Polymarket Trader

MailAJ-Long-Term

0xda4d2a955ebad25b3510d65ad0def9647849c8ee

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $37.09
Realized PnL: $4.74K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 24
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?

Ends Jun 26, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $1.25
Potential payout: $2.5K
Potential profit: $2.5K
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$1.25

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 460-479 tweets from June 23 to June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $1.01
Potential payout: $2.01K
Potential profit: $2.01K
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$1.51

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?

Ends Jun 26, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $1
Potential payout: $2K
Potential profit: $2K
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from June 23 to June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0.2%
Current value: $3
Potential payout: $2K
Potential profit: $2K
Multiplier: 666.67x
User PnL: $1

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?

Ends Jun 26, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $1
Potential payout: $2K
Potential profit: $2K
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 440-459 tweets from June 23 to June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0.2%
Current value: $3
Potential payout: $2K
Potential profit: $2K
Multiplier: 666.67x
User PnL: $0.5

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 500+ tweets from June 23 to June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0.2%
Current value: $3
Potential payout: $2K
Potential profit: $2K
Multiplier: 666.67x
User PnL: $1

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?

Ends Jun 26, 2026

Implied probability: 0.4%
Current value: $7
Potential payout: $2K
Potential profit: $1.99K
Multiplier: 285.71x
User PnL: $5

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from June 23 to June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0.2%
Current value: $3
Potential payout: $2K
Potential profit: $2K
Multiplier: 666.67x
User PnL: $1

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?

Ends Jun 26, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $1
Potential payout: $2K
Potential profit: $2K
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 480-499 tweets from June 23 to June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0.2%
Current value: $2.84
Potential payout: $1.89K
Potential profit: $1.89K
Multiplier: 666.67x
User PnL: $0.95

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 420-439 tweets from June 23 to June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0.2%
Current value: $2.25
Potential payout: $1.5K
Potential profit: $1.5K
Multiplier: 666.67x
User PnL: $0.75

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 460-479 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?

Ends Jun 26, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.5
Potential payout: $1K
Potential profit: $999.5
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$0.5

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 420-439 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?

Ends Jun 26, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.5
Potential payout: $1K
Potential profit: $999.5
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$0.5

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 440-459 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?

Ends Jun 26, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.5
Potential payout: $1K
Potential profit: $999.5
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$0.5

Yes position

Will Donald Trump post 60-79 Truth Social posts from June 23 to June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0.4%
Current value: $2.4
Potential payout: $600
Potential profit: $597.6
Multiplier: 250.00x
User PnL: $0.6

Yes position

Will Ted Cruz post 0-19 posts from June 23 to June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $599.99
Potential profit: $599.99
User PnL: -$0.6

Yes position

Will Donald Trump post 120-139 Truth Social posts from June 19 to June 26, 2026?

Ends Jun 26, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.26
Potential payout: $510
Potential profit: $509.75
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$2.64

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?

Ends Jun 26, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.25
Potential payout: $500
Potential profit: $499.75
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$0.25

Yes position

Will Donald Trump post 40-59 Truth Social posts from June 23 to June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0.2%
Current value: $0.8
Potential payout: $400
Potential profit: $399.2
Multiplier: 500.00x
User PnL: $0

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from June 26 to July 3, 2026?

Ends Jul 3, 2026

Implied probability: 0.6%
Current value: $1.22
Potential payout: $221.91
Potential profit: $220.69
Multiplier: 181.82x
User PnL: $0.78

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 420-439 tweets from June 26 to July 3, 2026?

Ends Jul 3, 2026

Implied probability: 0.4%
Current value: $0.47
Potential payout: $135.01
Potential profit: $134.53
Multiplier: 285.71x
User PnL: $0.34

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?

