Yes position
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?
Ends Jul 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.4%
- Current value
- $87.9
- Potential payout
- $25.12K
- Potential profit
- $25.03K
- Multiplier
- 285.71x
- User PnL
- -$12.56
Polymarket Trader
ConCaMap88
0xda4acf39a42a200bf8e824549084174def8e2184
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $168.63
- Realized PnL
- $662.61
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 19
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the March 2026 meeting?
Ends Mar 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $18.69K
- Potential profit
- $18.69K
- User PnL
- -$134.71
Yes position
Will John Thune win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 0.4%
- Current value
- $72.88
- Potential payout
- $18.22K
- Potential profit
- $18.15K
- Multiplier
- 250.00x
- User PnL
- -$61.77
Yes position
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after January 2026 meeting?
Ends Jan 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $15.02K
- Potential profit
- $15.02K
- User PnL
- -$79.09
Yes position
Nothing Ever Happens: MicroStrategy
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $8.4K
- Potential profit
- $8.4K
- User PnL
- -$184.33
Yes position
Will Dear Me - Diane Warren: Relentless win Best Original Song at the 98th Academy Awards?
Ends Mar 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $7.74K
- Potential profit
- $7.74K
- User PnL
- -$36.82
No position
Will Ronaldo Cry at the World Cup?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $6.8K
- Potential profit
- $6.8K
- User PnL
- -$6.8
Up position
Ethereum Up or Down on March 11?
Ends Mar 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $2.2K
- Potential profit
- $2.2K
- User PnL
- -$20.23
No position
Will Zelenskyy attend the World Economic Forum?
Ends Jan 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.77K
- Potential profit
- $1.77K
- User PnL
- -$4.2
Yes position
Will Bitcoin reach $70,000 February 23-March 1?
Ends Mar 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.39K
- Potential profit
- $1.39K
- User PnL
- -$45.15
Yes position
Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.32K
- Potential profit
- $1.32K
- User PnL
- -$99.54
Yes position
Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after January 2026 meeting?
Ends Jan 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $800
- Potential profit
- $800
- User PnL
- -$1.6
Yes position
Government shutdown on Saturday?
Ends Feb 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $321
- Potential profit
- $321
- User PnL
- -$4.81
Yes position
Will Trump talk to Pope Leo XIV in January?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $100
- User PnL
- -$1.1
Yes position
Will Trump talk to Ursula von der Leyen in January?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $83
- Potential profit
- $83
- User PnL
- -$4.48
Yes position
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 21%
- Current value
- $5.25
- Potential payout
- $25
- Potential profit
- $19.75
- Multiplier
- 4.76x
- User PnL
- -$0.9
Yes position
Will the Doge-1 Lunar Mission launch by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 11.3%
- Current value
- $2.6
- Potential payout
- $23.01
- Potential profit
- $20.41
- Multiplier
- 8.85x
- User PnL
- -$0.25
No position
Next Thai Prime Minister Chosen by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $15
- Potential profit
- $15
- User PnL
- -$1.35
Yes position
Will Bitcoin reach $72,000 February 23-March 1?
Ends Mar 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.14
- Potential profit
- $1.14
- User PnL
- -$0.05
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will Ethereum reach $2,200 in March?
Ends Apr 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $154.49
Yes position
Will Ethereum reach $2,100 March 9-15?
Ends Mar 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $98.24
Yes position
Will Ron DeSantis win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 2.5%
- Multiplier
- 40.82x
- User PnL
- $79.97
Yes position
Will Novak Djokovic win the 2026 Australian Open?
Ends Feb 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $59.51
Yes position
Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 11?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $48.69
Yes position
Will Bitcoin dip to $85,000 in January?
Ends Feb 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $46.33
Yes position
Bitway FDV above $100M one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $38.6
No position
Will Golden - KPop Demon Hunters win Best Original Song at the 98th Academy Awards?
Ends Mar 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $23.18
Yes position
Will Ethereum reach $2,400 in March?
Ends Apr 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $19.63
Yes position
Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $14.02
No position
Will Balendra “Balen” Shah be the next Prime Minister of Nepal?
Ends Mar 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $11.34
No position
Will "Frankenstein" win exactly 3 awards at the Oscars?
Ends Mar 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $11
No position
Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Lebanon by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $10.5
Yes position
Will Yoon Suk Yeol be sentenced to less than 5 years in prison?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $8.3
Yes position
Will Matt Gaetz win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 0.5%
- Multiplier
- 222.22x
- User PnL
- $8
Yes position
Will Ken Paxton win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?
Ends May 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.79
Yes position
Will Luong Cuong be elected General Secretary of the Vietnamese Communist Party?
Ends Jan 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $6.11
Yes position
Will Yoon Suk Yeol be sentenced to 10–15 years in prison?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $4.11
Yes position
Will OpenSea launch a token by March 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $2.79
Yes position
Netanyahu out by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $2.46
Yes position
Will Ethereum reach $2,100 March 2-8?
Ends Mar 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.19
Yes position
US government shutdown Saturday?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.08
Yes position
Will Yoon Suk Yeol be sentenced to 15–20 years in prison?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $1.65
Yes position
Will André Ventura win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?
Ends Jan 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $1.63
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?Yes 0.4% 294.19 shares
- Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?Yes 0.4% 23,120.65 shares
- Will John Thune win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Yes 0.5% 360 shares
- Will John Thune win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Yes 0.5% 2,456 shares
- Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?Yes 0.4% 1,700.31 shares
- Will Ron DeSantis win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Yes 2.4% 309.53 shares
- Will John Thune win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Yes 0.6% 1,133.48 shares
- Will Ron DeSantis win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Yes 2.4% 309.53 shares
- Will Ron DeSantis win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Yes 2.5% 848.17 shares
- Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31?Yes 23% 5 shares
- Will Ronaldo Cry at the World Cup?No 0.1% 3,000 shares
- Will Ronaldo Cry at the World Cup?No 0.1% 3,800 shares