Yes position
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 12.1%
- Current value
- $119.27
- Potential payout
- $989.78
- Potential profit
- $870.51
- Multiplier
- 8.30x
- User PnL
- -$22.27
Polymarket Trader
0xdac2...db56
0xdac2c8b427117b6d058b8f73e03ec566b91edb56
Public profile Partial data Delayed sectionDelayed section
- Open value
- $867.44
- Realized PnL
- -$94.1
- Win rate
- 36.4%
- Open positions
- 4
- Closed positions
- 11
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 40.6%
- Current value
- $364.19
- Potential payout
- $898.12
- Potential profit
- $533.93
- Multiplier
- 2.47x
- User PnL
- $19.31
Yes position
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 20.1%
- Current value
- $127.21
- Potential payout
- $632.89
- Potential profit
- $505.68
- Multiplier
- 4.98x
- User PnL
- $21.52
No position
Will Ron DeSantis win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 98.1%
- Current value
- $256.77
- Potential payout
- $261.88
- Potential profit
- $5.11
- Multiplier
- 1.02x
- User PnL
- $5.63
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will Trump visit China by May 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $156.11
No position
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 22.4%
- Multiplier
- 4.47x
- User PnL
- $58.32
Yes position
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?
Ends Nov 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 83.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.20x
- User PnL
- $16.36
No position
Will the Houston Texans win Super Bowl 2026?
Ends Feb 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.23
Yes position
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 77.7%
- Multiplier
- 1.29x
- User PnL
- -$13.48
No position
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 88%
- Multiplier
- 1.14x
- User PnL
- -$18.11
No position
Will the Los Angeles Rams win Super Bowl 2026?
Ends Feb 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$18.8
Yes position
Will the Los Angeles Rams win Super Bowl 2026?
Ends Feb 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$37.82
Yes position
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 25.6%
- Multiplier
- 3.91x
- User PnL
- -$47.11
Yes position
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after January 2026 meeting?
Ends Jan 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$76.5
Yes position
Will 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 4.3%
- Multiplier
- 23.53x
- User PnL
- -$120.3
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Yes 38.4% 898.12 shares
- Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes 16.7% 632.89 shares
- Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes 14.3% 989.78 shares
- Will 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?Yes 8% 183.82 shares
- Will Ron DeSantis win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?No 95.9% 845.06 shares
- Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?No 84% 170.46 shares
- Will Ron DeSantis win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?No 95.9% 1,106.94 shares
- Will 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?Yes 11.4% 1,008.54 shares
- Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?No 83.1% 187.56 shares
- Will Trump visit China by May 31?Yes 84% 975.71 shares
- Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?Yes 38.5% 772.47 shares
- Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?Yes 40.2% 772.47 shares