Ends Jun 26, 2026

Implied probability: 0.7%
Current value: $0.85
Potential payout: $120.77
Potential profit: $119.92
Multiplier: 142.86x
User PnL: -$3.61

Caroline Werner position

Wimbledon, Qualification WTA: Caroline Werner vs Alina Charaeva

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $76.75
Potential profit: $76.75
User PnL: -$3

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will Argentina dollarize in 2024?

Ends Dec 31, 2024

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $476.02

Yes position

Will MrBeast's next video get less than 25 million views on day 1

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $421.05

Yes position

Will Elon tweet 350 or more times May 30–June 6?

Ends Jun 6, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $343.33

Yes position

Will “The Fate of Ophelia” have between 45–50 million views on Friday at noon?

Ends Oct 10, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $305.36

Yes position

Will Manchester United win on 2024-12-15?

Ends Dec 15, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $268.16

Yes position

Will Elon tweet 275-299 times Dec 20-27?

Ends Dec 27, 2024

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $249.09

Yes position

Will MrBeast's next video get between 30 and 35 million views on day 1?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $248.03

Yes position

Will MrBeast x Ronaldo video get less than 50m views on day 1?

Ends Nov 30, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $235.77

Yes position

Will Gukesh Dommaraju win Game 14 of the World Chess Championship?

Ends Dec 12, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $200.36

Yes position

Will Ding Liren win Game 8 of the World Chess Championship?

Ends Dec 4, 2024

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $192.91

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from November 7 to November 14, 2025?

Ends Nov 14, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $175.8

Yes position

Will Liverpool win on 2024-12-04?

Ends Dec 4, 2024

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $172.94

Yes position

Will Ding Liren win Game 12 of the World Chess Championship?

Ends Dec 9, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $163.82

No position

Will Ronaldo x MrBeast video get >20m views on day 1?

Ends Nov 22, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $147.4

Yes position

Will Qingdao Hainiu FC win on 2025-10-26?

Ends Oct 26, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $143.07

Yes position

Will Elon tweet 300-324 times Dec 20-27?

Ends Dec 27, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $136.58

No position

Will Gukesh Dommaraju win Game 7 of the World Chess Championship

Ends Dec 3, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $117.08

Yes position

Will Elon tweet 475-499 times Dec 13-20?

Ends Dec 20, 2024

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $115.5

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from April 7 to April 14, 2026?

Ends Apr 14, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $111.78

Yes position

Will MrBeast's next video get between 20 and 25 million views on day 1?

Ends Jun 14, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $107.68

Yes position

Will Elon tweet 335–349 times May 30–June 6?

Ends Jun 6, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $105.63

Yes position

Will Hikaru Nakamura win the 2025 Norway Chess tournament?

Ends Jun 6, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $102.97

Bulls position

Bulls vs. Celtics

Ends Dec 27, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $102.46

Pacers position

Pacers vs. Thunder

Ends Jun 13, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $97.81

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Wimbledon, Qualification WTA: Caroline Werner vs Alina Charaeva

Caroline Werner 3.9% 76.75 shares
Will Donald Trump post 160-179 Truth Social posts from June 19 to June 26, 2026?

Yes 39% 10 shares
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?

Yes 6.5% 30.77 shares
ITF Taipei: Kisa Yoshioka vs Dayeon Back

Kisa Yoshioka 9% 11.11 shares
Will Jordan vs. Argentina end in a draw?

Yes 13% 15.38 shares
Will Panama vs. England end in a draw?

Yes 13% 15.38 shares
Will Senegal vs. Iraq end in a draw?

Yes 15% 6.67 shares
Will Curaçao vs. Côte d'Ivoire end in a draw?

Yes 11% 27.27 shares
Will Morocco vs. Haiti end in a draw?

Yes 12% 25 shares
Will Bosnia and Herzegovina vs. Qatar end in a draw?

Yes 18% 16.67 shares
Will Elon Musk post 440-459 tweets from June 23 to June 30, 2026?

Yes 0.2% 230 shares
Will Elon Musk post 460-479 tweets from June 23 to June 30, 2026?

Yes 0.2% 510 shares