Yes position
Will World Liberty Financial be accused of insider trading?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $636.41
- Potential profit
- $636.41
- User PnL
- -$22
Polymarket Trader
fiatboy69
0xdade4cdc119a09f687c5d0d94fae751510b3c80d
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $32.07
- Realized PnL
- $73.42
- Win rate
- 66.7%
- Open positions
- 3
- Closed positions
- 21
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will OpenAI’s market cap be between $1T and $1.25T at market close on IPO day?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 5.9%
- Current value
- $32.07
- Potential payout
- $543.48
- Potential profit
- $511.41
- Multiplier
- 16.95x
- User PnL
- -$17.93
Yes position
Will Meteora be accused of insider trading?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $40.54
- Potential profit
- $40.54
- User PnL
- -$15
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Microstrategy delisted from MSCI index by March 31?
Ends Apr 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $49.29
Yes position
Supreme Court rules in favor of Trump's tariffs?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $23
Yes position
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2025 meeting?
Ends Dec 10, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8.85
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down on November 28?
Ends Nov 28, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5
Yes position
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 11.4%
- Multiplier
- 8.81x
- User PnL
- $4.71
Yes position
No change in Fed interest rates after December 2025 meeting?
Ends Dec 10, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $3.57
No position
Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on November 30?
Ends Nov 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $2.89
Yes position
Will Bitcoin dip to $95,000 in November?
Ends Dec 1, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.03
Yes position
Will Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on November 30?
Ends Nov 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $1.5
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down on November 25?
Ends Nov 25, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.67
Yes position
Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.32
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET
Ends Oct 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.24
No position
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2025 meeting?
Ends Dec 10, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
Will Donald Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 1.7%
- Multiplier
- 60.61x
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
US national Bitcoin reserve before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 24%
- Multiplier
- 4.17x
- User PnL
- $0
No position
Will OpenAI not IPO by December 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 22.5%
- Multiplier
- 4.44x
- User PnL
- -$0.94
Yes position
Will Bitcoin dip to $80,000 in November?
Ends Dec 1, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$1
No position
Fed rate cut by January 2026 meeting?
Ends Jan 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
Ukraine agrees to US-approved peace plan by Thursday?
Ends Nov 27, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$2.39
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET
Ends Oct 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$3
Yes position
Will Trump announce Kevin Hassett as next Fed Chair in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$20.3
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will World Liberty Financial be accused of insider trading?Yes 3.9% 101.86 shares
- Will World Liberty Financial be accused of insider trading?Yes 3.4% 1,170.95 shares
- Will Meteora be accused of insider trading?Yes 37% 81.08 shares
- Will OpenAI not IPO by December 31, 2026?No 48% 28.8 shares
- Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?Yes 94.5% 63 shares
- Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?Yes 94% 63 shares
- US national Bitcoin reserve before 2027?Yes 30% 99.99 shares
- Supreme Court rules in favor of Trump's tariffs?Yes 30% 100 shares
- Will OpenAI not IPO by December 31, 2026?No 51.3% 28.8 shares
- Will OpenAI’s market cap be between $1T and $1.25T at market close on IPO day?Yes 9.2% 543.48 shares
- Supreme Court rules in favor of Trump's tariffs?Yes 25% 100 shares
- Microstrategy delisted from MSCI index by March 31?No 32% 78.13 shares