No position
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 84.5%
- Current value
- $61.81
- Potential payout
- $73.19
- Potential profit
- $11.38
- Multiplier
- 1.18x
- User PnL
- -$4.35
Polymarket Trader
grandolddame
0xda5fa3a3abcf9aaae5fb7e8ca3455c2be24d450d
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $163.49
- Realized PnL
- $103.28
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 3
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Y
Yes position
Will Trump praise Elon Musk by July 31?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 94.6%
- Current value
- $67.74
- Potential payout
- $71.61
- Potential profit
- $3.87
- Multiplier
- 1.06x
- User PnL
- -$1.43
No position
World Cup: Goalkeeper to Score?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 98.1%
- Current value
- $33.94
- Potential payout
- $34.61
- Potential profit
- $0.67
- Multiplier
- 1.02x
- User PnL
- $0.81
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $20.42
No position
Iran closes its airspace by May 21?
Ends May 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $14.53
No position
Will Israel win Eurovision 2026?
Ends May 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $11.07
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8.78
No position
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8.57
No position
Will Bitcoin dip to $80,000 by December 31, 2025?
Ends Jan 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.03
No position
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by April 30, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.9
No position
Monad market cap (FDV) >$6B one day after launch?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.3
No position
Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.56
No position
Will Pump.fun perform an airdrop by July 18?
Ends Jul 18, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.99
No position
Israel military action against Fordow nuclear facility by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.59
No position
Monad market cap (FDV) >$8B one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.34
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 22, 2026?
Ends May 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.28
No position
Fed rate cut by January 2026 meeting?
Ends Jan 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.05
No position
Will Tesla launch a driverless Robotaxi service before July?
Ends Jun 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.69
Yes position
Will NVIDIA be the most valuable company on October 31?
Ends Oct 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.68
No position
Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2025?
Ends Jan 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.63
No position
Will the Kharg Island oil terminal be hit by April 15?
Ends Apr 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.17
Yes position
US forces enter Iran by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.96
Yes position
Will Iran strike Israel on March 10?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.65
No position
Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 in November?
Ends Dec 1, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.63
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 24, 2026?
Ends Apr 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.58
Yes position
Monad market cap (FDV) >$3B one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.49
No position
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 15?
Ends Apr 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.39
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Trump praise Elon Musk by July 31?Yes 96.6% 71.61 shares
- Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No 94.9% 69.78 shares
- Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No 90.4% 73.19 shares
- World Cup: Goalkeeper to Score?No 95.7% 34.61 shares
- Iran closes its airspace by June 8?Yes 99.9% 165.79 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?No 94.7% 165.68 shares
- Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by May 31, 2026?No 90.8% 69 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?No 68% 63.82 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?Yes 32% 134.62 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?No 46% 131.68 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?No 92% 131.68 shares
- Iran closes its airspace by May 21?No 88% 121.09 shares