Yes position
Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 5.1%
- Current value
- $7.65
- Potential payout
- $151.52
- Potential profit
- $143.86
- Multiplier
- 19.80x
- User PnL
- $2.65
Polymarket Trader
0xDA72C01ee4D3F2774f0B71817b0Da0362C1e261c-1773442009201
0xda72c01ee4d3f2774f0b71817b0da0362c1e261c
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $97.92
- Realized PnL
- $17.96
- Win rate
- 65.2%
- Open positions
- 20
- Closed positions
- 23
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $47.62
- Potential profit
- $47.62
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 23%
- Current value
- $10.53
- Potential payout
- $45.87
- Potential profit
- $35.34
- Multiplier
- 4.36x
- User PnL
- $5.53
Yes position
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 20.7%
- Current value
- $8.98
- Potential payout
- $43.48
- Potential profit
- $34.5
- Multiplier
- 4.84x
- User PnL
- $3.98
No position
Will a Claude Mythos model be released by July 31, 2026?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $38.46
- Potential profit
- $38.46
- User PnL
- -$5
Yes position
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 10.3%
- Current value
- $3.88
- Potential payout
- $37.88
- Potential profit
- $34
- Multiplier
- 9.76x
- User PnL
- -$1.12
Yes position
Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $35.91
- Potential profit
- $35.91
- User PnL
- -$2
Yes position
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 11.2%
- Current value
- $3.62
- Potential payout
- $32.47
- Potential profit
- $28.85
- Multiplier
- 8.97x
- User PnL
- -$1.38
No position
Will Trump visit China by May 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $23.81
- Potential profit
- $23.81
- User PnL
- -$5
Yes position
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-04-14?
Ends Apr 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $19.1
- Potential profit
- $19.1
- User PnL
- -$4.89
Yes position
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 21.5%
- Current value
- $4.06
- Potential payout
- $18.94
- Potential profit
- $14.88
- Multiplier
- 4.66x
- User PnL
- -$0.94
No position
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 57.5%
- Current value
- $10.65
- Potential payout
- $18.52
- Potential profit
- $7.87
- Multiplier
- 1.74x
- User PnL
- $0.65
No position
Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 57%
- Current value
- $10.36
- Potential payout
- $18.18
- Potential profit
- $7.82
- Multiplier
- 1.75x
- User PnL
- $0.36
No position
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
Ends Oct 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 77.5%
- Current value
- $13.45
- Potential payout
- $17.36
- Potential profit
- $3.92
- Multiplier
- 1.29x
- User PnL
- $3.45
Yes position
Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire end by April 21, 2026?
Ends Apr 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $16.67
- Potential profit
- $16.67
- User PnL
- -$5
No position
Will Solana dip to $60 in June?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 97.6%
- Current value
- $13.4
- Potential payout
- $13.74
- Potential profit
- $0.34
- Multiplier
- 1.03x
- User PnL
- $8.4
Yes position
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 37.9%
- Current value
- $4.87
- Potential payout
- $12.85
- Potential profit
- $7.99
- Multiplier
- 2.64x
- User PnL
- -$0.13
Yes position
Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 12.5%
- Current value
- $0.52
- Potential payout
- $4.17
- Potential profit
- $3.65
- Multiplier
- 8.00x
- User PnL
- -$0.48
No position
Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 93.7%
- Current value
- $3.47
- Potential payout
- $3.7
- Potential profit
- $0.24
- Multiplier
- 1.07x
- User PnL
- $1.47
Yes position
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 78%
- Current value
- $2.48
- Potential payout
- $3.18
- Potential profit
- $0.7
- Multiplier
- 1.28x
- User PnL
- $1.48
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $105 by end of March?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $10.61
Yes position
Gemini 3.5 released by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8
No position
Will Trump visit China by March 31?
Ends Oct 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.8
Yes position
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 31, 2026?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5
No position
Will George Russell be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?
Ends Dec 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 75.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.32x
- User PnL
- $4.33
Yes position
Will Tottenham Hotspur FC win on 2026-03-18?
Ends Mar 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.66
Yes position
Will xAI have the best AI model at the end of March 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $3.02
Yes position
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-03-18?
Ends Mar 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.68
No position
US forces enter Iran by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.54
Yes position
Will any OpenAI GPT model score at least 60% on the FrontierMath Exam?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.46
No position
Will Netanyahu tweet again by Saturday?
Ends Mar 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.35
Yes position
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-03-18?
Ends Mar 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.03
Yes position
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 84.1%
- Multiplier
- 1.19x
- User PnL
- $1.76
No position
Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 Champions League?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.67
Yes position
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-03-18?
Ends Mar 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.49
No position
Will Jesus Christ return before GTA VI?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 50.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.98x
- User PnL
- -$0.29
Yes position
Will Lando Norris be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?
Ends Dec 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.8%
- Multiplier
- 125.00x
- User PnL
- -$4.22
No position
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on March 14?
Ends Mar 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$5
No position
Will Bitcoin reach $71,000 on March 21?
Ends Mar 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$5
No position
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of March 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$5
Yes position
Will Timothée Chalamet win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?
Ends Mar 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$6
Yes position
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of March 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$6.62
Yes position
Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of March 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$7.31
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will a Claude Mythos model be released by July 31, 2026?No 13% 38.46 shares
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 31, 2026?Yes 50% 10 shares
- Will Solana dip to $60 in June?No 36.4% 13.74 shares
- Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?No 54% 18.52 shares
- Will George Russell be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?No 84% 11.11 shares
- Will Lando Norris be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?Yes 1.6% 48.54 shares
- Will Lando Norris be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?Yes 10.3% 48.54 shares
- Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by June 30?No 54% 3.7 shares
- Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026?Yes 24% 4.17 shares
- Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?Yes 31.4% 3.18 shares
- Gemini 3.5 released by June 30?Yes 20% 10 shares
- Will Google have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?Yes 2.1% 47.62 shares