Polymarket Trader

0xdad2...6366

0xdad228193bad38b50af142857ffdc117b4496366

Public profile Partial data Delayed sectionDelayed section

Open value: $21.2
Realized PnL: $39.51
Win rate: 66.7%
Open positions: 4
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will "The Odyssey" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 115m?

Ends Jul 19, 2026

Implied probability: 52%
Current value: $11.38
Potential payout: $21.88
Potential profit: $10.5
Multiplier: 1.92x
User PnL: $4.38

Yes position

Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 41.9%
Current value: $5.73
Potential payout: $13.7
Potential profit: $7.97
Multiplier: 2.39x
User PnL: $0.73

Yes position

Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 240m and 260m?

Ends Aug 2, 2026

Implied probability: 22.8%
Current value: $2.43
Potential payout: $10.68
Potential profit: $8.25
Multiplier: 4.40x
User PnL: -$2.57

Yes position

Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 20.2%
Current value: $1.67
Potential payout: $8.26
Potential profit: $6.6
Multiplier: 4.96x
User PnL: -$0.33

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Avalanche position

Spread: Avalanche (-1.5)

Ends Apr 26, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $9.76

Golden Knights position

Hurricanes vs. Golden Knights

Ends Jun 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $9.65

Avalanche position

Avalanche vs. Wild

Ends May 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $8.87

Hurricanes position

Hurricanes vs. Senators

Ends Apr 25, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $7.36

Golden Knights position

Golden Knights vs. Hurricanes

Ends Jun 3, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.14

Yes position

Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-04-15?

Ends Apr 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.9

Hurricanes position

Hurricanes vs. Flyers

Ends May 8, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.56

Yes position

Will "Michael" 2nd Weekend Box Office be between 35m and 38m?

Ends May 11, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.32

Utah position

Oilers vs. Utah

Ends Apr 8, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.26

Sharks position

Blackhawks vs. Sharks

Ends Apr 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.99

Yes position

Will Gavin McKenna be drafted 1st overall in the 2026 NHL Draft?

Ends Jun 27, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.84

Yes position

Will Bitcoin reach $70,000 on April 7?

Ends Apr 8, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.76

Yes position

Will Trump visit China by May 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.27

Cavaliers position

Cavaliers vs. Warriors

Ends Apr 3, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.76

Yes position

Will Shai Gilgeous-Alexander win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?

Ends Jun 10, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.16

Yes position

Will "The Super Mario Galaxy Movie" be the highest grossing movie of this weekend?

Ends Apr 3, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.03

Yes position

Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 2.1%
Multiplier: 48.78x
User PnL: -$0.55

Golden Knights position

Spread: Golden Knights (-1.5)

Ends Apr 8, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$1.01

Oilers position

Oilers vs. Utah

Ends Apr 8, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$1.21

Yes position

Will "Moana" score at least 80 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?

Ends Jul 13, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$3

Golden Knights position

Golden Knights vs. Hurricanes

Ends Jun 5, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$3

Yes position

Bam Adebayo: Points O/U 20.5

Ends Apr 7, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$3

Up position

Solana Up or Down - April 7, 8PM ET

Ends Apr 8, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$3

Yes position

Bitcoin above 72,400 on April 7, 9PM ET?

Ends Apr 8, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$3.37

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will "Moana" score at least 80 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?

Yes 17.9% 16.76 shares
Will "Moana" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 44m?

Yes 50% 10 shares
Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 240m and 260m?

Yes 46.8% 10.68 shares
Will "The Odyssey" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 115m?

Yes 32% 21.88 shares
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?

Yes 4% 11.36 shares
Hurricanes vs. Golden Knights

Golden Knights 50% 20 shares
Hurricanes vs. Golden Knights

Golden Knights 47% 12.77 shares
Golden Knights vs. Hurricanes

Golden Knights 42% 7.14 shares
Hurricanes vs. Golden Knights

Golden Knights 51% 5.88 shares
Golden Knights vs. Hurricanes

Golden Knights 42% 7.14 shares
Will the Vegas Golden Knights win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?

Yes 41.5% 14.46 shares
Spread: Avalanche (-1.5)

Avalanche 46% 10.87 shares