Polymarket Trader

xoua

0xda3f7aa664b2fbb9225b52d2eb8e3beff01bc282

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $44.98K
Realized PnL: $59.86K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 10
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

No position

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $59.69K
Potential profit: $59.69K
User PnL: -$44.6K

No position

Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 98.8%
Current value: $19.29K
Potential payout: $19.52K
Potential profit: $234.3
Multiplier: 1.01x
User PnL: $1.84K

No position

Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 71.5%
Current value: $13.54K
Potential payout: $18.93K
Potential profit: $5.4K
Multiplier: 1.40x
User PnL: $1.75K

No position

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2027

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $10K
Potential profit: $10K
User PnL: -$3K

No position

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026?

Ends Oct 31, 2026

Implied probability: 70%
Current value: $3.5K
Potential payout: $5K
Potential profit: $1.5K
Multiplier: 1.43x
User PnL: $350

No position

Will Yulia Navalnaya win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?

Ends Oct 10, 2026

Implied probability: 93.5%
Current value: $3.63K
Potential payout: $3.88K
Potential profit: $252.4
Multiplier: 1.07x
User PnL: $161.36

No position

Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 94.3%
Current value: $3.3K
Potential payout: $3.5K
Potential profit: $201.25
Multiplier: 1.06x
User PnL: $508.75

No position

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 98.2%
Current value: $1.43K
Potential payout: $1.45K
Potential profit: $26.87
Multiplier: 1.02x
User PnL: $191.01

No position

Will Volodymyr Zelenskyy win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?

Ends Oct 10, 2026

Implied probability: 89.7%
Current value: $262.53
Potential payout: $292.84
Potential profit: $30.31
Multiplier: 1.12x
User PnL: $12.62

No position

Ukraine peace referendum passed before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 87%
Current value: $30.95
Potential payout: $35.57
Potential profit: $4.62
Multiplier: 1.15x
User PnL: $1.78

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $40.12K

No position

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by January 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5K

No position

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.08K

No position

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2026?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.53K

Yes position

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2026?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $2.06K

Yes position

Will María Corina Machado win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2025?

Ends Oct 10, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.36K

No position

More EU sanctions on Russia by September 30?

Ends Sep 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $855.76

No position

Putin and Zelenskyy shake hands in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $800.02

No position

Ukraine election called in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $798.75

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - August 27, 6AM ET

Ends Aug 27, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $490

Yes position

Will the Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?

Ends Sep 30, 2026

Implied probability: 6%
Multiplier: 16.67x
User PnL: $404.01

Yes position

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $345.09

No position

Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?

Ends Sep 30, 2026

Implied probability: 41.5%
Multiplier: 2.41x
User PnL: $300

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - August 27, 12PM ET

Ends Aug 27, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $293.2

No position

Ukraine Tomahawk missile strike by December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $288.98

No position

Ukraine election held by December 31, 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $228.58

No position

Will Putin meet with Zelenskyy in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $160

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - August 27, 9AM ET

Ends Aug 27, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $154.51

Yes position

Will Zelenskyy and Putin not meet?

Ends Sep 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $139.99

No position

Ukraine recognizes Russian sovereignty over its territory by December 31, 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $100

Yes position

Nothing Ever Happens: Russia Edition

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $90

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - August 26, 3PM ET

Ends Aug 26, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $88.53

No position

Will Tamim bin Hamad Al Thani win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?

Ends Oct 10, 2026

Implied probability: 96%
Multiplier: 1.04x
User PnL: $85.13

Yes position

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by January 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $77.95

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026?

No 63% 239.99 shares
Ukraine peace referendum passed before 2027?

No 82% 35.57 shares
Will Trump visit China by May 15?

No 0.7% 1,000 shares
Russia x Ukraine Peace Parlay

No 79% 20 shares
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?

No 82.4% 4,756.18 shares
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?

Yes 41% 20,252.97 shares
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?

Yes 55% 200 shares
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?

No 70% 6,025.04 shares
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?

Yes 52% 20,000 shares
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?

Yes 50% 17,250.46 shares
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?

Yes 62% 2,851.17 shares
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?

Yes 59% 8,059.15 shares