Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET
Ends Oct 27, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $2.03K
- Potential profit
- $2.03K
- User PnL
- -$20
Polymarket Trader
0xDA4955Fd441C8A392AaCC8F0B485FF9a911C71Ea-1749481576127
0xda4955fd441c8a392aacc8f0b485ff9a911c71ea
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $318.82
- Realized PnL
- $25.31
- Win rate
- 71.4%
- Open positions
- 6
- Closed positions
- 7
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will SpaceX have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 85.5%
- Current value
- $98.44
- Potential payout
- $115.14
- Potential profit
- $16.7
- Multiplier
- 1.17x
- User PnL
- -$1.56
Yes position
Discord IPO before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 51.9%
- Current value
- $57.32
- Potential payout
- $110.54
- Potential profit
- $53.23
- Multiplier
- 1.93x
- User PnL
- -$42.68
Yes position
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of February 2026?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $104.49
- Potential payout
- $104.49
- Potential profit
- $0
- User PnL
- $4.49
Yes position
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on February 22?
Ends Feb 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $30.4
- Potential payout
- $30.4
- Potential profit
- $0
- User PnL
- $0.4
Yes position
Will Alphabet be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on February 28?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $28.17
- Potential payout
- $28.17
- Potential profit
- $0
- User PnL
- $8.17
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after October 2025 meeting?
Ends Oct 29, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $26.34
Yes position
Lighter market cap (FDV) >$2B one day after launch?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $9
Yes position
Monad market cap (FDV) >$2B one day after launch?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.26
No position
Over 150,000 bidders in the MegaETH public sale?
Ends Jan 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.5
No position
Will Trump pardon SBF by October 31?
Ends Oct 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.6
Yes position
Over 150,000 bidders in the MegaETH public sale?
Ends Jan 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$1.3
Yes position
MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$2B one day after launch?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$16.1
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Discord IPO before 2027?Yes 90.5% 110.54 shares
- Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on February 22?Yes 98.7% 30.4 shares
- Will Alphabet be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on February 28?Yes 71% 28.17 shares
- Will SpaceX have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?Yes 86.9% 115.14 shares
- Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of February 2026?Yes 95.7% 104.49 shares
- MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$2B one day after launch?Yes 16% 24.39 shares
- Monad market cap (FDV) >$2B one day after launch?Yes 95% 105.26 shares
- MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$2B one day after launch?Yes 82% 24.39 shares
- Will Trump pardon SBF by October 31?No 99.4% 100.6 shares
- Lighter market cap (FDV) >$2B one day after launch?Yes 88% 75 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 10:00AM-10:15AM ETUp 1% 2,025.4 shares
- Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after October 2025 meeting?Yes 82% 146.34 shares