5.47
- Multiplier
- 1.30x
- User PnL
- $8.81
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $65.86
Yes position
Will Pete Hegseth ban Claude by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $63.93
No position
Will Israel strike Gaza on February 25, 2026?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $10.91
Yes position
Will Trump say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" 2+ times during the 2026 State of the Union address?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $9.47
No position
US strikes Iran by March 7, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $5.47
No position
US strikes Iran by March 15, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $4.63
No position
US strikes Iran by February 26, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.35
No position
US strikes Iran by February 27, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.38
Yes position
Hezbollah strike on Israel by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$2.95
No position
Will Iran strike Israel on March 1?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$7.68
Yes position
Will Trump say "Steroid" during the 2026 State of the Union address?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$10
No position
US strikes Iran by March 1, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$18.63
Yes position
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on February 26?
Ends Feb 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$20
Yes position
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on February 26?
Ends Feb 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$20.9
Israel position
Will US or Israel strike Iran first?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 50%
- Multiplier
- 2.00x
- User PnL
- -$30.06
Yes position
US strikes Iraq by February 28?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$46.68
No position
US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$62.5
Yes position
Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 3?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$69.94
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 3?Yes 29% 241.39 shares
- Will US or Israel strike Iran first?Israel 50% 139.88 shares
- Will Iran strike Israel on March 4?No 37% 41.41 shares
- US strikes Iraq by February 28?Yes 15.1% 101.29 shares
- Will Iran strike Israel on March 1?No 18.6% 41.32 shares
- Hezbollah strike on Israel by March 31?Yes 53.5% 14.36 shares
- Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?Yes 27.7% 184.55 shares
- US strikes Iraq by February 28?Yes 61.2% 101.3 shares
- Will US or Israel strike Iran first?Israel 71.5% 139.88 shares
- Hezbollah strike on Israel by March 31?Yes 74% 14.36 shares
- US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?Yes 70.2% 105.3 shares
- US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?Yes 68% 107.79 shares