Polymarket Trader

Manulu

0xda4ce9a3f57b619f3fd2da95c637076464e103e1

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $12.19
Realized PnL: $74.16
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3
Closed positions: 8
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Anthropic IPO by September 15, 2026?

Ends Jul 1, 2027

Implied probability: 5%
Current value: $12.19
Potential payout: $243.87
Potential profit: $231.68
Multiplier: 20.00x
User PnL: -$49.72

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET

Ends Jun 3, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $45.45
Potential profit: $45.45
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

Will Austria vs. Jordan end in a draw?

Ends Jun 17, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $5
Potential profit: $5
User PnL: -$1

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will Spain win on 2026-07-02?

Ends Jul 2, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $30.29

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET

Ends Jun 26, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $17.73

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET

Ends Jun 3, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $14.11

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET

Ends Jun 3, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $8.38

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET

Ends Jun 3, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.69

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET

Ends Jun 3, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.89

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET

Ends Jun 3, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.05

Yes position

Will the ECB announce a 25 bps increase at the June 2026 meeting?

Ends Jun 11, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.02

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Spain win on 2026-07-02?

Yes 76.7% 130.29 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET

Down 22% 22.73 shares
Will Austria vs. Jordan end in a draw?

Yes 20% 5 shares
Will Anthropic IPO by September 15, 2026?

Yes 15% 66.67 shares
Will Anthropic IPO by September 15, 2026?

Yes 15% 33.33 shares
Will Anthropic IPO by September 15, 2026?

Yes 15% 6.67 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET

Down 11% 45.45 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET

Down 65% 7.69 shares
Will Anthropic IPO by September 15, 2026?

Yes 35.9% 97.6 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET

Down 99% 13.51 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET

Down 37% 13.51 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET

Down 99% 5.95 shares