No position
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 92.5%
- Current value
- $4.76K
- Potential payout
- $5.15K
- Potential profit
- $386.25
- Multiplier
- 1.08x
- User PnL
- $2.05K
Polymarket Trader
Mighty1lf
0xdae658f61b5554199e0cb4b61f9b3bc11870666e
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $4.76K
- Realized PnL
- -$4.22K
- Win rate
- 58.8%
- Open positions
- 2
- Closed positions
- 17
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will Russia capture Myrnohrad by October 31?
Ends Sep 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.41K
- Potential profit
- $1.41K
- User PnL
- -$98.5
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Alaska position
Will Trump do better in Florida or Alaska?
Ends Nov 5, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.06K
Yes position
Israel x Hamas ceasefire by October 17?
Ends Oct 17, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.44K
No position
Fordow nuclear facility destroyed before July?
Ends Jun 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $1.02K
Florida position
Will Trump do better in Florida or Alaska?
Ends Nov 5, 2024- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $582.62
Yes position
Will Russia capture Myrnohrad by November 30?
Ends Nov 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $241.76
Yes position
Will Trump meet with Putin by August 15?
Ends Aug 15, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $206.32
No position
Russia x Ukraine Ceasefire in 2024?
Ends Dec 31, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $181.87
Yes position
Will Trump and Putin meet next in US?
Ends Sep 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $37.41
Yes position
Will Trump meet with Vladimir Putin in August?
Ends Aug 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $26.52
No position
Russian Ruble ₽120 to $1 USD in November?
Ends Nov 30, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8.37
Yes position
Ukraine agrees to Trump mineral deal before April?
Ends Mar 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$78.18
Yes position
Israel x Hamas ceasefire by October 3?
Ends Oct 3, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$135.55
Yes position
Will Assad remain President of Syria through 2024?
Ends Dec 31, 2024- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$445.88
No position
US government shutdown by October 1?
Ends Oct 1, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$1.05K
No position
Will ≥2% of votes go to 3rd Party candidates?
Ends Nov 5, 2024- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$1.26K
Yes position
Will Putin meet with Trump in first 100 days?
Ends Apr 29, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$2.13K
Yes position
Lord Miles completes 40-day water fast in the desert?
Ends Sep 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$4.93K
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Russia capture Myrnohrad by November 30?Yes 66% 1,000 shares
- Will Russia capture Myrnohrad by November 30?Yes 66% 200 shares
- Will Russia capture Myrnohrad by November 30?Yes 68% 20 shares
- Will Russia capture Myrnohrad by November 30?Yes 68% 68 shares
- Will Russia capture Myrnohrad by October 31?Yes 7% 1,714.29 shares
- Israel x Hamas ceasefire by October 17?Yes 46% 2,670.72 shares
- Israel x Hamas ceasefire by October 3?Yes 1.9% 1,578.95 shares
- Israel x Hamas ceasefire by October 3?Yes 2.5% 803.78 shares
- Israel x Hamas ceasefire by October 3?Yes 2.6% 1,930.77 shares
- US government shutdown by October 1?No 7% 3,000 shares
- US government shutdown by October 1?No 12% 7,000 shares
- Lord Miles completes 40-day water fast in the desert?Yes 65% 1,000 shares