Polymarket Trader

SaulTNuts

0xda4d6c236cc356758246615f06f48cdd2be1217a

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $806.24
Realized PnL: $308.54
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 24
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

No position

Will John Fleming be the republican nominee for Senate in Louisiana?

Ends May 16, 2026

Implied probability: 96.2%
Current value: $268.4
Potential payout: $279
Potential profit: $10.6
Multiplier: 1.04x
User PnL: $33.42

Yes position

Will Bernie endorse Zach Wahls for IA-Sen Nov 2 2026 ET?

Ends Nov 30, 2026

Implied probability: 10.8%
Current value: $25.06
Potential payout: $232
Potential profit: $206.94
Multiplier: 9.26x
User PnL: $17.83

No position

Will Jason Miyares be the Republican nominee for Senate in Virginia?

Ends Jun 16, 2026

Implied probability: 99.8%
Current value: $200.28
Potential payout: $200.68
Potential profit: $0.4
User PnL: $58.59

Yes position

Will Janet Mills be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Maine?

Ends Jun 9, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $153
Potential profit: $153
User PnL: -$56.47

Yes position

US recognizes Reza Pahlavi as leader of Iran in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 3.7%
Current value: $5.15
Potential payout: $141
Potential profit: $135.85
Multiplier: 27.40x
User PnL: -$36.55

Yes position

Will Blake Miguez be the republican nominee for Senate in Louisiana?

Ends May 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.06
Potential payout: $112
Potential profit: $111.94
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$26.34

Yes position

Poilievre out as leader of Conservatives by December 31, 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 9%
Current value: $9.49
Potential payout: $105.41
Potential profit: $95.92
Multiplier: 11.11x
User PnL: -$15.51

Yes position

Will Jordan Bardella win the 2027 French presidential election?

Ends Apr 30, 2027

Implied probability: 25.5%
Current value: $21.17
Potential payout: $83
Potential profit: $61.84
Multiplier: 3.92x
User PnL: -$4.83

No position

Will Jean-Luc Mélenchon win the 2027 French presidential election?

Ends Apr 30, 2027

Implied probability: 89.5%
Current value: $57.28
Potential payout: $64
Potential profit: $6.72
Multiplier: 1.12x
User PnL: -$0.32

No position

Will Lana Del Rey release an album in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 54%
Current value: $31.32
Potential payout: $58
Potential profit: $26.68
Multiplier: 1.85x
User PnL: $20.88

Yes position

Will OpenAI acquire Pinterest in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 4.3%
Current value: $2.43
Potential payout: $56
Potential profit: $53.57
Multiplier: 23.04x
User PnL: -$7.65

No position

Will Royce White be the Republican nominee for Senate in Minnesota?

Ends Aug 11, 2026

Implied probability: 98.4%
Current value: $51.52
Potential payout: $52.38
Potential profit: $0.86
Multiplier: 1.02x
User PnL: $18.52

No position

Will Bill Cassidy be the republican nominee for Senate in Louisiana?

Ends May 16, 2026

Implied probability: 99.5%
Current value: $48.76
Potential payout: $49
Potential profit: $0.24
User PnL: $17.4

Yes position

Will Bernie endorse Dan Osborn for NE-Sen by Nov 2 2026 ET?

Ends Nov 3, 2026

Implied probability: 40.6%
Current value: $15.81
Potential payout: $39
Potential profit: $23.19
Multiplier: 2.47x
User PnL: $5.61

Yes position

Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Ends Oct 4, 2026

Implied probability: 24.6%
Current value: $9.33
Potential payout: $38
Potential profit: $28.67
Multiplier: 4.07x
User PnL: $3.01

Yes position

Will Playboi Carti release an album in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 41.5%
Current value: $14.94
Potential payout: $36
Potential profit: $21.06
Multiplier: 2.41x
User PnL: -$4.86

Yes position

Will Erin Stewart win the 2026 Connecticut Governor Republican primary election?

Ends Aug 11, 2026

Implied probability: 1%
Current value: $0.34
Potential payout: $34.48
Potential profit: $34.14
Multiplier: 100.00x
User PnL: -$19.66

Yes position

Katy Perry and Justin Trudeau engaged by end of 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 33.5%
Current value: $11.06
Potential payout: $33
Potential profit: $21.95
Multiplier: 2.99x
User PnL: $1.49

Yes position

Will Julie Emerson be the republican nominee for Senate in Louisiana?

Ends May 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.02
Potential payout: $30
Potential profit: $29.99
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$8.57

No position

Will Rabby launch a token by December 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 76.5%
Current value: $22.95
Potential payout: $30
Potential profit: $7.05
Multiplier: 1.31x
User PnL: $13.35

No position

Will Ryan Fazio win the 2026 Connecticut Governor Republican primary election?

