Yes position
Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $681.82
- Potential profit
- $681.82
- User PnL
- -$30
Polymarket Trader
Virulents
0xdaa2770d03463b78521bc2236a9e026cf353532b
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $341.4
- Realized PnL
- $263.26
- Win rate
- 72.7%
- Open positions
- 11
- Closed positions
- 22
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
US recession by end of 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2027- Implied probability
- 12.5%
- Current value
- $46.16
- Potential payout
- $369.29
- Potential profit
- $323.13
- Multiplier
- 8.00x
- User PnL
- -$93.84
Yes position
Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $309.74
- Potential profit
- $309.74
- User PnL
- -$20
No position
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 85.5%
- Current value
- $120.71
- Potential payout
- $141.18
- Potential profit
- $20.47
- Multiplier
- 1.17x
- User PnL
- $24.71
No position
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 90.5%
- Current value
- $126.92
- Potential payout
- $140.24
- Potential profit
- $13.32
- Multiplier
- 1.10x
- User PnL
- $11.92
Yes position
Will Fernando Dias da Costa win the 2025 Guinea-Bissau presidential election?
Ends Nov 23, 2025- Implied probability
- 16.4%
- Current value
- $7.1
- Potential payout
- $43.43
- Potential profit
- $36.33
- Multiplier
- 6.12x
- User PnL
- -$12.9
No position
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 93.5%
- Current value
- $20.19
- Potential payout
- $21.59
- Potential profit
- $1.4
- Multiplier
- 1.07x
- User PnL
- $1.19
Yes position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $18.33
- Potential profit
- $18.33
- User PnL
- -$11
Yes position
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 82.5%
- Current value
- $10.63
- Potential payout
- $12.89
- Potential profit
- $2.26
- Multiplier
- 1.21x
- User PnL
- $1.63
No position
Iran leadership change by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 83.5%
- Current value
- $9.68
- Potential payout
- $11.59
- Potential profit
- $1.91
- Multiplier
- 1.20x
- User PnL
- $1.68
Yes position
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $0.01
- Potential payout
- $9.23
- Potential profit
- $9.22
- Multiplier
- 1000.00x
- User PnL
- -$5.99
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will Michigan win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?
Ends Apr 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $185.43
No position
US forces enter Iran by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $50.88
Yes position
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of March 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $44.92
No position
US x Iran ceasefire by March 31?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $36.78
No position
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 7th?
Ends Apr 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $26.55
No position
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $24.75
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from March 24 to March 31, 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $22.84
Yes position
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 15?
Ends Apr 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $15.71
No position
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $11.51
Yes position
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 7?
Ends Apr 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8.07
No position
US-Iran nuclear deal by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.97
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 22, 2026?
Ends Apr 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.33
No position
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.52
No position
Iran coup attempt by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.8%
- User PnL
- $1.93
No position
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.21
No position
Will France, UK, or Germany strike Iran by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.81
Yes position
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium in April?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$10
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from March 24 to March 31, 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$20
No position
US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?
Ends Apr 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$52.94
Yes position
US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 21, 2026?
Ends Apr 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$100
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Iran coup attempt by June 30?No 98.6% 18.18 shares
- Will France, UK, or Germany strike Iran by June 30?No 99.4% 23.95 shares
- Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by June 30?No 99.6% 26.31 shares
- Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?No 99.7% 37.63 shares
- Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 4.4% 681.82 shares
- US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?No 92% 206.25 shares
- Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?Yes 65% 9.23 shares
- Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31?No 88% 21.59 shares
- Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 15?Yes 87.2% 122.71 shares
- Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 7?Yes 87.2% 63.07 shares
- Iran coup attempt by June 30?No 88% 9.09 shares
- Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium in April?Yes 24.6% 40.61 shares