Polymarket Trader

FourCz

0xdab9e82e6648a829ea624ce65dd546d5c5329741

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $1.6K
Realized PnL: $588.01
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 24
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Ethereum dip to $800 by December 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 13.5%
Current value: $234.67
Potential payout: $1.74K
Potential profit: $1.5K
Multiplier: 7.41x
User PnL: -$45.45

Yes position

Will Ethereum dip to $1,000 by December 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 19.5%
Current value: $286.45
Potential payout: $1.47K
Potential profit: $1.18K
Multiplier: 5.13x
User PnL: -$18.11

Yes position

Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 25.9%
Current value: $234.78
Potential payout: $908.24
Potential profit: $673.46
Multiplier: 3.87x
User PnL: $112.95

Yes position

Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 16.1%
Current value: $135.33
Potential payout: $843.16
Potential profit: $707.83
Multiplier: 6.23x
User PnL: $69.28

No position

Over $20M committed to the Solomon public sale?

Ends Jan 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $608.74
Potential profit: $608.74
User PnL: -$196.35

Yes position

Will Ethereum dip to $1,500 by December 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 84.5%
Current value: $366.43
Potential payout: $433.91
Potential profit: $67.47
Multiplier: 1.18x
User PnL: $199.67

No position

Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by June 30th?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $304.88
Potential profit: $304.88
User PnL: -$79.66

Yes position

Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 41.5%
Current value: $91.3
Potential payout: $220
Potential profit: $128.7
Multiplier: 2.41x
User PnL: $37.4

Yes position

Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 75.5%
Current value: $145.72
Potential payout: $193
Potential profit: $47.29
Multiplier: 1.32x
User PnL: $70.49

Yes position

Will Bitcoin dip to $35,000 by December 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 13.5%
Current value: $24.3
Potential payout: $180
Potential profit: $155.7
Multiplier: 7.41x
User PnL: -$5.5

No position

Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by December 31?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $125.93
Potential profit: $125.93
User PnL: -$17.63

Yes position

Will Solana dip to $60 by December 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 72.6%
Current value: $43.53
Potential payout: $60
Potential profit: $16.47
Multiplier: 1.38x
User PnL: $27.93

No position

Predict.fun FDV above $200M one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2028

Implied probability: 20.5%
Current value: $8.2
Potential payout: $40
Potential profit: $31.8
Multiplier: 4.88x
User PnL: -$10.2

No position

Sentio FDV above $50M one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2028

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $37.78
Potential profit: $37.78
User PnL: -$3.4

No position

Predict.fun FDV above $300M one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2028

Implied probability: 21.5%
Current value: $4.3
Potential payout: $20
Potential profit: $15.7
Multiplier: 4.65x
User PnL: -$7.2

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 3, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET

Ends Mar 4, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $17.77
Potential profit: $17.77
User PnL: -$9.85

No position

Puffpaw FDV above $50M one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 46.5%
Current value: $7.75
Potential payout: $16.67
Potential profit: $8.92
Multiplier: 2.15x
User PnL: $2.75

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 23, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET

Ends Mar 23, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $14.04
Potential profit: $14.04
User PnL: -$4.94

No position

USD.AI FDV above $150M one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $13.51
Potential profit: $13.51
User PnL: -$5

No position

Extended FDV above $150M one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 23.5%
Current value: $2.45
Potential payout: $10.42
Potential profit: $7.97
Multiplier: 4.26x
User PnL: -$2.55

Yes position

Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 by December 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 54.5%
Current value: $5.45
Potential payout: $10
Potential profit: $4.55
Multiplier: 1.83x
User PnL: $1.25

No position

USD.AI FDV above $300M one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $10
Potential profit: $10
User PnL: -$6.46

Yes position

Will Bitcoin dip to $40,000 by December 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 26.5%
Current value: $2.65
Potential payout: $10
Potential profit: $7.35
Multiplier: 3.77x
User PnL: $0.55

No position

Predict.fun FDV above $400M one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2028

Implied probability: 25%
Current value: $2.5
Potential payout: $10
Potential profit: $7.5
Multiplier: 4.00x
User PnL: -$4.1

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 by December 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $56.6

No position

Will Bitcoin reach $110,000 by December 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 93%
Multiplier: 1.08x
User PnL: $43.74

Yes position

Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after October 2025 meeting?

Ends Oct 29, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $39.05

Yes position

Will Andrew Cuomo win second place in the 2025 NYC mayoral election?

Ends Nov 4, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $37.63

No position

Will Ethereum reach $4,000 by December 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 92.5%
Multiplier: 1.08x
User PnL: $37.11

Yes position

Will Ethereum dip to $2,000 by December 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $35.3

Yes position

Will Larry Ellison/Oracle acquire TikTok?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $34.11

Yes position

Over $1.3B committed to the MegaETH public sale?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $31.24

Yes position

Will Solana dip to $80 by December 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $28.5

No position

Will Bitcoin reach $130k in October?

Ends Nov 1, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $26.64

No position

MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$4B one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $21.93

Yes position

Will Polymarket US go live in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $18.77

No position

Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by May 31st?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $18.26

No position

Will edgeX launch a token in 2025?

Ends Jan 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $16.5

Yes position

Will Gemini 3.0 be released by November 22?

Ends Oct 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $15.58

No position

Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $14.87

No position

Will Bitcoin reach $130,000 by December 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 95.5%
Multiplier: 1.05x
User PnL: $14.7

Yes position

Will Monad perform an airdrop by November 30?

Ends Dec 1, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $14.7

No position

Will Bitcoin reach $120,000 by December 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 94.5%
Multiplier: 1.06x
User PnL: $14.65

No position

Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 89.5%
Multiplier: 1.12x
User PnL: $14.59

No position

Lord Miles completes 40-day water fast in the desert?

Ends Sep 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $14.5

Yes position

Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?

Ends Nov 4, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $13.54

No position

Will the Government shutdown end November 4-7?

Ends Nov 15, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $13.34

No position

Will Ethereum reach $5,000 by December 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 95.5%
Multiplier: 1.05x
User PnL: $12.15

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Ethereum dip to $1,000 by December 31, 2026?

Yes 17% 29.41 shares
Will Ethereum dip to $1,000 by December 31, 2026?

Yes 17% 58.82 shares
Will Ethereum dip to $1,000 by December 31, 2026?

Yes 17% 58.82 shares
Will Ethereum dip to $800 by December 31, 2026?

Yes 11% 32.26 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET

Down 16.7% 5.99 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET

Down 38% 2.63 shares
Will Solana dip to $60 by December 31, 2026?

Yes 54% 59.99 shares
Will Ethereum dip to $1,000 by December 31, 2026?

Yes 16% 62.5 shares
Opensea FDV above $500M one day after launch?

No 49.6% 23.77 shares
Will Ethereum dip to $1,000 by December 31, 2026?

Yes 16% 68.63 shares
Opensea FDV above $500M one day after launch?

No 49.6% 23.77 shares
Will Ethereum dip to $1,000 by December 31, 2026?

Yes 17% 35.29 shares