Yes position
Will 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $2.52K
- Potential profit
- $2.52K
- User PnL
- -$247.11
Polymarket Trader
Derozan416
0xdaca773d0cf3e449fd384d94e5fc86b732790d85
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $0
- Realized PnL
- $7.68K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Claude 4.8 released by May 31?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $2.31K
- Potential profit
- $2.31K
- User PnL
- -$359.69
Cavaliers position
Pistons vs. Cavaliers
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $706.4
- Potential profit
- $706.4
- User PnL
- -$390.4
Toronto Blue Jays position
Toronto Blue Jays vs. Detroit Tigers
Ends May 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $685.35
- Potential profit
- $685.35
- User PnL
- -$312.29
Oilers position
Oilers vs. Ducks
Ends Apr 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $640.28
- Potential profit
- $640.28
- User PnL
- -$341.14
Lakers position
Lakers vs. Rockets
Ends Apr 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $510.05
- Potential profit
- $510.05
- User PnL
- -$196.31
Raptors position
Raptors vs. Cavaliers
Ends May 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $370.37
- Potential profit
- $370.37
- User PnL
- -$100
Atlanta Braves position
Atlanta Braves vs. Los Angeles Dodgers
Ends May 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $341.7
- Potential profit
- $341.7
- User PnL
- -$50
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET
Ends May 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $290.26
- Potential profit
- $290.26
- User PnL
- -$60
Spurs position
Timberwolves vs. Spurs
Ends May 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $276.9
- Potential profit
- $276.9
- User PnL
- -$215.98
Ducks position
Golden Knights vs. Ducks
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $248.58
- Potential profit
- $248.58
- User PnL
- -$115
Texas Rangers position
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Texas Rangers
Ends May 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $222.91
- Potential profit
- $222.91
- User PnL
- -$40
Magic position
Magic vs. Pistons
Ends Apr 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $220
- Potential profit
- $220
- User PnL
- -$50.6
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET
Ends May 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $218.6
- Potential profit
- $218.6
- User PnL
- -$65
Raptors position
Raptors vs. Cavaliers
Ends Apr 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $217.39
- Potential profit
- $217.39
- User PnL
- -$50
Dorado Gaming position
LoL: Conviction vs Dorado Gaming - Game 1 Winner
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $212
- Potential profit
- $212
- User PnL
- -$27.48
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $211.74
- Potential profit
- $211.74
- User PnL
- -$125
Spurs position
Spurs vs. Thunder
Ends May 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $200
- Potential profit
- $200
- User PnL
- -$60
Canadiens position
Sabres vs. Canadiens
Ends May 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $187.5
- Potential profit
- $187.5
- User PnL
- -$100
Timberwolves position
Spurs vs. Timberwolves
Ends May 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $185.19
- Potential profit
- $185.19
- User PnL
- -$50
ENTERPRISE Esports position
Rainbow Six Siege: ENTERPRISE Esports vs Shopify Rebellion (BO3) - BLAST R6 Major Salt Lake City Group Stage
Ends May 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $178.38
- Potential profit
- $178.38
- User PnL
- -$50
76ers position
76ers vs. Knicks
Ends May 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $172.41
- Potential profit
- $172.41
- User PnL
- -$50
Yes position
Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $167.79
- Potential profit
- $167.79
- User PnL
- -$25
N
No position
Will Trump say "Dumbocrat" or "Dumocrat" or "Dumacrat" this week?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $165.85
- Potential profit
- $165.85
- User PnL
- -$13.47
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Spurs position
Spurs vs. Trail Blazers
Ends Apr 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.59K
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 21, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET
Ends Mar 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $752.03
Lakers position
Lakers vs. Rockets
Ends Apr 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $722.76
Yes position
Will Iran strike Lebanon in March?
Ends Mar 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $463.35
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 27, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET
Ends Mar 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $373.11
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 25, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET
Ends Mar 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $328.15
Magic position
Magic vs. Mavericks
Ends Apr 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $276.4
Clippers position
Clippers vs. Pacers
Ends Mar 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $275.87
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 10, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET
Ends Apr 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $257.65
Knicks position
Knicks vs. Hawks
Ends Apr 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $251.02
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 27, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET
Ends Mar 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $232.41
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 24, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET
Ends Apr 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $225.81
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 21, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET
Ends Mar 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $221.01
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 21, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET
Ends Mar 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $208.61
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 25, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET
Ends Mar 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $206.47
76ers position
Timberwolves vs. 76ers
Ends Apr 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $179.83
No position
Israeli forces cross the Litani River by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $166.36
Cavaliers position
Cavaliers vs. Pistons
Ends May 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $156.41
Natus Vincere position
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Vitality (BO3) - IEM Atlanta Playoffs
Ends May 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $148.35
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 10, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET
Ends Apr 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $144.1
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 21, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET
Ends Mar 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $141.45
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET
Ends Apr 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $125
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET
Ends May 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $120.65
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 6, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET
Ends Apr 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $117.15
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- UFC Freedom 250: Ciryl Gane vs. Alex Pereira (Heavyweight, Main Card)Alex Pereira 49% 50 shares
- Will 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by May 31?Yes 5% 612.4 shares
- Will Trump say "Big Bang" in May?No 96.8% 10 shares
- Will 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by May 31?Yes 10% 120 shares
- Will Trump say "Egghead" in May?No 96.2% 3.84 shares
- Will Trump say "Pig" in May?No 89% 10 shares
- Will Trump say "Four More Years" in June?No 54% 25.5 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 12:10AM-12:15AM ETUp 16.1% 31.02 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 12:10AM-12:15AM ETUp 25% 20 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 12:10AM-12:15AM ETUp 49% 10.2 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 12:10AM-12:15AM ETUp 49% 10.2 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 12:05AM-12:10AM ETDown 78% 10 shares