Ends Aug 11, 2026

Implied probability: 5.7%
Current value: $1.69
Potential payout: $29.85
Potential profit: $28.16
Multiplier: 17.70x
User PnL: -$18.31

No position

Will Lindsey Graham be the Republican nominee for Senate in South Carolina?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $29
Potential profit: $29
User PnL: -$5.6

Yes position

Will Tarcisio de Freitas win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Ends Oct 4, 2026

Implied probability: 0.2%
Current value: $0.02
Potential payout: $11
Potential profit: $10.98
Multiplier: 666.67x
User PnL: -$1.41

No position

Israel and Indonesia normalize relations by December 31, 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 92%
Current value: $9.2
Potential payout: $10
Potential profit: $0.8
Multiplier: 1.09x
User PnL: $1.2

Resolved Context

Closed positions

76ers position

Rockets vs. 76ers

Ends Jan 23, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $63.87

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - January 25, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET

Ends Jan 25, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $35.37

Yes position

Will One Battle After Another win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?

Ends Mar 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $32.19

No position

Will the Florida Panthers win the Atlantic Division?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $20.13

UNCG Spartans position

Western Carolina Catamounts vs. UNCG Spartans

Ends Feb 5, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $14.53

Green Bay Phoenix position

Green Bay Phoenix vs. Northern Kentucky Norse

Ends Feb 5, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $13.26

Cleveland State Vikings position

Cleveland State Vikings vs. Milwaukee Panthers

Ends Feb 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $11.7

Yes position

Will Mark Teixeira be the Republican nominee for TX-21?

Ends Mar 3, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $9.5

No position

Will Sinners win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?

Ends Mar 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $9.12

No position

Will Geoff Duncan win the 2026 Georgia Governor Democratic primary election?

Ends May 19, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $8.18

Texas Southern Tigers position

Texas Southern Tigers vs. Prairie View A&M Panthers

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $7.67

Stonehill Skyhawks position

Fairleigh Dickinson Knights vs. Stonehill Skyhawks

Ends Jan 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $7.4

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - January 18, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET

Ends Jan 18, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $7.15

Massachusetts Minutemen position

Central Michigan Chippewas vs. Massachusetts Minutemen

Ends Feb 4, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $7.12

Yes position

Will Kanye West release a new song in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.97

Arkansas Razorbacks position

Kentucky Wildcats vs. Arkansas Razorbacks

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $6.92

Memphis Tigers position

Tulane Green Wave vs. Memphis Tigers

Ends Feb 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $6.7

Providence Friars position

Butler Bulldogs vs. Providence Friars

Ends Feb 5, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.54

Kentucky Wildcats position

Kentucky Wildcats vs. Arkansas Razorbacks

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.94

Hawks position

Hawks vs. Grizzlies

Ends Jan 22, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.91

Massachusetts Minutemen position

Toledo Rockets vs. Massachusetts Minutemen

Ends Jan 20, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.82

Thunder position

Thunder vs. Nuggets

Ends Feb 2, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.72

Eastern Michigan Eagles position

Akron Zips vs. Eastern Michigan Eagles

Ends Feb 3, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $5.59

South Carolina State Bulldogs position

Delaware State Hornets vs. South Carolina State Bulldogs

Ends Jan 27, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.24

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

US x Iran ceasefire by December 31?

No 30.9% 80.81 shares
Will One Battle After Another win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?

Yes 77% 99.98 shares
Will Sinners win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?

No 80.7% 47.3 shares
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?

Yes 17% 48 shares
Lehigh Mountain Hawks vs. Loyola Maryland Greyhounds

Loyola Maryland Greyhounds 85.7% 10 shares
Green Bay Phoenix vs. Northern Kentucky Norse

Green Bay Phoenix 18% 10 shares
Green Bay Phoenix vs. Northern Kentucky Norse

Northern Kentucky Norse 73% 11 shares
Green Bay Phoenix vs. Northern Kentucky Norse

Northern Kentucky Norse 56% 11 shares
Green Bay Phoenix vs. Northern Kentucky Norse

Green Bay Phoenix 70% 22 shares
Michigan State Spartans vs. Minnesota Golden Gophers

Michigan State Spartans 9% 1.04 shares
Lehigh Mountain Hawks vs. Loyola Maryland Greyhounds

Lehigh Mountain Hawks 23% 10 shares
Lehigh Mountain Hawks vs. Loyola Maryland Greyhounds

Loyola Maryland Greyhounds 78.9% 10 shares