Eire

Implied probability: 99.3%
Current value: $3.92K
Potential payout: $3.95K
Potential profit: $29.65
User PnL: $744.05

Yes position

Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?

Ends Jun 21, 2026

Implied probability: 89.5%
Current value: $3.02K
Potential payout: $3.38K
Potential profit: $354.86
Multiplier: 1.12x
User PnL: $203.27

Yes position

Will Xavier Becerra finish first in the 2026 California Governor primary election?

Implied probability: 99.1%
Current value: $2.39K
Potential payout: $2.41K
Potential profit: $21.69
User PnL: $220.02

Yes position

Will Andy Burnham be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?

Implied probability: 92.8%
Current value: $2.03K
Potential payout: $2.19K
Potential profit: $157.34
Multiplier: 1.08x
User PnL: $327.89

Yes position

Will Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?

Implied probability: 60.5%
Current value: $1.14K
Potential payout: $1.89K
Potential profit: $747.32
Multiplier: 1.65x
User PnL: -$455.36

Yes position

Will Keir Starmer be a candidate in the next Labour Party leadership election?

Implied probability: 18.5%
Current value: $190.08
Potential payout: $1.03K
Potential profit: $837.4
Multiplier: 5.41x
User PnL: -$458.19

Yes position

Will Wes Streeting be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?

Implied probability: 0.7%
Current value: $7.08
Potential payout: $1.01K
Potential profit: $1K
Multiplier: 142.86x
User PnL: -$192.92

Yes position

Will Jamie Davis Jr. be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Louisiana?

Ends May 16, 2026

Implied probability: 96.7%
Current value: $913
Potential payout: $944.16
Potential profit: $31.16
Multiplier: 1.03x
User PnL: $145.93

Yes position

Will Fujimori win the 2nd round of the 2026 Peru presidential election by 0.2–0.3%?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 94.1%
Current value: $781.03
Potential payout: $830
Potential profit: $48.97
Multiplier: 1.06x
User PnL: $53.23

Yes position

Will Ritchie Torres be the Democratic nominee for NY-15?

Ends Jun 23, 2026

Implied probability: 98.1%
Current value: $686.35
Potential payout: $700
Potential profit: $13.65
Multiplier: 1.02x
User PnL: $47.35

Yes position

Will Randy Fine be the Republican nominee for FL-06?

Ends Aug 18, 2026

Implied probability: 92.8%
Current value: $591.58
Potential payout: $637.83
Potential profit: $46.24
Multiplier: 1.08x
User PnL: $60.78

Yes position

Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 16.1%
Current value: $92.77
Potential payout: $578.03
Potential profit: $485.26
Multiplier: 6.23x
User PnL: -$7.22

No position

Starmer out by July 31, 2026?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 18.5%
Current value: $106.93
Potential payout: $578
Potential profit: $471.07
Multiplier: 5.41x
User PnL: -$61.49

Yes position

Will Julia Letlow be the republican nominee for Senate in Louisiana?

Ends May 16, 2026

Implied probability: 96.7%
Current value: $374.52
Potential payout: $387.5
Potential profit: $12.98
Multiplier: 1.03x
User PnL: $126.52

Yes position

Will Jerri Green win the 2026 Tennessee Governor Democratic primary election?

Ends Aug 6, 2026

Implied probability: 76.5%
Current value: $240.93
Potential payout: $314.94
Potential profit: $74.01
Multiplier: 1.31x
User PnL: -$32.84

Yes position

Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 23.7%
Current value: $70.95
Potential payout: $300
Potential profit: $229.05
Multiplier: 4.23x
User PnL: -$1.95

Yes position

Will Burt Jones win the 2026 Georgia Governor Republican primary election?

Ends May 19, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $250
Potential profit: $250
User PnL: -$150

No position

Will Al Carns be a candidate in the next Labour Party leadership election?

Implied probability: 87.5%
Current value: $214.29
Potential payout: $244.9
Potential profit: $30.61
Multiplier: 1.14x
User PnL: $14.29

Yes position

Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 18.4%
Current value: $42.48
Potential payout: $231.48
Potential profit: $189
Multiplier: 5.45x
User PnL: -$7.52

Yes position

Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Ends Oct 4, 2026

Implied probability: 25.6%
Current value: $58.2
Potential payout: $227.79
Potential profit: $169.59
Multiplier: 3.91x
User PnL: -$41.8

Yes position

Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Ends Oct 4, 2026

Implied probability: 51.5%
Current value: $114.44
Potential payout: $222.22
Potential profit: $107.78
Multiplier: 1.94x
User PnL: $14.44

Yes position

Will Mark Smith be the Republican Nominee for SC-01?

Ends Jun 9, 2026

Implied probability: 43.5%
Current value: $87
Potential payout: $199.99
Potential profit: $112.99
Multiplier: 2.30x
User PnL: -$49

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $16.37K

No position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $9.45K

No position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?

Ends May 26, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $7.81K

Yes position

Will Tamilaga Vettri Kazhagam (TVK) win the most seats in the 2026 Tamil Nadu Legislative Assembly election?

Ends Apr 23, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.51K

Baltimore Orioles position

New York Yankees vs. Baltimore Orioles

Ends May 18, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.42K

Yes position

Will Daniel Ennis win the 2026 Dublin-central by-election?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.87K

Yes position

Will the Virginia redistricting referendum pass?

Ends Apr 21, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.55K

Seattle Mariners position

Seattle Mariners vs. Houston Astros

Ends May 19, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.55K

Yes position

Will Plaid Cymru win the most seats in the 2026 Welsh Senedd election?

Ends May 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.51K

Yes position

Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?

Ends Apr 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.2K

Yes position

Will the Bharatiya Janata Party (BJP) win the most seats in the 2026 West Bengal Legislative Assembly election?

Ends Apr 29, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.19K

No position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?

Ends Jun 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $834.91

No position

US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $739.83

Yes position

Will Lindsey Graham be the Republican nominee for Senate in South Carolina?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $702.26

Yes position

Will Steve Hilton advance from the 2026 California Governor primary election?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $566.86

Yes position

Will Zach Lahn win the 2026 Iowa Governor Republican primary election?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $543.05

No position

Starmer out by May 31, 2026?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $522.07

No position

Starmer out by May 15, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $513.87

Yes position

Will Keisha Lance Bottoms win the 2026 Georgia Governor Democratic primary election?

Ends May 19, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $427.73

Yes position

Will Andy Burnham win the 2026 Makerfield by-election?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $408.56

Yes position

UK Cabinet Minister resigns by May 31, 2026?